THE ruling Liberal Party (LP) has nothing to offer Sen. Grace Poe for her to join the party in 2016 except making her the standard-bearer because she does not need Interior and Local Government Secretary Manuel Roxas 2nd to win the race for Vice President, a political analyst said on Sunday.
According to Ramon Casiple, there is no reason for Poe to be with the LP and be the running mate of Roxas, the party’s presumptive standard-bearer, because she can win on her own regardless of what political party she is in.
“This is the dilemma of the LP, they have no bargaining point with Senator Poe, they cannot hold her,” Casiple said in an interview with The Manila Times.
President Benigno Aquino 3rd said he had met with the senator on the importance of selecting a candidate who could continue programs of reform and good governance that he initiated.
Poe, in a statement, confirmed the meeting but said was no talk about her possibly joining the LP in 2016.
Casiple said some members of LP have been courting the senator to run for Vice President next year but Poe has consistently refused to accept the offer.
The President, according to the political analyst, also had one-on-one meetings with Poe several times but it was not known what they talked about.
“The President is keeping his card close to his chest, even the LP members have no inkling as to who he’s going to endorse, but he is always hinting or even saying that his choice is not limited to LP members, which means he is also considering other personalities within the ruling coalition or the Team PNoy where Senator Grace is included,” Casiple noted.
Team Pnoy (short for President Noynoy, Aquino’s nickname) is the name of the administration coalition during the 2013 mid-term elections composed of four political parties allied with the LP, namely, Nacionalista Party (NP), Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC), Laban ng Democratikong Pilipino (LDP) and party-list Akbayan.
Members and officers of the LP have been saying that Roxas is the party’s standard-bearer in 2016 but, Casiple said, there is also the possibility that the President will endorse somebody else, just like what happened in the past.
He cited the 1992 elections wherein then-ruling party LDP endorsed then-House Speaker Ramon Mitra as the party’s standard-bearer but former President Corazon Aquino endorsed then-Defense Secretary Fidel Ramos, who left LDP and formed his own party, Lakas-NUCD.
Casiple said since the Philippines does not boast of a strong political party system, a similar incident could happen in 2016.
And, he added, if Aquino chooses to endorse Poe, the Liberal Party will have no choice but to go with the senator.
Casiple also noted that even if the senator agreed to run for Vice President under the LP, she would be unable to help boost the chances of Roxas to beat the opposition’s presumptive bet, Vice President Jejomar Binay.
“Never in history [has]a vice presidential candidate helped the President win the elections. I don’t know what the plan of Senator Poe is but logic dictates that she could run for [the]presidency, and she doesn’t need Roxas to win,” he said.
Casiple added that if LP would stick with Roxas in 2016, chances are Binay would win the race for President but that the situation would be entirely different if Poe decided to join the contest.
Meanwhile, Sen. Antonio Trillanes 4th said there is a big possibility that Binay might back out from that race because of numerous graft and corruption cases hat the Vice President will be facing in the coming months.
According to Trillanes, Binay has been known to back out from a situation where he thinks he will not win, just like the scheduled debate last year that did not push through because the Vice President decided to withdraw.
Because of the graft cases, he said, Binay will have a difficult time looking for campaign donors and, Trillanes added, knowing Binay, he would not use his own money for the campaign.