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Tuesday, December 25, 2007

 

Thaksin allies to return to power after election

 
BANGKOK: Allies of ousted Thai premier Thaksin Shinawatra began hard bargaining Monday in a bid to form a coalition government after falling short of a majority in the first polls since last year’s coup.

The generals who toppled Thaksin’s twice-elected government have made little secret that they want to keep supporters of the exiled self-made billionaire out of power after trying for more than a year to erase his legacy.

But the pro-Thaksin People Power Party (PPP) looked set to win 228 of the 480 parliament seats up for grabs in Sunday’s election, according to unofficial results from the Election Commission.

A complete count of the votes was expected later Monday.

PPP leader Samak Sundaravej declared late Sunday he would become the next prime minister “for sure,” but his failure to win an absolute majority has forced it to woo small parties to set up a new government.

“Now hard negotiations begin after the election. Although PPP is a top winner, it has to invite small parties to launch a coalition government,” said Ukrist Pathmanand, a professor of political science.

“We are going to see intense negotiations between PPP and small parties,” said Ukrist from Bangkok’s Chulalongkorn University.

PPP’s closest rival, the Democrat Party, was set to win 166 seats, with five smaller parties dividing up the rest.

The Democrats’ leader Abhisit Vejjajiva has refused to bow out.

“If PPP succeeds in forming a coalition, the Democrat Party is ready to become the opposition. If the PPP fails, then the Democrat Party is ready to form its own coalition,” Abhisit told a news conference late Sunday.

With the shape of a new govern­ment still uncertain, rumors swirled in Bangkok that the heads of two small parties went to see royal adviser and respected former premier General Prem Tinsulanonda late Sunday.

Prem is believed to have played a prominent role in last year’s coup. His secretary denied such a meeting.

PPP’s strong lead in the election was seen as a repudiation of the coup, and Thai papers said Monday the results showed voters wanted a full return to democracy after 15 months of military rule.

“The election was an important but ultimately a small step on the road back to democracy,” the Bangkok Post said in an editorial.

Thais “want to put the past 15 months of military rule behind them and turn back to the democratic path,” the English-language paper said, adding “everyone” must accept the outcome of the polls.

PPP’s coalition government could set the stage for Thaksin’s political comeback. Since the coup, the former premier has been in self-imposed exile in Britain, where he bought Manchester City Football Club.

The junta dissolved Thaksin’s Thai Rak Thai (Thais Love Thais) party and banned him from political office, but the man who made a fortune in telecoms has remained a dominant and divisive figure in Thai politics.

PPP campaigned on promises to bring back Thaksin’s populist economic policies and to bring him back to Thailand.

But few analysts believe the election will resolve deep divisions between anti-Thaksin urban dwellers and the rural masses, who remain loyal to the deposed leader.

PPP draws most of its support from farmers, the majority of Thailand’s 64-million population, who remember Thaksin’s efforts to boost the rural economy during his five-year rule.

The Democrat Party is popular among Bangkok’s middle-class, who last year spearheaded anti-Thaksin protests that culminated in the coup.

Mathichon, a major Thai-language daily, was pessimistic Monday, saying the election did little to solve a deep social division between pro- and anti-Thaksin forces.

“The division has remained unchanged,” it said. “It is still uncertain that we will return to a real peace after the December 23 election.”
-- AFP

   

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Severino O. Frayna Jr., Benjie Dela Rosa
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