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Sunday, April 27, 2008

 

DURIAN
By Amina Rasul
Misuari: Chess master or pawn?

 
After more than six years incarceration, Nur Misuari is free—sort of. The chair of the Moro National Liberation Front was charged with rebellion, accused of ordering his troops to attack a military brigade in Jolo, Sulu. After six years, Nur has been allowed to post bail. Why, and why now?

Is the charge of rebellion a bailable crime? According to a lawyer friend, “No. However, if the evidence is not strong, the court may grant bail to the accused.” Several years ago, I asked a senior official of the Department of Justice about Misuari’s case and he told me that the case against the former ARMM governor was weak. Why then did it take more than six years for the court to decide that the evidence was weak?

A news item yesterday said that Judge Winluv Dimayas (Branch 59 of the Makati City regional trial court) approved the bail in accordance with the instructions of the Cabinet security cluster. Malaca­ñang orders the judiciary to do its bidding? What a thought! Checks and balances in our system of government require that the executive branch must not influence the judiciary. Presidential mouthpiece Ignacio Bunye, interviewed about Misuari, even said, “We will not interfere with court processes”. Talaga?

So why was Misuari granted bail?

The timing is intriguing. Special Envoy Sayed El Masry of the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC) was recently in Manila to monitor the tripartite review of the 1996 GRP-MNLF Final Peace Agreement. The OIC is mediating the assessment of the implementation of the historic accord. While the government claims it has implemented 100 percent of its commitments, the MNLF claims that he government has failed. During the 10th anniversary of the signing of the agreement, Misuari even said the pact must be resurrected before it can be implemented.

Misuari’s release has been a precondition demanded by the MNLF and supported by the OIC. “There is light at the end of the tunnel,” said El Masry last week. Is there light because the Palace has finally agreed to release Misuari? Is Mrs. Arroyo caving in to the demand of a foreign institution? How can this be? (wink wink)

In the surprising move to release Misuari, who is the chess master and who is the pawn? I also wonder what the stakes are and what the endgame is.

On the one hand, Misuari’s release on bail is a smart move for government, a proof of sincerity that the OIC and Nur’s followers can believe in. Misuari’s people probably believe that they have won. Have they? If Nur takes any step which his jailers don’t like, they can whisk him back to jail. What did Misuari promise? On the other hand, the government has to be worried that Nur is now accessible to media. It will be more difficult for the government to hide the fact that the agreement has failed, in large part because the government has not lived up to its commitments. Further, Nur can now take action to unite the MNLF. He can neutralize the recent action of Cotabato City Mayor and MNLF leader Muslimin Sema to declare himself the new chair of the MNLF. A united MNLF leadership can make it difficult for the government to hide the untrammeled militarization of Muslim Min­danao, contrary to the govern­ment’s commitment to support the autonomy of ARMM.

On the positive side, a united MNLF under Misuari also makes it easier for the government to address the military-MNLF hostilities which have burdened the people of Sulu. The government can negotiate with one leader who commands the respect and loyalty of the rebels holed up in the mountains. A united MNLF also makes it a little easier to have discussions between the MNLF and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, a move that has been strongly recommended by the OIC. The son and heir of Libya strongman Khadaffy, Seif Al Islam, tried to broker unity talks between the two liberation. He failed, in part because Misuari did not participate.

Since 1996, the road to peace has become more dangerous. Landmines abound. It is my fervent prayer that Chairman Misuari will use his temporary freedom to unite the MNLF. He is back in the driver’s seat. He has the opportunity to steer the MNLF organization and make it respond to the demands of his people for justice, peace and development. Take them to the Bangsamoro homeland, as he promised.

aminarasul@yahoo.com

   
 

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