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Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Peso rises back to the 45-to-a-dollar level 

Dollar surplus in May exceeds BSP ‘07 target

By Maricel E. Burgonio, Reporter

STRONG overseas Filipino worker (OFW) remittances and foreign investments in the local stock market and other peso-denominated financial assets allowed the country to exceed the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) dollar surplus forecast for this year seven months ahead of schedule.

BSP Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr. said the country’s balance of payments (BOP) surplus reached $2.365 billion at end-May, surpassing the central bank’s forecast of a full-year $2-billion surplus as well as last year’s five-month surplus of $1.808 billion.

In May alone, the country’s BOP surplus this year reached $665 million. This is a reversal from the $36-million deficit recorded in the same month last year.

The BOP summarizes the country’s economic transactions with the rest of the world, to include its trade, investments and other income transfers. A surplus is viewed in a positive light since this means that the country earned more foreign exchange than it gave up.

Earlier, Tetangco said the country is likely to exceed the BSP’s forecast, citing higher OFW remittances and foreign investments. Last year, the country’s BOP surplus reached $3.769 billion.

“The January to May [period] showed a surplus of $2.4 billion which arose from double-digit growth in remittances, sustained investment inflows, growing exports, frontloading of national government borrowings, and investment income,” Tetangco told reporters.

OFW money usually flood the country between April and June, as Filipinos abroad send home more money for the educational expenses of loved ones.

Based on the BSP’s most recent data, OFW money grew 26.1 percent year on year to $4.7 billion in the first four months of the year. Meanwhile, net foreign portfolio investments amounted to $1.689 billion at end-May, or two and half times more than the $879.27 million seen in the same period last year.

Record dollar inflows have kept the peso rising, breaking into the 45-to-a-dollar level again on Monday despite intervention by the BSP.

At the Philippine Dealing System, the peso closed at 45.920, stronger than Friday’s close of 46.8 against the greenback. The local currency opened at 46.080 and traded to a low of 46.100 and a high of 45.95. Total volume turnover reached $561.5 million.

“The BSP has intervened in yesterday’s trading [to] slow down the appreciation of [the] peso but did not prevent [the] peso from breaking [to the] 46 level,” a trader said. Another trader said the central bank was responsible for less than $100 million of trading volume.

Traders said the overnight appreciation of Asian currencies supported the appreciation of the Philippine unit. “We’re seeing foreign portfolio investments,” a trader said.

The peso is seen to trade between 45.60 and 46.30 this week.

  
 

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