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Saturday, January 06, 2007

 

BIG DEAL
By Dan Mariano
Budget deadlock favors GMA

 
Since 2004 senators have tried to spite President Arroyo by rejecting her general appropriations proposal. They only succeeded in gifting her with “reenacted” budgets that allowed Malacañang to realign state funds at will.

The senators have learned their lesson—apparently. Now they are pressing for a resolution to the budget deadlock. For one, Senate Minority Leader Aquilino Pimentel acknowledges that lawmakers win nothing by failing to agree on the P1.126-trillion budget for 2007.

“Only the President stands to gain from any failure to break the deadlock,” says the opposition leader, “since this will mean that the budget will be converted into a one big pork barrel or discretionary [fund] that she can easily divert to projects that are meant to boost her political stock or and the winning chances of her chosen or favored candidates in the [midterm] elections in May.”

Pimentel urges the Senate and House panels in the bicameral conference committee to resolve their differences over the budget even before the regular congressional session resumes January 22.

The stalemate arose from the congressmen’s objection to the senators’ move to transfer P4.7 billion from the Food-for-School Program of the Department of Education to the construction of new school buildings and hiring of additional teachers.

Benefit of stronger peso

Another senator, Ralph Recto, proposes a formula that would fund both the food-for-school program and the construction of more schools.

“In the first place, this should not be an either-or situation in which you choose one over the other. Why not choose both so that children can have their food and their new classrooms?” says Recto.

He says “budget space” can be created to accommodate “two worthwhile programs that should not be made to compete against each other for funds.”

He urges a reduction in debt-service allocations in view of the strong peso, “a move that will free enough resources to fund school initiatives.”

Recto says next year’s P318.8-billion allocation for debt service “is padded by at least P6.6 billion due to imprecise foreign exchange assumption.” The foreign component of the debt service fund was computed using a P53:$1 exchange rate, above the projected average for 2007.

At the Philippine Dealing System the peso has been trading below P49 to the greenback, well within analysts’ projection that the government’s good fiscal numbers would keep the peso below the P50:$1 level this year.

Interest expense

The government is scheduled to pay its foreign creditors $2.209 billion in interest expense. According to the proposed budget, the payment would amount to P117.06 billion—calculated at P53:$1.

By adopting a “lower but realistic” P50:$1 rate, interest payments on foreign liabilities will go down to P110.45 billion, Recto says. “This will free up P6.6 billion in non-productive expense for social services.”

He says: “I am recommending that this be used for education project instead. This debt-for-education scheme can end the deadlock over the budget.”

   
 

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