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Saturday, October 13, 2007

 

Dollar stable in Asian trade as market turns cautious ahead of key US data

 
TOKYO: The dollar was steady in Asian trade on Friday as the market turned cautious ahead of the release of US retail sales data, helping the yen to recoup early losses, dealers said.

The dollar stood at 117.22 yen in Tokyo afternoon trade, little changed from 117.27 yen in New York late Thursday.

It rose to 1.4649 Singapore dollars from 1.4642 a day earlier, to 31.51 Thai baht from 31.42, and to 9060.00 Indonesian rupiah from 9,092.50.

It fell to 43.83 Philippine peso from 44.05 and to 916.00 South Korean won from 916.40, while holding steady at 32.58 Taiwan dollars.

The euro slipped to $1.4187 after $1.4195 while easing to 166.26 yen from 166.48.

The market was expecting the US retail sales data, due later Friday, to show another rise, which could encourage the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady when policymakers meet at the end of this month, dealers said.

“The certainty behind a rate cut in October has been significantly reduced,” said Thomas Lam, treasury economist at United Overseas Bank in Singapore. “There is a low likelihood that the Fed will move interest rates.”

Players locked in some of Thursday’s gains, which were sparked by speculation that the European Central Bank may lift its benchmark interest rate one more time between now and the end of the year, dealers said.

ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet reiterated that economic growth in the eurozone remained robust and that inflation was subject to upside risks.

The yen had come under pressure in early trade amid signs that players were stepping up carry trades that involve selling low-return currencies for high-yielding ones.

“Market players are paying renewed attention to interest rate gaps and opting to take risks . . . in view of easing credit fears and recovering stock prices,” said Resona Bank currency analyst Nobuaki Tani.

The Bank of Japan left on Thursday its key interest rate on hold at 0.50 percent, opting to wait for clearer evidence that the recent turmoil on global financial markets has fully subsided.

The BoJ decision to leave rates on hold “likely emboldened carry traders,” noted Barclays Capital currency analysts.

But they said there was a “possibility of a return to risk aversion if US banks earning reports come out weaker than expected in the coming weeks.”
--AFP

  
 

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