Fearless forecasts on the May 9 elections and the aftermath

101

“The woods are lovely, dark and deep,
But I have promises to keep,
And miles to go before I sleep,
And miles to go before I sleep.”

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-From Stopping By Woods on a Snowy Evening
By Robert Frost

THE May 9 presidential election has been bruising. The presidential candidates were stripped of their pretensions. The voters and the people are either in hysterics or in a stupor, confused and afraid about the aftermath of the elections. So with an effort to help people resolve their dilemma, I am offering a few thoughts that could be beneficial to them and this country before they cast their votes.

Who is in and who is out

In every contest, there are winners and losers. There are good losers and bad losers. In the context of Philippine elections, there are no good losers, all of them are bad. The usual excuse of losers is that they were cheated. Several days before May 9 and the probable losers have been offering the usual excuse that if they lose, it is only because they were cheated and they will likely pull a coup. This is understandable in a highly contested election, especially when the stakes are high like going to jail and losing one’s ill-gotten wealth.

With the kind of presidential candidates we have, deciding to vote is not easy; it is a big let-down. In a population of more than a hundred million, one wonders why we are limited in our choice of the national leader. Anyone familiar with the system should not be surprised though. It is the fault of the system because only those who have money or nominated by political parties present themselves as candidates for the presidency. It has nothing to do with the best qualifications; in popular lingo, it has something to do with the choice of the lesser evil. So the basic assumption is all the candidates are evil. There is popular acceptance of this idea. But why should it not be a choice between good or evil. Are there no good men left who would respond to the challenge? But almost to a man, they would rather sit than run; they believe in selection but not in election. Meaning, they want to lead a revolution—peaceful or otherwise—to change the system and build a new order. That’s easier said than done. So it’s a long wait to put the pieces together. In the meanwhile, let us examine the candidates in alphabetical order.

The candidates as they appear in public and in private

All the presidential candidates have their own pretensions presented by themselves or by their spinners. There is unlimited lying and interminable denials. The people are of no help because the hysterical ones are mindless and unreasoning. There is no intelligent discussion going on. There are just fixed and irrational positions—unbending and mystifying. In the words of the late Vice-President Emmanuel N. Pelaez after he was ambushed, he asked from his hospital bed General Karingal, the chief of police of Quezon City, who was visiting him: “What is happening to our country, General?” I think it’s time to ask each other, “What is happening to our country?” and demand an immediate reply.

Here is my simple analysis of the chances of victory of the candidates in the May 9 elections in alphabetical order:

Vice President Jejomar “Jojo” Binay

He had one of the biggest chances to be President of the Philippines before the Senate hearings. He led the pack in the surveys. He was on top of the wave. His presentation of his achievements as Mayor of Makati City impressed so many people in the country, including members of the business community. His media acceptance was warm, though not electric. He is head of the Boy Scouts of the Philippines and that is not a joking matter. His victory over Mar Roxas in the 2010 elections while surprising is impressive. It shows that he has a national political machine and a national following. He was almost within spitting distance from the presidency until the bombs in the Senate hearings started to explode. The explosions were lethal to Jojo’s presidential ambitions.

The fall of Jojo Binay from his pedestal could be credited to Senators Antonio Trillanes IV and Alan Peter Cayetano for their tenacity in research, intelligent presentation and searching questions as well as getting witnesses like Vice-Mayor Mercado and Atty. Bondal. The evidence of graft and corruption was just overwhelming. Jojo’s posturing and denials failed to click. His counter-propaganda just did not work; one excuse after another dropped like falling dominos. Jojo Binay, the knight in shining armor just became night without the “k” and many are reminded of Binay in the Arabian Nights story of “Ali Baba and the Forty Thieves.”

Even Binay’s avid allies are deserting him—the Remullas of Cavite, the Garcias of Cebu and many others throughout the country. His organization is in tatters; the curtain is about to fall and there are no applauses but deafening boos.

Binay’s fall from grace is best described by the Tagalog maxim of “kwarta na naging bato pa” (it’s already money but it turned to stone). His chances of becoming President of the Philippines are almost nil. But not everything is lost with Jojo; he can still be President of the Philippines if something happens to President Noy before June 30, or in the remote possibility that his boys in the Marines would pull a coup for him. But will they? Or, if he does his controversial relations with some strategic members of the Comelec, then he will be on the road to victory. Only time and circumstances will tell.

Mayor Rodrigo “Digong” Duterte

He runs on three attractive platforms: eliminate criminality and graft and corruption in the country six months from his assumption of office; establish a federal system in the country; and organize a revolutionary government upon assumption of office. But the first he cannot do because he could not even eliminate criminality in Davao City in the more than 20 years that he was mayor.

In a published reliable index of criminality in the country for the past five years, Davao City is in the TOP 5; ranking NUMBER 1 as the MURDER CAPITAL of the country; ranking NUMBER 4 in RAPE incidents within the period. He had not imprisoned any graft and corruption criminal in his city and there are quite a number of them, some of whom are supporting his candidacy. So his claim is a lot of nonsense and bluster.

What about his federal system and revolutionary government? He has not given any specifics of his federal system and revolutionary government. His knowledge of the federal system, from the way he talks, is at best minimal, at worst abysmal. His encounter with the revolutionary government is as shallow as that of President Cory Aquino’s and as catastrophic as that of his friend, the 50 years’ failed revolutionary, Jose Maria “Joma” Sison. So again, this means nothing.

His solution to criminality and graft and corruption is to kill, kill and kill, WITHOUT DUE PROCESS. He has done it in Davao City, an area he has successfully cowed but he cannot do it in this country because he would be effectively and successfully challenged at every turn—WHETHER IT IS ON THE LEVEL OF ARGUMENTS OR ON THE LEVEL OF ARMS.

He is the best clown on stage, he has mastered the language of the lowest levels of our society that he elicits all kinds of adulating applauses and reactions but he would be the worst example for the children, the young and everyone—his foul, fetid and vulgar language; his disrespect of religion, the Catholic Church, Pope Francis, women and of everyone who does not agree with his ignorant and insane views; his ignorant and incompetent ideas on the nuances of national and international politics, and in the words of Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV, his sick mind and, if I may I add,  a diseased heart based on his behavior and pronouncements.
Only those who are in blind unreasoning rage against the system and sick like Duterte in heart and mind will vote for Duterte.

But does Duterte have a good chance to be elected President of the Philippines? Yes, if PULSE ASIA executives would only be the ones voting in the elections; if the ones who are mesmerized by Duterte are voters and, if they are, they do not wake up on time on how stupid and insane they are in singing hosannas to Duterte before May 9; and if his perceived following in the military pulls a coup d’etat and succeeds. Even if Duterte becomes President, he will not last a year if he continues to act and behave in the same manner as in the campaign trail.

A Duterte presidency is a major scandal and a catastrophic shame for the Filipinos that may result in a repeat of the statement of an American senator during the time of Marcos in describing the Philippines as a “country of sixty five million cowards and one son of a bitch.” This time it could be “a country of a hundred million insane cowards and one insane son of a bitch.”

Senator Grace Poe Llamanzares

Sen. Poe is a foundling and indisputably a natural-born Filipino citizen. Sounds intelligent the way she talks which is a confirmation of her being an alumna of the University of the Philippines and Boston College. She topped the senatorial election in 2010. She has impeccably performed as senator showing it in the Mamasapano hearings. She has no taint of graft and corruption but she has a lot to learn in the task of national governance. She should have run for Vice-President and would have surely been elected. But it is too early for her to run for President.

She needs seasoning and six years as Vice-President would have been perfect for the presidency in 2022. I think she has imbibed the character of FPJ and the training of Susan Roces. But they are not enough. Experience is the best teacher and haste makes waste.

Does she have a chance to become President of the Philippines? Of course, she is at the heart of the contest, if the elections would be clean and honest. But no election has ever been clean and honest in this country except two or three. So that’s where her problem lies.

Secretary Manuel “Mar” Roxas ll

Mar has the best mind among the presidential candidates. He is the best prepared to be President of the Philippines. He is courageous and he’s got character. He comes from good stock—grandfather, President Manuel Acuña Roxas; father, Sen. Gerardo “Gerry” Roxas; and mother, Judy Araneta, though very wealthy, is very simple, charming and gracious. He is educated, civil, civilized, and passionate in his principles and ideas. He has a vision of what the country should be. He has no taint of graft and corruption and speaks out his mind with a passion. He exemplifies the best in Joe Plumeri’s The Power of Being Yourself: A Game Plan for Success. All of these are characteristics of one who should become President of the Philippines.

There are negatives with Mar, though—President PNoy with his natuwad na daan (inverted or distorted road); his controversial but beautiful wife; and his lack of charisma. But Mar has made fools of Duterte and Binay in the debates in full view of national television. He has direct answers to the point better than the evasive lawyers Binay and Duterte.

Based on his background and character, I think Mar would be his own man when he becomes President and the country would be better and in better hands.

Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago

Intellectually, she has one of the best qualifications to be President of the Philippines. As a matter of fact, she was elected President of the Philippines in 1992. This is a matter of fact. I should know, I was one of her lead counsels in the National Board of Canvassers in Congress. But Fates intervened and she was deprived of the presidency. It is a sad and bitter pill to swallow.

As of the moment, she is at the bottom of the surveys. I think she is passed her prime. She has to sit sometimes during the debates. She is helped by human canes in the course of her campaign. She has long pauses in her articulation during the debates. Age and sickness have obviously caught up with her. She just isn’t in the race. She is an excellent President we never had and will never have.

My fearless forecasts

First: MAR ROXAS will be the next President of the Philippines. Why? He has a tested and tried political machine; he has learned the lessons of his having been cheated in the 2010 elections; he has the government machines; he has the logistics and the intelligence to spend it right; and he is the best among them, and in the clinches and with the awakening of the voters, he will be elected the next President of the Philippines.

Mar can only lose if he and PNoy as well as their advisers become stupid and that’s not likely.

Second: LENI ROBREDO will be the next Vice-President. Her intelligence and charm, together with the Roxas and government machines, will carry her through.
Third: If the Roxas presidency does not deliver in two years’ time, he will certainly be removed as President of the Philippines long before that.

Fourth: The Duterte balloon will be pricked and torn into smithereens. The bandwagon of Duterte is a myth and a product of the Joseph Goebbels-type of propaganda of Gina Lopez and Pulse (or False) Asia and Company. If he succeeds, it will be a case of Heil Hitler! The communists and the Muslims will rule the day; the Quiboloys and the Manalos would be on top of the religious hysteria in the country. Then, we will have the ISLAMIC COMMUNIST, INC. AND QUIBOLOY REPUBLIC. Hail to insanity, ignorance and stupidity!

Fifth: The coup d’etat threat of Duterte and Binay forces will not materialize. If it does, they will be squelched by the Malabanan rain and real bullets this time.

Sixth:  If the CIA intervenes in the election, the USA will make a Syria out of this country and this time the upheavals will engulf the cities.

Seventh: There is a great possibility that the elections will be cancelled or in shambles because of the lack of preparation of the COMELEC.

Eighth: If this happens, the whole country will be in turmoil that may take time to stabilize.

I am not God. I could be wrong. But in my predictions of the fall of Presidents Marcos and Estrada, I was proved right. So, I have a hundred percent batting average. Only time will tell whether my forecasts are right this time!

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101 Comments

  1. Adaza,when he was Governor of Mis.Or. coined the words ‘Today Mindanao,tomorrow the Philippines”. After May 9, 2016 it will happen and a Mindanaoan will become President of the Philippines.Adaza’s son, Erwin ran twice as Board Member of Mis.Or. under the LP banner and lost twice.He also predicted rhat Cory Aquino will not finish her term.His present prediction remains to be seen.I don’t care if our country will be going to the dogs,as long as it is a new breed.

  2. Tsk! Now that votes are in and more than 50% of the expected ballots, I hope that tough talking mayor from Mindanao will realize the enormity of the bubble he created. While we continue to pay taxes, but the voice of those who dont are heard!

    Mayor Duterte, I am waiting for change that you promise… If youre mouth is bigger than true actions, I will once again like I did in my youth, join the parliament of the street and seek your ouster.

  3. Either way it goes, better hunker down cause this one could be a very risky and
    uncertain voyage ahead for the future of the Philippines. The Duterte supporters
    promise upheaval if he is not elected and the sitting president is likening him to
    Hitler and saying “I’m ready to die to prevent a dictatorship from being installed
    in power.” Any way you cut it, that spells trouble right around the bend! Watch
    the pesos against the U.S. Dollar plummet in coming days and weeks on the
    back if this tumultuous election made in hell. Andy

    • Upheaval won’t happen. They don’t have the numbers. Duterte is only 34% in surveys, surely the 66% will not allow any format of revolution just because a certain candidate lost.

    • floresco halogi on

      if you think about numbers think edsa. not even 6% and we all got.this crap

  4. I beg people to have open minds and hearts before deciding who to vote for. Let’s just listen and ponder on the opimions we hear and read. Pray in the four corners of our rooms that we’ll have His guidance and wisdom in choosing our next leaders.

  5. It is funny to read how some Dutertardz here comments. They always get butthurt no matter how confident they are that their presidential bet will win this May 9 elections. All of your street thug comments, talking like the president of your choice. Change is coming? Good luck with that. We will definitely experience the worst administration once DU30 gets elected as president. Something that all of you Dutertardz will ever regret, and definitely something that you will never ever your kids want to see. He’s just another corrupt politician like Binay but ofc, Dutertards kept clinging to that “change”. Talking about yellow ribbon cult, when you are just another cult yourselves; the worst kind.

    May the best for this country wins the election. God bless the Philippines.

  6. The problem is that 70 million people in the Philippines are poor, so it is the reason why people will not vote for candidates with a pedigree, whose family ruling in the Philippines and have made people a much poorer. The author of the text is not from a poor family but even he does not know what is a poor or hungry psychology.
    The poor Filipinos do not want continuity in increasing poverty, they want to change and cling to the last straw, in this election.

  7. jun veloso on

    fearless nga! good luck to you. come may 9, we will see who comes out………….. change is coming!

    • Hahaha, you are right Jun Veloso…..fearless, indeed! But he closed his eyes about the video of his candidate when confronted by Mayor Romualdez and said, “you are a Romualdez and the President is an Aquino”…hehe, he just could not stand stress that’s why he acted that way….galing ba yun maging Presidente….? Change is Coming!

  8. This was written before the miting de avance. After seeing the multitudes of people supporting Duterte, I guess thie only way for the RORO to win the race is to cheat the election. And by the way, it is a very sweep generalization to say that… “Only those who are in blind unreasoning rage against the system and sick like Duterte in heart and mind will vote for Duterte.” Most of his supporters are coming from class A, B, C, and not just D, and E. Your forecast are not really forecast, but a last desperate attempt to condition the minds of readers in favor of the Yellow Cult. The Yellow Cult charisma has faded, and majority of the people have awaken from the sickening spell casted by the Aquinos. It’s time to wear the flag again and not the yellow ribbon.

  9. Rodolfo Guinhawa on

    For me, maybe-maybe not. Nobody can predict what exactly will happen in this election as to who will be the winner but from my observations and by others it will be Duterte winning by a large margin and it will be very hard to remedy the situation by cheating. This will result to chaos by people’s revolt coming from the urban poor and armies from mindanao who are backing up Duterte. Actually nobody can really give a true and real prediction of what will be the outcome because the writer could have been a president himself on his political career before if he is a Nostradamus.

  10. I have been traveling around the country and early on have found out that only Santiago and Duterte dont buy voters. It only proves that your fearless prediction is garbage.

    • along Tagactac on

      i have also been travelling around the country,i’m in sales and all businessmen i met,do not like Du30 ! To them he is garbge !

  11. Francis M Banaynal on

    If indeed, Roxas is certain of winning, and if Aquino is confident that his “manok” will get the presidency, why was he, with less than 76 hours before the election, noticeably acting in a “PANIC MODE”, shaking in his own ground and panicking like a penguin ?? He went public yesterday and appealed to all the presidential bets to join forces, form an ALLIANCE and thwart a DUTERTE-MARCOS win after they consistently topped various poll surveys. And if Roxas is certain of winning without the INC bloc-votes and votes of OFW’s,why did he,like his mentor, Aquino, call Grace Poe yesterday, with the same offer to form an ALLIANCE against Duterte? Poe tersely and strongly rejected his idea. And BINAY reminded Aquino to just ensure an honest and fair election. And if the Administration is intent to have a clean and honest election without using the Comelec ( which is chaired by his cousin,Andres Bautista) as its tool for massive cheating,how then would they explain WHY, during the testing of those VCM PCOS machines in Tamparan,Lanao del Sur, Saranggani,Bohol, Tarmac, and overseas voting in Hongkong, Dubai and Italy, the testers/voters voted for Duterte yet the receipts showed the name of Roxas? The case in Tamparan, which has been captured in videos is an incontrovertible, unassailable and uncontestable proof of electoral fraud with the high-tech used of the Comelec machines.

  12. I’m confident Leni will win as VP. There is so much good in her that people want to believe, including me. Bong bong is carrying a lot of bad history that is hard for old timers to forget, including me.

    As for the President, my choice is Mar. But I’m afraid it will be Duterte, with Grace a distant second.

    But a Duterte presidency will be short lived. He will quit or ousted.

  13. Eladio Ramirez on

    The author has clearly described merits/demerits of each candidate which did not manifest anything bias at all…Every detail is presented in an objective manner…which we voters ourselves have been witnesses during the campaign period .his presentation were well supported by records/ history .Other items may have been a result of his own judgment ,perception. We all have to wait and see before we could make our very own judgment.

  14. the writer is highly biased to the elitist candidate. he sounded to be like the intelligent version of the not so intelligent soldier-senator, who is being used by the administration to cover up its decaying bet. one should be very discriminating and careful in reading through articles, although well-written, that pose unfounded and false accusations.

  15. Christy aguirre on

    Thank you Mr. Homobono Daza, with your fearless broadcast, i would rather choose MAR ROXAS-LENI ROBREDO WHO ARE BOTH WELL experience in gov’t governance and not corrupt. Better to share this article to my family and friends.

  16. Malditang Palaka on

    As you have said, Mar will be the next president for he has political machine. haha.. too funny.. He will only win if the administration and Roxas will use the PCOS machine for cheating. And that is the only way. :P

  17. Estrel Dato on

    I agree with your intelligent assessment! Roxas is the most competent, the righ choice. I pray that your prediction will come true.

  18. hahahha, fearless forecast or mind conditioning?? look on the surveys how can a number 3 will win the election, hmmmmm, ah yes we have a word for it, tru cheating.

  19. In 1992, Miriam D. Santiago was elected President of the Philippines but Fates intervened and thus; deprived of presidency_what are the facts about that?

  20. It is my impression that Mayor Duterte is not only dangerous but is more corrupt than VP Binay, He is a bad example to my family & children.

  21. Lourmie Bravo on

    Mar Roxas has the most concrete plans for the country for the next six years.With the bills he authored and passed, and his uncorrupted public service for the past 20 years, the Filipinos deserve his presidency!God bless the Philippines!

  22. We have three days to see if your fearless forecast materializes. If it doesn’t, it’s your time to forget forecasting.

  23. Hector David on

    Where is the moral values and respect of law among the yellow army … bribing senators to convict the chief justice… DAP which is illegal .melting your special forces die by not provuding support… giving rotten food to Yolanda victims . Hiding the poor and the homeless from Apec delegates and the aholy Father.using Malam pay funds ..letting attack dogs go after your opposition .. along monopolies and cartels to thrive further adding to hunger and poverty.. destroying small business because of adding bureaucratic requirements…etc etc etc.. the yellow leader has made our cuntrymen destitute and stolen their dignity…jail time is a kindness

  24. this is a very realistic and awakening forecast. may God guide us as we cast our votes. mabuhay ka atty ADAZA!

  25. Maryann Medina on

    I love the analysis and I pray that you are correct. My only dear is that here are millions of people voting who do not truly examine the various candidates and are just swayed by words they want to hear. Unfortunately, the number of people in this category far outweigh the others. I pray that analysis such as yours make a difference.

  26. Edward Tanangonan on

    It is with great fervour that everyone will have the tenacity to go beyond the machismo and bad ass character that Duterte is presenting. While understandable that a lot of people have given up hope of a crime free and corrupt free Philippines, it should be understood further that ‘an evil’ cannot be solved by ‘another evil’. Good luck everyone after the May 9 !!!

  27. Homerun Nievera on

    Very incisive, Atty Adaza. You never fail to amaze me! Let’s see if this comes to fore.

  28. the opinion is from the other side of the fence. the one from the top of the pyramid. majority of the people are frustrated in so many many years of the same kind of governance . lies, broken promises, theft, corruptions, unmindful on the flight of the poor, gobyerno pang negosyo, lagay, lagay lagay, nawala na ang serbisyo. the government were created to serve the people, lies and deception by many government agencies like SSS, GSIS , marina, philhealth, water system, energy, contractualization, k to 12 program, congress, senate, executive, justice system and many more are too much for the mind of the ordinary people. we are always the poor and sick man of asia and of the world. people are looking for a great change, dreaming that when the typhoons came, thier house will not be destroyed and not hungry. finding and believing that in the hands of mayor duterte there is light and hope. so be it.

  29. atty dominic garen on

    nailed it right!…the only thing that needs to be done now is for us to go out and vote for RORO on Monday.

  30. atty dominic garen on

    Nailed it right! Let’s stop this Duterte plague before it’s too late!

  31. Impressive lines for each presidential candidate altough there are good and bad points of them that are not included. But, Bravo to the author! I can see you to be the President of the country in the future. You are good!

  32. Ricardo Salar on

    I still believe in the greatness of the Filipino people and nation. At the end of the day, they will know whom to vote. The intellectuals and the masa will close ranks and will be in unity to uphold and defend the dignity and welfare of the nation.

    Thank you, Mr. Adaza for pricking the lethargy and stupor brought about by the pedagogues and Joseph Goebbels like spin doctors.

    We, Filipinos, will rise to the occasion.

  33. ISIS Phils on

    my fearless forecast, MAR REHAS will not win in clean and honest election

  34. Wally Vallejo on

    Gov, I met you once in 1980 in CDO. As it was never tiring to listen to you, it was enlightening and refreshing to read your article while we are in the midst of gutter language, deceitful promises and pretentious concerns on the part of some candidates and the superficial assessments and shallow, beggar-based criteria on the part of many citizens. I am hopeful your Mar-Leni prediction is correct. Let me just add, living the straight path (tuwid na daan) is not the source of errors and shortcomings as critics recklessly spread. Imperfections haunt any administration, but it is relieving to know that the next leader will address such imperfections without stealing people’s money.

  35. Jojo MAling on

    Jojo Maling My own fearless forecast based on our nation’s history. WE WILL HAVE ANOTHER WIDOW FOR PRESIDENT! Even if the the surveys are right and Duterte becomes President, he will not last long in office just like another popular and macho-type personality, Joseph Estrada. Duterte will be removed from office either by people power or Coup de Etat. And he will be succeeded by the nely-elected Vice President, LENI ROBREDO!!! Just like Cory Aquino, She did not seek the office.

  36. Mar’s pathetic pleading last night on national TV to meet with his other presidential aspirants, specifically Grace Poe, “sabihin mo lang sa akin… anong oras …. magkita tayo”, trying to strike a deal to muster what appears as a fighting chance against the onslaught of a juggernaut called Digong, that, for me, is not the appearance of a winning candidate Tama na. Wala na kayong maluko.

  37. Your fearless forecast is out of touch with reality. There’s no way the likes of Mar can win as the straight path is terribly crooked. The best he can do is 3rd place.

  38. P.Akialamiro on

    I beg to deisagree on many points with this author. These are all his opinions and he may be surprised with the outcome of his “Fearless Predictions…………”, on the results of the forthcoming elections. Everything said is what he hopes and would like to believe to suit and gratify his ego.

    Who is not sick and tired in the heart and mind about the system after all these years of incessant corruption, in in all levels of the government, at the expense of the defenseless poor and down-trodden?

    Whether you like it or not, this is the “Revolution” you’re talking about. Change is NOW or NEVER!

  39. A. M. Schulze on

    Sorry, buhay pa pala kayo Atty. Adaza? Just jokin’, you maybe 90 years old now or 100 but your mind is still sharp. I have disagreements with your forecast and observations, but this article is entertaining.

  40. Felix Bautista on

    I see Leni Robredo ascending to the presidency in the near future a scenario whereby due to health reasons. . and poor or musguided decisions Mr. Duterte will be unable to complete his Presidency. ..I see this as a Divine plan to solve the country’s problems especially the poor and marginalized sector of the country…rid the country of corrupt politicians make then accountable. ..she will serve as a truly unifying factor to all the various sectors of Philippine society.

  41. Limuel Lim Sager on

    Nice assessment of candidates and fearless forecast in favor of Mr. Roxas, But, I am and still confident VP Binay will be the next Philippine President. We just need a sound and pro-active decision maker to realize and deliver the people’s expectations. Imagine, duplicating what Makati has for the entire nation is indeed a great achievement. Proven and tested…It is only Binay who can do this in efficient, effective and tmely manner…and that is sound management/ good governance. I don’t expect heaven and earth for this country of ours from a duly elected President…just complete delivery on what is due for our people…one at a time and as time goes by we will wake up one morning with a great nation.

  42. Kaya pala natalo si Miriam Defensor Santiago eh dahil ikaw ang LEAD COUNSEL. Sana iba na lang kinuha ni Miriam. Sayang, wala kang loyalty kaya nawala ka sa political scene eh. hehehe, Bono na, Homo pa!

  43. You should have at least included in your tale of Mar that e had some allegations on corruption that way hindi ka halata na you are just conditioning the peoples mind para kahit dayaain nila ang mga ballots may lusot. bwisitt

  44. Jasper Bixby on

    i question the merging of Islam and communism analysis. it is oil and water. too much complex combinations of assumptions as to how the Duterte administration would be. The murder capital Davao? For someone who travels to Davao, Manila, and other foreign cities, i question this a lot. The efficiency in Davao can’t be matched by Manila in terms of police/emergency response (i.e. mendoza bus hostage amongst many others) The tactics the yellow team has been doing recently is very shady and suspiouc. the invite for “unity” with Grace Poe is such an insult to her candidacy. This article has an uncanny reflection of the yellow tactics. But then again this is democracy, let the people choose what to put in their plate. The survey does not lie. it just doesn’t. the paninira tactics are rampant these days.. unprecedented! ..i won’t doubt of any cheating in the election as corrupt as this country is. the NCR is glory in the eyes of those in the capital …but its agony in the provinces and outskirt islands.

  45. Amang Makabayan on

    ANOTHER ELECTION TWIST FORECAST DUE TO ELECTION MACHINATION AS A RESULT OF MAR ROXAS-GRACE POE ALLIANCE

    PRESIDENT: MAR ROXAS
    – as result of the alliance and government backing. The president will be very busy in restoring peace and order to thwart a possible unrest due to the demise of the Duterte Presidency until Mar Roxas will finish his aoth on the 30th of June 2016. If the people’s unrest will persist and and become bloody, Senator Mar Roxas will do two things.

    1.) he will dissolve congress and form a revolutionary government
    2.) He will suspend the writ of habeas corpus and eventually declare Martial Law.

    PRESIDENT: RODRIGO DUTERTE
    – based on people’s actual votes

    VICE PRESIDENT: FERDINAND “Bongbong” R. MARCOS
    – based people’s reception and acceptance during the campaign, backing of major religios institution, pledge of support of giant political parties, survey results and actual votes. They will let Bongbong wins the vice presidency as part of the government calculated risk strategy. BBM must be prepared and ready his legion of supporters in the political, legal and military arena to avert any plan to unseat him because the government will gang on BBM by filing cases and impeachment to prevent him discharge his official function as Vice President.

    SENATE PRESIDENT: GRACE POE
    – possible result of the alliance. Senator Poe will possibly accept the formula just to be in a win-win situation because she will just continue 3 years of her 6 year term in the senate.

  46. Leodegardo Pruna on

    I admire Sen.Bono for his wits and wisdom but for the fact that even the fools and ignorant knew that the time of Marcos and Estrada were up during their times. Wait till the hocus-PCOS machines do its job? God save the Philippines.

  47. Rogelio S. Kiunisala on

    Let the people speak on judgment day not this forecast. Robin Hood shoots the hearts of men not their minds.

  48. Jay Fenandez on

    “Here’s to the crazy ones. The misfits. The rebels. The troublemakers. The round pegs in the square holes. The ones who see things differently. They’re not fond of rules. And they have no respect for the status quo. You can quote them, disagree with them, glorify or vilify them. About the only thing you can’t do is ignore them. Because they change things. They push the human race forward. And while some may see them as the crazy ones, we see genius. Because the people who are crazy enough to think they can change the world, are the ones who do.”
    ― Rob Siltanen

  49. Ramiro S. Mercado on

    i’m impressssssssssssssed. i’m hopeful and i’m praying that your forecast will be realized!!! God Bless!!!

  50. Nobody can tell what would happen in the future. All of us have biases on our perspectives dependeng on where you focus your attention. Whoever wins in this election that is what we deserve because the winner will be the reflection of the majority. Let us pray that whoever wins, God will give him wisdom based on his will for the Philippines. Let us hope for the best. At the end it is not who will be the president but collectively who we are as the people of this country. Kung gusto natin mabago ang Pilipinas dapat simulan natin ito sa pagbabago ng ating mga sarili. We cannot expect better Philippines unless all of us will do our part. Kailangan ng bagong Pilipino para sa bagong Pilipinas.

  51. SashimiMonster on

    I love reading jokes and fantasy stories. This article is on the top of my list.

  52. Amnata Pundit on

    My own fearless forecast: Mar will offer you a cabinet position of your choice. BTW, how did you know that the election cheaters in Intramuros will go for Mar and Leni and not for Grace or Binay?

    • The forecasts have basis and you should not get upset. This is is intellectual thinking, not street drinking thought. Just think of a Communist country, Look at China, North Korea, USSR, Cuba etc. The government owns everything. You can not have your own. You will just work, eat and work. Why did USSR disintegrate? Why were they so happy when they tear down the Berlin Wall?Why do the poor Cuban workers are thankful to receive soaps, toithpaste, goods but not money. ? This is the time to THINK if you guys are prepared to have more miserable life! If you are ready, then vote for DU30!

  53. I think the writer is a member of the Liberal Party or an ally of the party. This explains the content of his column. He is exceedingly biased just like ABS-CBN.

    • All the while we thought,he’d already rested in not so peaceful life beyond,`cause he’d been unheard for such a long long while,but now he’d been revived,heard & seen again,just in the nicked of time,[didn’t you see this coming]? for the frantically last crucial days briefings,with his imaginary brilliance of mind & but most say false accuracy,`cause of his nonsense innuendoes like a “One Flew over the Cuckoos Nest.”If his analysis & predictions are true shame to Nostradamus,if not,shame on you,false prophet bono!

    • Nelson Tordecilla on

      Correct and this writer Homobono Adaza, who is this guy in the Philippines politics? As far as i remembered he’s is politician without any good accomplishment nor contribution due to his image of being a TRAPO….

  54. A very comprehensive and analytical discourse by an intellectually and intelligent-minded man. I think the observation is fair in all aspects and the merits and demerits of each candidate were presented in a very uniform manner. I hope that Bono Adaza’s forecasts will materialize as he claims to have a 100% batting average in his previous predictions of events happening. And another thing, Bono is a very good journalistic article writer pala.

    • He is predicting from facts and reality……if offered cabinet position, he is good senator before…and his intellect is needed…

    • peter d grey on

      i quote Cory the mother of his president, “pitikin na lang parang langaw yan”

  55. SERAFIN BATHAN on

    Hoping the fearless forecast of Mr. Homobono Adaza is accurate. Only Roxas and Robredo are qualified to be elected President and Vice President of this country,

    More power to you Mr. Adaza.

  56. The most accurate Analysis and prediction I ever read. You have read my mind. We share the same views. God Bless The Philippines.

  57. SCHOLARLY, INTELLIGENT, RATIONAL, CEREBRAL, simple yet to the point. Thank You, BONO ADAZA.

  58. Prepare yourself to be very, very disappointed with no cheating. Yes of course, only cheating will raise the hands of Mar Roxas and Leni Robredo.

  59. Jessie Olitoquit on

    Thank you, Homobono Adaza! Great to hear your views again. Will forward to Facebook friends and relatives. May God continue to shower you good health and safe life.
    Jesse

  60. Nancy Revilla on

    Again, this is so enlightening and i hope that anyone who will read this will come out of their senses to vote wisely. 2 more days to go. God bless the Filipino people.

  61. Thank you Gov. Homobona Adaza for your ” Fearless Forecast …” that is very enlightening, I’ve been saying that I am a Duterte-Cayetano Die Hard but now I know whom to vote after I read your fearless forecast and reading what Digong said which I read today’s paper “that I don’t care if the Catholics will not vote for me, ill not die ” plus many bad signs of Duterte your wrote, Governor Adaza.
    I will now go for ROXAS-ROBREDO even if I really don’t like the “DAAN ATUWAD ” for the sake of the country and my grandchildren..

  62. Di naman forecast yan eh, mind-conditioning yan eh :)
    Alam na para kay Marimar yan

  63. Sarap basahin ang fearless forecast mo. Anyway, that is your forecast and you will see if your fearless forecast after May 9, 2016. Meanwhile, keep on searching and searching.

  64. Homobono Adaza’s column below dwelling on his predictions as to who is qualified and finally will carry the Presidential banner on the May 9,2016 national elections is validly well-analyzed and written. I subscribed to Adaza’s
    observations as valid and well-thought of.

    My own take on the matter follows:

    Mar Roxas, though lacking the mass charisma and appeal only to the elite, is the only qualified among the five (5) presidential contestants, being educationally well-equipped, experienced, unblemished in character and public service. Not the least is his illustrious Roxas-Araneta family pedigree as untarnished dedicated public officials. Although he appears to be clinging to the coat-tails of Pnoy and parroting the worn-out and irritating slogan of Pnoy’s “tuwid na daan or straight path” which is pulling him down, Mar Roxas will stand-up as an independent-minded and hands-on President that will enable him to achieve substantial upliftment of the welfare of poor socio-economic segment of Philippine society.

    BINAY could have been a logical successor to the Presidency BUT carries a heavy tainted baggage as corrupt and a family dynasty full of greed for power and wealth, putting him as disqualified for lack of clean reputation being perceived as morally and simply corrupt!

    Poe is only too ambitious and in haste to become President though she has no governance experience and must not be allowed to run as being NOT a natural-born Filipino citizen and materially had lied on all her public statements on her citizenship status. Grace Poe deceives the people by claiming she will continue the service and advocacy of the poor’s economic plight by FPJ when there was nothing FPJ has done for the poor except only in his movies. Poe merely relies and felt riding high on her adoptive parents celebrity status to claim the highest post in the land.

    Duterte is not qualified to be President for lack of moral values, immoral character and will wield the power and law of the jungle and adhere to his shamefull street-gutter speeches. Duterte’s reverse psychology of acting the opposite of a decent and smooth-soft-spoken leader by cussing, cursing and using expletives and acting as machismo, courageous crime-busting mayor of Davao, was able to attract and deceived desperate and hopeless citizenry looking for an aggressive leadership that can effect faster economic and social change like the master propagandist of Hitler, named Goebbels.
    Duterte will likely turned the PNP into “vigilantes” and the AFP into “bounty hunters”. The country will be like the Wild Wild West of the USA and the “killing fields” of the Khmer Rhuge of Cambodia. With Duterte as President, the Philippines will be a pariah and in international isolation politically and economically like North Korea, and Duterte as a loose canon will be like Kim Injong.

    Miriam Santiago, who is a self-promoter of her own qualification, as a judge and intelligent public servant, though not a legal luminary in her own right, is aging fast and losing her grip on reality due to her admitted illness of stage 4 cancer, will not be able to,cope up with awesome responsibilities of the office of the President. It is a waste of votes if she gets elected for she is physically incapable to carry the duties of the office. And God forbids Bongbong Marcos is not elected with her.
    Any of these four at the helm of government will wreak havoc and disaster to the social, political and economic well-being of the nation!

    It is also my hopeful forecasts that Mar Roxas and Leni Robredo will be elected President and VP, respectively, for the good of the country.

    • Armando Igrobay on

      I admire your fearless forecast and well written article mr. adaza. and i agree with you. now the next step is for the voters themselves to elect the personalities you have mentioned.

    • Levi cordel on

      Digong is the image of an average pinoy, so he will win, sad to say pero sya gusto nila.yan ang napapala sa demokrasya kuno

  65. Jose A. Oliveros on

    But Bono, when will the revolution that you have been talking about for almost 30 years actually happen?

  66. Sir, for the sake of the country, you cannot afford to be wrong in your forecast. Folks, there’s only one way to save this country, that is to take the RORO. Merci!

  67. maximo p fabella on

    Superb analysis. News you might be able to uses. LOIDA N LEWIS , WHO IS
    BILLIONAIRE close to Hilary. Loidea is UP law, family ownedc NICFUR.

  68. I am not a Duterte follower and definitely not going to vote for him but there are millions of millions of Filipinos that will vote for him. The surveys are right. Even the rich voters from Alabang is mesmerized by Duterte. The reason is Duterte does not do the usual candidate courting of votes. He comes like , if you do not like me, do not vote for me. He said that if the Catholics and the CBCP does not like him, they should not vote for him. It is a reversed psychology and Filipinos are trap because this is the first time a presidentiable talk like this Duterte is not like the other 3 or 4 presidentiables. In short, he is a bad dude, he knows how to read the minds of Filipinos and the only solution on solving crime. For me , it is a lot of Baloney. He is a sleek salesperson.

  69. You must be out of this world to say that Mar Roxas is going to win. Just wondering, for the price of HOW MUCH???

  70. Let us just hope that the voters in this election will place the utmost importance in the ethics, honesty and policy of the candidates. May your prediction come to fruition for the sake of our beloved country! The last thing the people need is another dictatorship. At “comunista”, pa!

    To any reader of Mr. Adaza’s column: please go out and vote, and bring your relatives, friends, acquaintances, and even strangers with you. The fate of or country is at stake!

  71. Amang Makabayan on

    My two dimes of opinion would be Mar Roxas as president using the full force and length of the government resources in whatever form but to appease the masses for a potential people uprising, they will let Senator Bongbong Marcos wins the vice presidency plum because the indicators for him to win is phenomenally high, in order to cool down the people and will not think that the election result is obviously rigged to favor the stalwart of the administration. It would be
    President: Mar Roxas
    Vice President: Bongbong Marcos

    • CRISTY David on

      Now that is the most logical forecast. Mar and Marcos will be a great thing. Uniting too