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Thursday, September 27, 2007

 

FROM THE SIDELINES
By Alfredo G. Rosario
GMA and JdV need each other


I am torn between my love for my son and my loyalty to the President,” said Speaker Jose de Venecia Jr. in reaction to the testimony of his son, Joey de Venecia 3rd, during a Senate hearing last week, linking the President’s husband, Mike Arroyo, to the controversial $329-million national broad­band network deal in favor of China’s ZTE Corp.

Joey claimed that in a supposed reconciliation meeting between him and Comelec Chairman Benjamin Abalos in mid-March at the Wack Wack Country Club, the President’s husband ordered him to “back off” from the deal, pointing a finger to his face.

He had earlier accused Abalos of attempting to bribe him with $10 million in consideration of the withdrawal of his company, the Amsterdam Holdings, Inc., from the project.

The young de Venecia’s Senate testimony identifying the “powerful man” at the Wack Wack meeting as Mr. Arroyo has enormously compromised his father’s position as House speaker.

Cebu Rep. Pablo Garcia, who had contested the speakership at the opening of Congress last July, and his chief House backer, Kampi president Luis Villa­fuerte, promptly seized the opportunity to ask Speaker de Venecia to take a leave of absence obviously to give them room for maneuvering a leadership change.

President Arroyo’s brother-in-law, Rep. Ignacio “Iggy” Arroyo, remonstrated against the young de Venecia’s claim. In retaliation, he said his support for the Speaker had ended as of the moment Joey made his damaging revelation. As expected, the President’s son-congressmen—Mikey and Dato—rallied behind their uncle in withdrawing support for the Speaker.

The question now is does the Garcia group have the numbers to oust the Speaker from his post? There were reports that soon after Joey’s testimony at the Senate, a group of congressmen, mostly Kampi members and Garcia supporters, met in Malacańang purportedly to plot a “coup” in the House against the incumbent leader.

But a significant number, mostly rabid de Venecia loyalists, stayed behind in a demonstration of support for the Speaker. Many are members of the Lakas-Christian Muslim Democrats, of which the Speaker is head, and some from Kampi itself.

The Speaker isn’t daunted by the move of the Garcia-Villa­fuerte camp to seek his ouster. He blunted any impression of an open break between him and the President by saying he has remained loyal to her.

The Speaker had stood squarely behind the President in warding off two impeachment complaints against Mrs. Arroyo in the last two years. He vowed to stand beside her in the event of any new impeachment complaint.

Whether the President likes it or not, the specter of an impeachment continues to haunt her, like a “sword of Damocles” hanging over her head. There are many questionable government transactions occurring during her watch—notable of which are the “Hello, Garci” scandal, which had something to do with the legitimacy of her election in 2004, the multimillion-peso fertilizer scam and now the ZTE broad­band network deal—which are potential bases for an impeachment complaint.

The President cannot afford at this time to polarize the House, which holds the mandate to accept an impeachment complaint, investigate it and file the articles of impeachment with the Senate. All that it needs to approve an impeachment complaint is one-third of the House membership, or 79 votes.

As things stand, there are an estimated 50 opposition House members who may vote according to partisan lines to impeach the President. A deposed de Venecia, counting on his loyal supporters, can easily muster a significant number to join with the opposition members in voting to impeach the President.

Some political leaders consider it “unwise” and “ill-advised” for the President and her House allies to “rock the boat,” as it were, by provoking a leadership change in the House as she will be taking the risk of being unseated the moment an impeachment complaint is filed against her.

De Venecia has well proven himself as a loyal and trusted ally of the President. He still wields a tremendous influence and a strong hold on the House membership. The President needs him and his effective leadership.

It is true that the Speaker is caught between the devil and the deep blue sea as a consequence of his son’s accusation against the First Gentleman. But in order not to unduly risk losing his seat in a leadership showdown, he should remember the dictum that “prudence is the better part of valor.”

Truly, the President and the Speaker need each other.  

   
 

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