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Sunday, January 28, 2007

 

DURIAN
By Amina Rasul
Is Iran the way out of Iraq?

 
In 2003 I had the privilege of attending a forum organized by the Brookings Institution to discuss US relations with the Islamic World. Leaders from the United States, the Arab and Muslim world attended—sultans, prime ministers, foreign ministers, members of parliament, religious leaders and representatives of various sectors. The topic was the US plan to invade Iraq. The unanimous recommendation of the Arab world: DON’T!

As feared and hated as Sad­dam Hussein was, the Muslim leaders believed that taking him out thru foreign invasion would make the situation in Iraq even more dangerous and volatile. This would make the Arab street even more tension-filled.

Their advice and warning were not heeded by President Bush. The rest is history.

More unstable

Today, Iraq grapples with even more instability as compared with the Hussein era. Sectarian violence has increased. Warlords, previously controlled by Hussein, have become stronger and threaten rule of law.

According to media, more than 3,000 American troops have been killed in Iraq and nearly 23,000 troops have been wounded. A recent United Nations report said more than 34,000 Iraqi civilians were “violently killed” across Iraq last year, with an average of 94 Iraqis killed every day. (CNN)

President Bush has announced a new Iraq policy: Send over 20,000 more troops to Iraq to secure the peace while hoping that the Iraqi government can soon take over the reins. “Our goal is a democratic Iraq that upholds rule of law, respects the rights of its people, provides them security, and is an ally in the war on terrorism,” said President Bush.

The deterioration of the situation in Iraq, coupled with the fear of an invasion of Iran and the debacle that was the bombing of Lebanon, have increased the opposition of American political leaders to a stronger US presence in Iraq. The day after President Bush asked Congress to support his Iraq strategy, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee approved a resolution denouncing the White House’s plan to send more troops to Baghdad.

Sen. Richard Lugar

According to CNN, the Foreign Relations Committee approved the resolution on a vote of 12-to-9, with Senator Chuck Hagel, Republican of Nebraska, joining 11 Democrats in supporting the measure. It is interesting to note that Republican leaders who opposed the resolution have expressed reservations about the wisdom of sending more American troops. Even Republican Sen. Richard Lugar has suggested it was time for a new direction.

The invasion of Iraq was tied to the war on terror. To date, no weapons of mass destruction have been unearthed in Iraq. However, terror has strengthened its grip.

Is Iran the way out of Iraq? Given that there are Bush advisors who believe Iran is a threat to the region, will the US advance into Iran? Is the increased troop deployment in preparation for such a move? Is the strategy called “Leap from the frying pan and into the fire”?

Filipino Muslims watch

We Muslims in the Philippines have been watching, with foreboding, the developments in Iraq, Iran, Palestine, Afghanistan and in our own region. We need to take stock of all these developments and ask ourselves how these affect us and our own complicated issues of self-determination and insurgency, war on terrorist groups ASG and JI, increasing violence and disrespect for the rule of law, decreasing effectiveness and reach of governance.

Since military intervention has not succeeded to attain peace and order, since democracy clearly cannot be attained from the barrel of a gun, when will the Philippine government realize that the military cannot win hearts and minds? Military action merely hardens our hearts. Or that part of the scenario? Instability in selected areas to control the whole.

Into the fire we go!  

   
 

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