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Tuesday, October 30, 2007

 

Oil surges above $93 in Asia


SINGAPORE: Oil spiked past $93 in Asian trade Monday for the first time to set a new intra-day high as tensions in the Middle East continued to spook investors, dealers said.

Prices were also partly driven up by a new tropical storm, dubbed Noel, in the Caribbean which investors fear may make its way to the United States gulf coast where many of the country’s energy facilities are located, they said.

At 2:20 p.m. (0620 GMT) New York’s main futures contract, light sweet crude for December delivery had eased from its new trading high of $93.20 to $93.06. The contract had breached $92 for the first time on Friday.

It is currently up $1.20 from its all-time closing high of $91.86 Friday.

Brent North Sea crude for December delivery also surged to a new trading high, rising $1.21 to $89.90. Its previous high was $89.30 set on Friday.

“What we see is a continuation of the trend that was in place Friday,” said David Moore, a commodity strategist with the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney.

“Geopolitical tensions, issues regarding tensions between Turkey and Kurdish rebels . . . those sort of factors have added to oil prices,” he said.

Tensions between Turkey and Kurdish militants have fueled concerns that energy supplies from the Middle East, where Iran’s nuclear program has already triggered sanctions from western nations, will be disrupted.

Crude futures have rocketed by at least $10 in a month and by $30, or around 50 percent, this year.

Given the current situation, prices are likely to rise further and $100 a barrel for oil cannot be ruled out, said Moore.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if in the very short term we see oil prices continue to move a little bit higher,” he said.

“It is certainly possible they will move higher . . . I personally don’t believe we will see oil prices at a $100 but it is not impossible given the situation.”

Reports that Mexico had cut its crude output because of a storm was also a factor, said Dariusz Kowalczyk, a Hong Kong-based senior investment strategist with CFC Seymour securities firm.

Kowalczyk also predicts prices are headed north given the prevailing conditions.

“I think pretty much at this point anything goes,” he said.

The dollar’s continued weakness was also bolstering oil prices as investors now find it cheaper to buy commodities futures including oil, which is priced in the greenback.

In Asian trade Monday, the dollar sank to a new low against the euro as market players grew increasingly confident about the prospect of another US interest rate cut this week.

The euro hit $1.4426 in Tokyo trade, breaking the $1.44 level for the first time since the single European currency’s creation in 1999.
--AFP

  
 

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