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Saturday, October 13, 2007

 

China’s trade surplus scorches

 
BEIJING: China’s trade surplus this year has already scorched past the record 12-month figure of 2006, official data showed Friday, giving further ammunition to critics of the Asian giant’s currency policies.

The accumulated surplus from January to September was $185.7 billion, the customs bureau said, exceeding the $177.5 billion for all of last year.

After three record monthly trade surplus figures in June, July and August, September’s $23.9-billion surplus was the fourth-largest ever, the customs figures showed. It was also up 56 percent from a year earlier.

“There will definitely be pressure on the currency to rise in value,” said Chen Jijun, a Beijing-based economist with Citic Securities.

The United States and other foreign critics argue China’s currency, the yuan, is kept artificially low to make Chinese exporters more competitive than they would otherwise be.

China de-linked the yuan from the US dollar in 2005 and has since allowed it to rise about 10 percent against the greenback, a pace many in the United States consider far too slow.

Some in the US Congress have called for sanctions to punish China over its currency policies, but administration officials have opted for negotiations and occasional complaints at the World Trade Organization.

On Thursday, Washington filed its fourth WTO complaint against China, challenging Beijing’s restrictions on imports of products of copyright-intensive industries such as films, music and books.

The US Treasury’s undersecretary for international affairs, David McCormick, argued late last month that greater flexibility in the yuan’s rate would not damage China’s economic growth.

“What currency flexibility will do for China is support—and in fact be a necessary component of—a growth strategy that brings higher consumption to Chinese households and more balanced, harmonious and sustainable growth.”

However, China’s central bank governor reiterated later there was no timetable for making the yuan fully flexible.

Foreign criticism reflects not just general dissatisfaction with the nation’s currency policies, but also practices pursued in individual sectors.

This was highlighted in Friday’s customs data, which showed that in the first nine months, steel products exports rose 73.3 percent year on year, while imports declined 8.2 percent.

European steelmakers have become sharply critical of China, preparing to file a complaint with the European Commission alleging that the nation’s steelmakers are exporting prices below production cost.

China, which was still the world’s biggest importer of steel in 2004, has become the world’s biggest exporter three years later and now accounts for 34 percent of the world’s steel production.

But with the focus on China’s exports, some economists argued more attention ought to be paid to the role played by imports in bringing about the large surplus.

Exports in September rose 22.8 percent year on year to $112.5 billion, but imports were up by a more moderate 16.1 percent at $88.6 billion, the customs bureau said.

“The rather high trade surplus in September is linked to a modest rise in imports,” said Li Huiyong, a Shanghai-based economist with Shenyin Wanguo Securities.

“I tend to think this has come about as a number of local enterprises have started making products that substitute goods that previously had to be imported.”
--AFP

  
 

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