(Last of two parts)
The second part of this series on why Manny Pacquiao could not beat Floyd May-weather anymore comes out a few days from the date Juan Manuel Marquez knocked out the Filipino in Las Vegas a year ago.
As Pacquiao hit the canvas unconscious, I told to myself, “I saw this was coming . . .”
Yes my dear readers, I actually saw the knockout win of Marquez coming on that fateful night in Las Vegas, but I never expected Pacquiao to be knocked out cold.
In an earlier column (“What could have been for Pacquiao,” June 29, 2013 http://www.manilatimes.net/what-could-have-been-for-pacquiao/14187/) I said that a third and fourth fight with Pacquiao was unnecessary. Between the lines, what I was saying was the third and fourth meeting with Marquez were dangerous for our beloved Pacquiao. Marquez already had Pacquiao figured out in their second close fight.
My prognosis was simple: Marquez in their third fight learned how to better create openings, and land his vaunted right hand on Pacquiao with accuracy. So all that Marquez had to do was come into the fourth fight with more power and speed. The closer Marquez is to Pacquiao prior to landing his powerful right, the deadlier the outcome. And a moment of recklessness by Pacquiao could prove fatal.
I even remember telling The Times Sports Editor Perry Mallari weeks before Pacquiao-Marquez 4, “Kinakabahan ako, kasi nasukat na ni Marquez si Pacquiao ng husto. Ang kailangan lang niyang gawin ay sapakin si Pacquiao ng isang mas malakas na kanan [I fear for Pacquiao because Marquez has him sized up thoroughly. All that Marquez needs is to land a more powerful right and it’s over].”
Now, can that very simple prognosis be debated?
But if I wrote a column 14 months ago saying that Pacquiao would possibly lose to Marquez by knockout, I am would surely get a lot of negative comments and called names. And yes, there are 100 views to shoot down my prognosis that Marquez would beat Pacquiao by knockout or stoppage.
My column last week was not spared of negative comments, which shows that Pacquiao-Mayweather is a fight a lot of Filipino boxing fans want to see.
Well, many Filipino boxing fans do not seem to learn— Pacquiao’s struggling against Marquez in their third fight (although he won) created the blueprint for Marquez to beat him in their fourth fight. And the blueprint Marquez used to beat Pacquiao can also be used by Mayweather to beat the Filipino.
Furthermore, there is absolutely no debating that Mayweather is miles ahead of Marquez in technique, power, speed and ring movement. Both are ring technicians but Marquez is rungs below.
Perhaps, those few points should have been part of the thesis (or anti-thesis) in my previous column to support my view that Pacquiao could no longer beat Mayweather.
Perhaps, I should also have kept the discussions in my previous column quite simple, rather than elaborating on some points (which some netizens made comments or feasted upon). So now I will keep it quite simple this time by also asking this question: What type of effect will the rights hands of Mayweather, particularly those with the same power he landed on Canelo Alvarez, have on Pacquiao?
After his fourth fight with Marquez, Pacquiao confessed that he cried. Well, my heart bled and it took me more than six months to get over the hidden pain of my compatriot losing like that. (My June 29 column echoes that.)
From 2009 (when I was Sports Editor of The Times) up to before the third Marquez-Pacquiao fight, I was one of those who believed that Pacquiao had a big chance of beating Mayweather.
But a lot has changed now.
And it makes me wonder as to why there are Filipino boxing fans who still believe that Pacquiao can beat Mayweather. Do they think that Pacquiao is like a racecar that have wornout parts that can be replaced?
Truth is the Pacquiao today is no longer the Pacquiao we all saw between 2007 and 2010, and those were the years the Filipino had the chance to beat Mayweather. As for Mayweather, there is no questioning how sharp he was in the Alvarez fight.
It is hard to see from what exact point Pacquiao started to decline physically, but I believe his third fight with Marquez took out a lot from him. And again, as I have said in my June 29 column, the third and fourth Marquez-Pacquiao fights should have not taken place.
I was hoping Pacquiao would regain his old form against Timothy Bradley, but his being stretched by a “B” fighter (or his failing to stop Bradley) showed that Pacquiao is no longer in his physical prime. And Marquez saw that.
C’mon, Bradley was supposed to be a “gift” opponent for Pacquiao. Prior to fighting Pacquiao, Bradley’s only stoppage win over nine fights was over a geriatric (read: aging) Joel Casamayor.
Pacquiao’s running for Congress also took away some of his attention from boxing.
Now, before some of you readers post comments, I must say that I hate saying Pacquiao could not beat Mayweather, but if you really care for Pacquiao and his health, you won’t even think of calling for Pacquiao-Mayweather.
And I hope some readers won’t judge this column as “scathing” against Pacquiao.
If you want to read a real scathing comment on why Pacquiao will lose to Mayweather, read the article from this link \t “_blank” http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2013/11/26/santoliqtuito-mayweather-would-crush-pacquiao/.
Honestly, do we want to see our beloved Pacquiao take another loss now that his career is on its last legs? I don’t . . .