• A LAYLO SURVEY IN THE METROPOLIS COMMISSIONED BY THE MANILA TIMES:

    Metro Manilans skeptical of BBL

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    Q. How much or little is your confidence that the passing of the Bangsamoro Basic Law or BBL will help bring peace in Mindanao? [SHOWCARD] FEBRUARY 6-9, 2015 Survey of NCR Adults

    Q. How much or little is your confidence that the passing of the Bangsamoro Basic Law or BBL will help bring peace in Mindanao? [SHOWCARD]
    FEBRUARY 6-9, 2015
    Survey of NCR Adults

    Second of a 4-part series

    Four out of 10 residents in the National Capital Region (NCR) have little confidence that the proposed Bangsamoro Basic Law (BBL) will bring peace to Mindanao, a recent survey revealed. Only two out of 10 residents of Metro Manila are very confident about the proposed law’s impact.

    The survey, conducted by Laylo Research Strategies (LRS) exclusively for The Manila Times, was undertaken from February 6 to 9, 2015, two weeks after the massacre of 44 police commandos in Mamasapano, Maguindanao, and around the time President Benigno Aquino 3rd accepted the resignation of Philippine National Police chief Alan Purisima.

    When asked about their level of confidence that the passage of the BBL would bring peace to Mindanao, 38 percent of the respondents said they had little confidence, while 22 percent expressed much confidence in the BBL. About 40 percent, though, were undecided on their assessments.

    The upper and middle classes (ABC) registered the lowest level of confidence, with 61 percent of them not believing the proposed law would result in peace in Mindanao, in contrast to only 6 percent who said they had confidence in the proposed law.

    A significant majority or 64 percent of the respondents said conditions must be set before congressional hearings on the BBL are resumed. (see Table B). The survey, however, did not include in its questionnaire the BBL conditions that respondents preferred. Some 36 percent said hearings should be resumed immediately so that the BBL measure would be passed as soon as possible.

    The strong negative public reaction to the immediate passage of the draft law was reflected in the separate yet almost simultaneous decisions of the Senate and the House of Representatives to suspend BBL hearings. Even Senate President Franklin Drilon had admitted that the Senate would have a hard time passing the proposed law. Sen. Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr., chairman of the Senate Committee on Local Government, announced a few days after the Mamasapano masssacre that he was suspending the BBL hearings until the Moro Islamic Liberation Front demonstrates its sincerity in wanting peace in Mindanao.

    Representative Rufus Rodriguez, chairman of the special committee in charge of drafting the House version of the BBL, also suspended “indefinitely” its hearings on the bill. Rodriguez said his committee would have to wait for the findings “of the two investigations” — which meant the probes of the Mamasapano massacre by the House committees on public order, peace and reconciliation, and on national defense on one end, and the investigation being conducted by the Department of Justice (DOJ).

    In the same survey, the respondents registered a high 62 percent awareness of the peace agreement between the government and the MILF, and a 59 percent awareness of the BBL. Of those who were aware of the draft Bangsamoro bill, 49 percent said their knowledge of the draft law ranged from “somewhat extensive knowledge” to “moderate knowledge” while on the extremes, 5 percent indicated “very extensive” awareness of the proposed law and 20 percent admitted only “very limited” awareness of the bill.

    In the same survey, the respondents were asked to indicate their level of trust in five agencies and groups involved in the Mamasapano incident. Of the five, the Philippine Army received an overwhelming trust rating of 61 percent trust versus 15 percent distrust or a net trust rating of +45, followed by the PNP-Special Action Force, which received an overall net trust rating of +32. The other three agencies received negative net ratings – the Government of the Philippines-MILF Ceasefire Committee, -13; Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighter, -67, and MILF, -67.

    The Manila Times-LRS survey covered the 15 cities and two towns in Metro Manila and involved 300 adults randomly chosen in households in the National Capital Region. Samples were distributed proportionally according to the adult population size of the cities and municipalities in NCR. It held a margin of error of plus or minus 6 percent.

    Set up in 2010, Laylo Research Strategies (LRS) is a respected polling and strategic research firm with its principal pollster Pedro Laylo Jr. having been a polling and public opinion expert since the 1990s.

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    8 Comments

    1. The BBL is a fake peace pact. It’s a fake even without the Mamasapano incident. It is a ransom for peace in connivance with the gentleladies. After counting thousands of deaths, the MILF shall be rewarded with billions of pesos for their enjoyment. Really we are dumb.

    2. Frisco Consolacion on

      President Aquino and peace negotiators, Deles and Ferrer, should be charged with TREASON for promoting the dismemberment of the Philippine territory. There must be other peaceful ways to seek true, long-lasting PEACE in Mindanao without sacrificing the INTEGRITY of our country. BBL IS NOT THE ANSWER.  BBL IS UNCONSTITUTIONAL…NO to BBL!   ONE COUNTRY…ONE CONSTITUTION…ONE GOVERNMENT.

    3. Yung galit sa tatlo (Napenas, Purisima at Pnoy) at ang tragic incidence ng SAF 44 ay ni-LINK sa BBL..

      Masyadong UNFAIR na i-associate at iugnay ang BBL sa 44 SAF, weak leadership at lameduck President…..Ginamit ng mga pulitikong tulad ni CAYETANO at MARCOS ang SAF 44 para ibasura ang BBL.. na sa totoo lang ay wala naman siyang kinalaman.

      Ang totoo, non-partisan ang BBL….para sa kapayaan at kaunlaran ng Mindanao. Trinabaho ito ng mga international institution at suportado ito ng UN, EUROPEAN UNION, ASEAN, libong civil society organization, NGOs, SIMBAHAN at mamamayan ng Mindanao…

    4. When people who are showing barbaric behaviors by cheering, laughing and shouting Allah u Akbar at mutilated and desecrated bodies of dead Police, making peace with them should be out of the question. MILFs are using the word PEACE to achieve their hidden agenda. BBL is not final as negotiations are ongoing but MILF and BIFF took it upon them that they can kill government troops who are in their neighborhood who were duly authorized to go there to do their job. I think their hidden agenda is easy money, Malacanang will provide them with yearly budget in billions for their sustenance, pay their police to control the population, buy more firearms and ammunition to kill more PNP and AFP personnel for any reason of their own choosing.

    5. Daniel B. Laurente on

      BBL is the springboard for future Islamic Philippines. My view is based on the statements of some MILF members on regards to narrative of Philippines History.

    6. The president and cohorts urgently want to pass the BBL before his term because it is his safe haven after his term surely his detractors will file criminal charges against him….trully

    7. I’m skeptical with regard to passage of BBL will finally bring peace in Mindanao. If fact it the other way around. It will bring greater instability to the region. Just as we thought this group is sincerely. They kill our SAF commando that surrender like animals. They cuddle criminals and terrorist . So its wrong at the start how will be right at the end. It time for this government to face reality that negotiating with this traitor and heartless criminals is exercise in futility.

    8. BBL could be part of the exit strategy of PNoy & Co after they are no longer in power. The BBL is tailored for PNoy and cohorts for a very safe retirement place and continued supply of money…safe because Philippine law enforcers will not get permission from MILF…continued supply of money from the billions of tax money that will automatically be released to Bansangmoro.