• 7.2% growth is meaningless

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    THE hype about the 7.2-percent full year growth of the Philippines gross domestic product (GDP) is a meaningless indicator for most Filipino households, as prices continue to rise unabatedly and unemployment rate remains high, a legislator said on Friday.

    Rep. Terry Ridon of Kabataan party-list expressed concern that the GDP growth might prove to be “largely artificial and unsustainable.”

    “Studying the components of the 7.2-percent GDP growth, one will see that it has been largely buoyed up by the recent property and construction boom in the country, coupled with the last-minute increase in financial activity brought about by the influx of foreign aid for relief and rehabilitation efforts in the aftermath of Yolanda,” Ridon said.

    In a news briefing on January 30, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) described the 7.2-percent GDP growth for 2013, up from the 5.8 percent recorded in 2012, as a “remarkable turnout,” as it was achieved despite the onslaught of natural calamities in the last quarter of 2013.

    The growth rate made the Philippines one of the “best performing economies in the Asian region,” second to China, which posted a 7.7-GDP growth.

    Real estate, renting and business activities posted an 8.4-percent growth, while construction posted an 11.1-percent growth.

    Ridon noted that growth largely based on real estate and construction is “artificial and unsustainable,” as it could have been bloated by records-low interest rates, the suspected property bubble now permeating emerging market economies and the economic stimulus programs of large countries including China and the US in the past year.

    “But with China’s construction activity now decelerating and the US Federal Reserve now tapering its stimulus funding, the momentarily foamy growth posted in recent quarters may suddenly dive in the coming months,” Ridon explained.

    He pointed out that 7.2-percent GDP growth has not translated into higher job generation. Data from the PSA shows that despite the 7.2-percent GDP growth, employment increased by a measly 0.8 percent.

    According to independent think-tank Ibon Foundation, job generation has actually been falling in real terms during the Aquino administration, with 1.2 million jobs generated in 2011, down to 408,000 in 2012, and dipping further to 317,000 in 2013.

    “Despite stellar growth figures in real estate, construction and manufacturing, we see insignificant employment growth in the said sectors, proving that the purported development is largely buoyed by speculative financing that has again enriched the select few while not resulting to inclusive wealth generation for the vast majority,” Ridon noted.

    He also stressed that in PSA’s report, the per capita household final consumption expenditure (HFCE) has decelerated to 3.9 percent in 2013 from 4.8 percent recorded in 2012, which the government attributed to the spike in consumer prices in recent months.

    HFCE is a measure of a household’s consumption and purchases for everyday needs such as food, housing, and various fees.

    “The deceleration of household spending reflects the spike in inflation in past months that has led to higher food and commodity prices,” Ridon said, noting that in December 2013, Philippine inflation rate has reached 4.1 percent, the highest recorded since December 2011. Food prices climbed 5 percent in December, higher than the 4 percent recorded in November last year.

    The 7.2-percent growth is artificial, exclusionary and meaningless for most Filipino households. What it just indicates is that business is booming for the upper one percent while prosperity continues to elude the vast majority who has to grapple with growing joblessness and rising commodity prices,” Ridon said.

    For growth to be inclusive, the government must focus on enriching and improving sectors like agriculture and local industries that provide more stable jobs and not on drawing in speculative investment. This entails developing a sustainable and concrete program for national industrialization and genuine agrarian reform,” Ridon added.

    Improving domestic demand also means improving the living conditions of every Pinoy through increased wages and benefits, and better job opportunities here in the country, he concluded.

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    1 Comment

    1. Mr. Ridon, as a lawmaker what are you really doing? Yes, 7.2 % GDP growth is meaningless because the grassroots don’t understand basic statistics, and in my impression so do you. Statistics are just statistics, they are just indicators and one of the many tools we use for decision making. I will not engage in a debate with you over this. It will just an exercise in futility. As a lawmaker, have you ever attempted to introduce a law to encourage or motivate Filipinos to become more of an entrepreneur rather than a salaried employee? Rise in GDP doesn’t mean instant wealth, you should know that. It is just a positive indicator. Having this, our next question is: How should I make good use of it? Have you?