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Thursday, June 21, 2007

 

EDITORIAL

Foreign investment surge


Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Romulo L. Neri says more foreign investors are now choosing the Philippines as an investment destination.

He notes that net foreign investment has increased almost five times from what we were getting in 2003-06.

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) figures show that from a total of US$491 million in 2003, net foreign direct investments (FDIs) went up to US$2.345 billion in 2006.

These impressive gains were won despite the legal restrictions on land ownership and continuing complaints of foreign businessmen already established here that many things are wrong with the Philippine business environment.

They say we have an antibusiness legal system. Our highways are antiquated, with EDSA and even Roxas Boulevard—our capital’s primary roads—always in gridlock. Corruption in government—and some say even in the private sector—is pandemic. And there are many personal risks foreigners have to be ready for in this country, where sometimes the kidnappers and armed robbers are in league with the police and the military.

The administration is apparently winning in its campaign to win more and more foreign investors. Foreigners are now permitted to own 100 percent of equity in primary economic sectors (except retailing and media ownership) and locators in special economic zones are recipients of generous tax privileges.

The image of the Philippines has also been boosted by seemingly unstoppable news about the triumphs of the Philippine economy—thanks to the President and her economic team.

The latest report says the gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 6.9 percent in the first three months of 2007.

Then came the report that the unemployment rate has dropped to 7.4 in April.

The local stock market has been on a roll, since it registered record highs last month.

The good news springs from the support the overseas Filipino workers have been giving the economy. It is they who are causing the pesos to be strong. A strong peso allows the government to retire its outstanding loans early. With less debts to pay, the budget deficit shrinks. And the government can borrow money cheap.

Ironically the OFWs are also the Filipinos who suffer the most from the strong peso. They have to use more dollars, euros and pounds to buy their families food, shelter and clothes and to pay for the children’s tuition.

Apart from the OFW remittances, what caused the Q1 2007 growth?

The services sector grew by 9.1 percent. Financial services (which again OFWs and their families use a lot of it) grew by 13.4 percent. The transport and communication part of service also grew impressively.

The wholesale and retail trade rose by 9.1 percent. Private services, including tourism-related services, grew 8.9 percent.

Government services grew remarkably at 7.1 percent. This was because of government construction projects and services to the poor, like Botika ng Bayan and schoolbuilding repairs, food for schoolchildren and such subsidies.

Even industry grew by 5.3 percent.

And agriculture recovered in January, February and May. Agriculture growth in the last quarter of 2006 was a dismal 1.7 percent. In 2007 Q1 growth in this sector was 4.2. This is a pitiful figure compared to agricultural growth in, say, Vietnam. But this is only the Philippines after all.

Filipinos mainly bought these products and services. Thanks to the OFWs once more. But thanks also to the government, which had to consume a lot to be able to do its projects. Government consumption was 13.1 percent.

The people who got jobs, even if temporary ones, from government projects also became big consumers. Personal and family consumption spending grew by 5.9 percent.

Exports also grew—by 9. 1 percent.




Domestic investment

WE need to grow by more than 6.9 to become the First-World nation that the President promises to make us in the next decade.

Can we ever grow by the 9 to 10 and increasing double-digit levels to wipe out our massive poverty?

We can if we get more and more foreign direct investments and tens of millions of tourists. These will mean more Filipinos employed for higher wages. With more and with more well-paid Filipinos, there will be more consumption and higher growth figures.

There is something, though, that is keeping the investment from soaring.

It is that we Filipinos are not investing enough of our own money.

In the period we are discussing investment expenditures almost had no growth. It was a mere 0.6-percent growth.

Aside from the Ayalas, the Sys, the Tans and a few others, very few Filipinos have been plowing back capital into their own companies and businesses.

Foreigners will continue to hesitate to come here until they see that we are putting money in our stock market and investing in our own companies.

Last April, when news broke about large inflows of foreign investment into the country, Secretary Ignacio Bunye wrote in his “The View From the Palace” online column these thoughts:

“The expected surge in foreign direct investments [FDIs] is certainly good news for the people expecting more well-paying jobs, but we must continue to strive to match this with a stronger trend of domestic investments.

“Filipino enterprise at all levels must lead the trend for a nation we are building with our own hands and our own vision.

“The stronger we can combine domestic and foreign resources to grow the economy, the faster our pace in joining the ranks of the First World by the next generation.”

Very true. Very wise words from a noneconomist.

   
 

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