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Thursday, December 20, 2007

 

FDI surge seen next year

By Maricel E. Burgonio Reporter

FOREIGN direct investments (FDI) will increase significantly next year, according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP).

BSP Deputy Gov. Diwa C. Guinigundo said FDI would reach $3.6 billion next year, a turnaround from this year’s estimated net divestment by foreigners of $1.2 billion.

“The negative net FDI was because Mirant borrowed foreign exchange but direct investments went down,” Guinigundo said.

US-based Mirant earlier sold its power plants in the Philippines to a consortium of Tokyo Electric Power Co. and Marubeni Corp for $3.424 billion.

At end-September, net FDI reached $1.9 billion, 22.3 percent higher than the $1.6 billion recorded in the same period last year.

Behind the net FDI in September were net equity capital placements of $95 million mostly into the real estate and manufacturing sectors.

Despite the higher expected FDI next year, foreign portfolio investments, which are placed in peso-denominated financial assets like stocks and bonds, are seen to decrease to $3.3 billion next year from the estimated $4.3 billion this year.

“The portfolio investments are weaker because of possible US economic slowdown and risk aversion,” Guinigundo said.

Foreign investors have been cautious about increasing their exposure in risky markets like the Philippines in the face of a global credit crunch arising from problems in the US’ sub prime mortgage market. This liquidity crunch is seen to turn American consumers more bearish, in turn slowing down exports by Philippines and other countries that ship largely to the US.

Based on BSP’s latest report, registered foreign portfolio investments in November reached $1.3 billion, 62 percent of which were used to buy shares of firms listed in the Philippine Stock Exchange.

For the first 11 months of the year, net inflows of over $3.7 billion were recorded. This level was 1.8 times the $2.1 billion net inflow realized for the comparable period last year.

  
 

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