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Monday, April 21, 2008

 

SPECIAL REPORT

Shift due to tight rivalry on foreign front, costly fuel

Local airlines turn back home

By Darwin G. Amojelar, Reporter

LOCAL airlines are turning to domestic routes to hedge against tight competition in foreign destinations and record jet fuel costs.

Last week, Philippine Airlines (PAL) unveiled its new low-cost unit, which will fly mainly to the country’s smaller islands, or the so-called missionary routes that the flag carrier had abandoned when it entered into corporate rehabilitation.

Asia’s oldest carrier has since emerged from rehabilitation, and last week launched PAL Express, which will start flying on May 5 between Manila and Caticlan, with plans of dispatching flights from its reactivated Cebu hub to five other points in the Visayas and Mindanao.

PAL Express is similar to the set-up found in other international airlines, where the “legacy” carrier establishes an operating division aimed at a market niche distinct from the main operations.

The airline’s move is aimed at routing foreign low-cost carriers, which have intensified competition in regional routes and now operate from major Philippine airports such as the Ninoy Aquino International Airport and the Diosdado Macapagal International Airport.

Most of the budget airlines have fuel subsidies from their government, thus Philippine carriers cannot compete on the same footing. This already forced domestic airlines to cut their fares to prevent an erosion of volumes.

PAL’s revival of its missionary routes therefore meant to offset high jet fuel prices, which according to the carrier will account for about 40 percent of total expenses this year, up from 35 percent last year.

Jaime Bautista, PAL president, said the company expects lower income for its fiscal year ending 2009 because of skyrocketing jet fuel prices.

“Fuel cost is becoming a very big percentage of our operations. We want to target a higher income, but with the present increasing fuel, we might not be able to reach the target because we cannot pass [on] everything to the passengers. [But] we will still grow [our] revenue at least 8 percent to 10 percent,” he said.

Low fares to pay for operating expenses

 “We can offer a different type of fare depending on the demand of the market. The fares that we will offer will allow us to pay our operating expenses,” Bautista said.

PAL Express will operate a fleet of nine small aircraft from Cebu, including 50-seater Bombardier Q300s and six 76-seater Q400s, which PAL will acquire this year at a cost of $100 million.

The new aircraft will have a break-even load factor of about 40 percent to 45 percent. PAL Express expects almost a million passengers every year at full operations.

“We are expecting profits by around P300 million at full operations every year. Revenue will be a billion pesos a year,” Bautista said.

“We will leverage on the strength of the PAL brand to make PAL Express the leader in the markets it serves. In turn, PAL benefits from the expansion of its network to areas it does not presently fly to, from where PAL Express aims to draw traffic to feed the main trunk routes,” he added.

Astro del Castillo, managing director of First Grade Holdings, said PAL Express’ pricing strategy as well as higher jet fuel prices could have an impact on PAL’s bottom-line.

He said PAL’s strategy is to regain its number one position in the domestic market.

“Before they have to compete regionally, they should compete in the domestic market to regain the number one position in the country,” del Castillo said.

To regain leadership in the domestic arena, PAL through its new unit has taken over Air Philippines’ profitable destinations.

Bautista said the low-cost unit will “protect market share” particularly in the domestic market.

“Air Philippines will continue to operate its frontline flights. These are new routes except with the Cebu hub,” he said.

Bautista said Air Philippines will no longer pursue its expansion plans, which it had announced earlier. “It was stopped because we will acquire all the Bombardiers aircrafts,” he said.

In its audited 2006 financial statements, Air Philippines said it posted a net loss of P153.42 million, a reversal from the P55.07-million profit in 2005.

Growing the entire pie

The number one spot was snatched from the flag carrier by leading rival Cebu Pacific, which announced having flown 4.45 million passengers within the country last year, compared with PAL’s 4.03 million.

Avelino Zapanta, a former PAL executive who now heads smaller rival Seair, agreed, saying, “Air Philippines couldn’t handle Cebu Pacific. Air Philippines [couldn’t make headway] because of its image and the intense competition,” he said.

Lance Gokongwei, Cebu Pacific president, sees no threat from PAL’s all-out venture into the low-cost segment.

“We’re not threatened. Our job is building the entire travel market in the Philippines. It is not to gain market share but to grow the entire pie. I think the set-up of the low-cost [operation] of Philippine Airlines is to further enhance the continuing growth in the Philippine travel market,” the Cebu Pacific executive said.

Gokongwei said the market is huge and consumers and the tourism industry will benefit from heightened competition among budget airlines.

Data from the Civil Aeronautics Board showed the number of domestic passengers last year rose 22.7 percent to 10.38 million from 8.46 million passengers in 2006.

Last year, Cebu Pacific announced its domestic expansion by acquiring 14 ATR72-500 aircraft worth more than $250 million.

The new aircraft will be used in medium-sized airports nationwide. Of the nearly 70 airports, only about 25 percent are Airbus-capable owing to runway length and strength limitations.

“There’s really a lot of room for growth and if you look at the ratio of population per flights is one in every 10. But if you look [at] other countr[ies] with the same GDP [gross domestic product] growth as the Philippines [it’s at] one in every six,” Candice Iyog, Cebu Pacific vice president for marketing and products, said.

Stiff competition in air market

With PAL’s entry to the budget airline business, industry insiders admit that competition will heat up.

Zapanta said Cebu Pacific and PAL Express’ operations will impact on the viability of smaller players like Asian Spirit and Seair. “It may be difficult to compete,” he said.

Asian Spirit and Seair are consolidating their operations to become stronger and survive competition. Alfredo Yao, who owns the maker of Zesto juice drinks, plans to buy Asian Spirit and merge it with Seair.

Despite the two leading airlines’ focus on the domestic market, Zapanta remains confident about the prospects of Seair, which he said has its niche market.

“The more rational thing is that PAL Express should fly in domestic points that are not being served by the existing carriers,” he said.

For Bautista, the entry of PAL Express will be beneficial to the public as more airlines would offer cheaper fares.

“The industry will continue to grow, the people will continue to travel and more and more people will prefer to travel by air because people now will realize the importance of time and of course it will be more comfortable to travel by air rather than bus or boats,” he said.

  
 

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