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Saturday, January 06, 2007

 

FOREBODINGS
By Rene Q. Bas
We should be as jittery 
as our Siamese twin

 
Who are behind the bom­bings and the coup rumors that have made Bangkok a city on edge since the New Year began?

The ruling military men say they are “men in uniform,” but military-appointed Prime Minister Surayud Chulanont points to men linked to deposed prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra.

They could be both. The terrorists could be Thaksin’s men in the Thai military.

Not well known to Filipinos is that the first move to pull a coup in September was made by Thaksin himself.

In New York for the UN General Assembly meeting, he gave orders—through the military radio stations and civilian ones friendly to him—for the dismissal of General Sonthi Boonyaratglin, the armed forces chief and today’s leader of the ruling military-junta. He was ordering the military (thinking that generals loyal to him would rally against General Sonthi) to mount a coup when suddenly the military radio cut Thaksin off the air. It replaced his voice with classical music. The private radio and TV stations followed suit.

The next thing that happened a few hours later was the rumbling of tanks in Bangkok followed by General Sonthi’s announcement that the military had taken over the government.

Then the king blessed the coup.

After a while the military junta named retired general and former prime minister Surayud Chulanont prime minister. Also appointed were the other key men to form the present Thai government.

It is among the possible scenarios that the New Year bombings were the work of the very same military men that Thaksin had thought would pull a coup d’état against his own government, obeying his order from New York. He thought these generals would later install him as PM. With him in a position like PM Surayud, he would be spared from the attacks of opposition politicians, media questioning and exposés of his alleged wrongdoing and the humiliating rallies right outside his office.

Results of an opinion poll released on Friday indicated that public support for Prime Minister Surayud Chulanont has drastically declined among Bangkok residents after the New Year bombings.

Surayud himseld has warned his countrymen that they must get ready for months of political unrest. He told them he could see new bomb attacks coming.

As reported by AFP, only 48.5 percent of the 1,600 people polled around the Thai capital said they supported Surayud. This is almost half his 90 percent support in October 2006.

Bangkok is now tense with rumors of a new coup, one that could be mounted by Thak­sin’s men. But a coup could also be launched by General Sonthi’s present group of rulers. They might have become dissatisfied with Surayud’s performance as PM.

The rumors forced General Sonthi to speak on TV last Thursday and yesterday morning to calm the Thai public.

Meanwhile, leading civil libertarians and media people want civilian rule to come back. I met some of them in Singapore at a recent media conference organized by the Konrad Adenauer Foundation.

They don’t want Thaksin back. But they want a properly elected government that is civilian, democratic and respectful of human rights and press freedom. They want something like the Philippines—but the Philippines before it became the champion killer of journalists and political dissenters, a Philippines that in addition has Thailand’s better sense of running the national economy and its private-sector businesses.

These Thai friends are nervously noticing that General Sonthi has been attempting to get involved in day-to-day government matters instead of letting civilians do their work. I think we should also be nervous here, watching more and more ex-generals taking over key government offices and having a situation that has been described as “undeclared martial law.”

   
 

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