Dynasties to dominate 2016 politics – analyst


The political situation in the country this 2016 is expected to be filled with deception, a trait associated with the monkey, which, according to the Chinese Zodiac, will be its year.

Professor Bobby Tuazon, director for policy studies of the Center for People Empowerment in Governance (Cenpeg), said this year’s elections will be dominated by the dynastic politics of deception where gut issues are trivialized by the feud of personalities, power and money.

“We expect more of the same–more dynastic politicians will lord over the elections,” Tuazon said in a text message to The Manila Times.

He noted that rather than serving as a democratic instrument, elections only perpetuate old politics, which is ruled by the elite.

Tuazon said people cannot expect any substantial benefit from the elections because Philippine politics does not institute reforms needed to raise the quality of life of the people.

“By the end of this year, the country will remain at the bottom pit of Asian growth. The public should start thinking beyond elections and beyond 2016,” he added.

Proposed anti-political dynasty bill remains pending at the Senate Committee on Electoral Reforms and People’s Participation headed by Sen. Aquilino Pimentel 3rd.

The proposed bill prohibits relatives from running for public office at the same time, within the same province, city or municipality, or from occupying national positions at the same time such as those in the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Pimentel, in an earlier interview, said under his substitute bill, only one member of a family will be allowed to hold a national post.

Presidential race
Meanwhile, political analyst Ramon Casiple said he expects a four-way presidential contest between independent presidential candidate Sen. Grace Poe, Vice President Jejomar Binay of the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA), Manuel Roxas 2nd of the Liberal Party (LP) and Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte of the PDP-Laban.

Casiple, the executive director of the Institute for Political and Electoral Reform (IPER), noted that Roxas’ alleged elimination strategy will likely fail and that Poe will be allowed to join the 2016 presidential race by the Supreme Court (SC).

“Roxas will have to do double-time to catch up with the others,” he said.

Aside from Poe, Duterte is also facing several disqualification cases at the Commission on Elections (Comelec) questioning the legality of his being a substitute presidential candidate of the PDP-Laban that earlier nominated Martin Dino as the party standard-bearer.

Casiple said he does not expect Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago, who is also running for President, to be able to campaign on equal terms because of her health condition.

Santiago was diagnosed with stage four lung cancer in 2014, and took a leave of absence to undergo medication.

According to the senator, her cancer has been cured and that she is ready for her presidential campaign, which will begin next month.

Santiago, who enjoys a strong following in social media, has chosen independent vice presidential candidate Sen. Ferdinand Marcos Jr, as her running mate.

“She [Santiago] may have a chance only if the elimination strategy paid off,” Casiple noted.

The political analyst was referring to the supposed strategy of Roxas’ camp to eliminate Poe and Duterte from the race through disqualification and cripple Binay with corruption charges.


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  1. Are you sure Miriam is not corrupt?. She is sickly. I don’t think she will carry her role effectively. She needs to undergo executive check-up and submit to Comelec before running for President. Company require this from prospective employees before hiring.
    I would continue on the “Daang Matuwid” policy of the current administration. Why change when the economy is doing very well. For the first time on Aquino’s administration three senators were jailed and more to come.

    • everyone is corrupt! only the new ones in politics are not…..yet!
      I would prefer to vote for someone who is not a PRO in the mastery of corruption using Chinese businessmen as their dummy to hide themselves on these activities.Kawawa naman ang pilipinas sa pagkakaroon ng mga Duwag at Tamemeng mga botante.nakakahiya na sa buong mundo ang pagiging BOBO natin sa pagboto..

    • By economy do you mean the smuggling ?

      Nearly one-fourth of imports into the country in the last five years have been unreported and untaxed, totaling $94 billion – for an astronomical P4 trillion. That’s more than four times the estimated smuggled value of just $21 billion from 2005 to 2009.

      By economy do you mean raising crime rates ?

      Crime incidence has more than doubled under President Benigno Aquino 3rd.

      By economy do you mean tourism ?

      Last year, Malaysia had 25.7 million tourist arrivals, while Thailand welcomed 24.8 million visitors. Those numbers are far greater than the 4.8 million tourist arrivals for the Philippine.

      By economy do you mean Corruption ?

      Philippines scored 9.40 out of 10 on corruption, giving it the number one spot of most corrupt country in Asia.

      While Aquino quickly moves and brings out all the resources of the government to prosecute political opponents, he is quick to shrug off allegations against his allies. Moreover, the infamous Disbursement Allocation Program (DAP) and the alleged reincarnation of PDAF in the 2015 budget equals continued corruption.

      By economy do you mean Poverty ?
      UN report that the Philippines is the region’s most incompetent in the area of poverty reduction

      By economy do you mean Education ?

      Philippines has the lowest education spending in proportion to the total budget as percent of gross domestic product, and per student.

      By economy do you mean GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ?

      The richest 1% controls 60% of the GDP

      By economy do you man Employment ?

      The Philippines continues to have the highest unemployment rate in the ASEAN region. The Department of Labor and Employment regularly holds job fairs nationwide but many of the available jobs are for overseas deployment.

      Aquino made absurd claims of economic growth and accomplishments based on lies and delusions. He exaggerated gains to cover-up the plight of the Filipino people, especially the poor. For instance, his claim that education backlogs – classrooms, armchairs, books — have been erased is clearly a lie. Likewise, his claim that jobs have been created conveniently ignores the fact that unemployment rates have risen under his government. He made lame excuses regarding Agrarian Reform failure, and conveniently erased in the picture his family’s continuing control of Hacienda Luisita.

      Aquino insulted the victims of Yolanda by inventing a new, ridiculous explanation to government’s slow response: “Natangay po pati ang ating prepositioned relief goods.” At the same time, he boasted of speedy recovery in Yolanda affected areas. This is a president with a very wild imagination.

      Aquino tried to lure the public through crocodile tears and Kris Aquino drama-rama. But no one is falling for his lies, rhetorics and antics. His water cannonization of the biggest SONA ng Bayan protest outside Batasan shows that his government is desperate, paranoid and isolated.

  2. David M Meyer on

    I have been in this country 8 years plus ,and have gleaned though, the media .That in fact in this country we have 19 families that have members in all levels of power –Right up to the presidency itself,

    That in fact these families control these country; at all levels

    These families have been dynasties for generations,

    Whether we can do anything about, iti is on thing….Whether we want to to do anything is another ..

    As to whether this incredible power these families have is benign or not, was made clear..

    .However the notion that we have a democracy,if this is true :is somewhat moot ..
    To my mind this would be more akin to oligarchy,,

    Dr David M Meyer {PhD Psych}

  3. marami ang naniniwala na kapag na kompleto na ang mga justices sa Jan 19 at pagpasyahan ng Supreme Court En Banc ang kasong DQ ni POE, ang score ay 9 : 4 in favor of POE DISQUALIFICATION….murder at mas tragic pa sa COMELEC 6 : 1

    mga LEGAL LUMINARIES at WALANG HALONG pulitika and inaasahang verdict / decision ng SC En Banc na pamumunuan ng palabang Justice na si MARIVIC LEONEN. ang pasimuno at may akda ng BBL at PEACE PROCESS in muslim Mindanao..

  4. erwin salcedo on

    Why we have to believe that because it is year of the monkey…and everything will be same as the traits of the monkey? Do not let monkey run our lives and future. Choose wisely who to vote. For the benefit of the new year…let’s have a mind set that there still hope for our country, the Philippines.

  5. There is only one real choice and that is Santiago. The only competent candidate in the entire bunch.

    Choosing Roxas the Philippines will have a incompetent president who will continue to allow the richest 1% to continue to loot the country. Roxas will give Aquino and the Pork and DAP fund thieves a get out of jail free card.

    Choosing Poe will also allow the richest 1% to continue looting the country, 60% of the Gross Domestic Product goes to the 1%. Poe is Aquino’s other candidate and will likewise give Aquino and the Congressional Pork and Dap fund thieves a pass.

    Choosing Duterte is electing someone who thinks laws are for everyone but him.

    Choosing Binay is electing someone with unexplained wealth but then again 99% of the senate are the same. The problem here is a incompetent Justice system that allow these politicians to steal, no charges, no trials, no convictions.

    De Lima and the Ombudsman were more like hired guns for the Liberal Party the past 6 years than Justice Officials.

    Out of the hundreds of Congressional thieves who stole billions from the Pork barrel and DAP funds, only 3 opposition senators charged and jailed.
    What kind of Justice is that ?

    Try electing someone competent and not corrupt for a change or enjoy the raising crime rates, the raising poverty, the failing infrastructure, the underfunded education system, the same corrupt agencies and incompetent appointee’s heading them.

    There is only one candidate that will start the Philippines on the road to recovery,

    Roxas and Poe are Aquino clones that will work for the rich.
    Duterte could be insane.
    Binay unexplained wealth and a political dynasty advocate

    Santiago does not work for the richest 1%, Santiago is not corrupt.

    The people get the government they deserve.

    • I agree with you. the only problem is her health. unhealthy President will certainly affect the country big time. with the stress Santiago will be facing off if become President, I don’t think she will last a year.