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Sunday, April 27, 2008

 

Mining can make 100 times more
than its P95-B exports in 2007

By Likha Cuevas-Miel, Reporter

The Philippines is veritably sitting on vast reserves of minerals but the mining industry has yet to reach its full moneymaking potential. It has only been four years since the country began campaigning for investments in exploration and production after the Supreme Court upheld the constitutionality of the Mining Act of 1995 that opens the doors to foreign investors.

The world’s top mining companies like BHP Billiton, CVRD, Anglo American, and Xstrata have come and seized the opportunity to lock in mineral resources.

No mining without foreign investments

The president of a Lopez-led company said it is difficult to enter the mining industry without the funds that foreigners bring here. Mining is a capital-intensive endeavor with a long gestation period. A company has to have a wide distribution network to be able to make money since the buyers of minerals are scattered worldwide.

In 2002, gross production value in mining was P35.2 billion, data from the Mines and Geosciences Bureau (MGB) show. That year, the industry accounted for $519 million or 1.5 percent of total Philippine exports but in terms of its contribution to overall gross domestic product mining generated only 1.1 percent of total.

In 2004, the High Court nullified all provisions concerning the Financial or Technical Assistance Agreement (FTAA) and other permits that can be granted to foreign-owned corporations.

Then in 2006 or two years after the SC decision, production value of the industry slowly went up by P40.7 billion but contribution to exports jumped to 4.5 percent from the 1.5 percent four years before. Last year it further rose to 4.8 percent. Still, contribution to GDP in 2006 barely moved up to 1.2 percent from the 2002 level.

In 2002, jobs generated by the industry was only 0.3 percent of total employment because only 101,000 people were employed. Four years after, it barely climbed up to 134,000 workers or only 0.4 percent of the country’s total employment.

Then, only recently, metal prices skyrocketed around the world—thanks mainly to the growing industries of China and India that were swallowing up high volumes of these minerals. This spurred mining companies to look into other mineral-rich countries like the Philippines where they can pour huge amounts of exploration money into their local counterparts and hope for large returns.

“I think it [the foreign investor interest] has more than tripled even quadrupled. In fact it’s like opening a door and before the door was closed. With the Supreme Court ruling, the doors were opened. We’re just barely scratching the surface [with regards to] the potential. Of the $7 billion spent on exploration last year, the Philippines did not even get a 1-percent share,” the president of a local mining firm, who refused to be named, told The Manila Times.

Last year, the local mining industry posted a gross production value of P95 billion, 22 percent higher year on year due to the higher demand from Korea, India and China. Based on the past two years’ export contribution, the MGB projects that the country would be able to reach “mining country” status (as defined by the World Bank) in the next few years when mining exports have already reached 6 percent of total exports.

As metal prices began to soar, so did the announcements of investments in the industry. However, some industry insiders warned that these funds have yet to come in and these are merely for exploration that may or may not bear fruit.

63 projects go into production in 2009

Two months ago, the MGB announced that the country may hit $1.8 billion in projected investments as seven of the 63 priority projects would proceed into production by 2009. These mining projects include Carmen-Toledo copper, Dipidio copper-gold, Palawan HPAL nickel (line 2) and Filminera Masbate gold. Also included in the list are Iligan Ferronickel smelter plant, Manticao Ferronickel smelter plant and Philippine Saga gold.

The total investments poured into these projects are estimated to reach $670 million or P26.8 billion, on top of the $892 million projected for this year. The MGB said additional funds that would be injected into the industry could easily reach $10.4 billion after four years as the demand for precious and base metals would continue to grow.

However, not all of these investments may directly be translated into the potential export contribution since exploration is a hit-and-miss affair. Exploration could take from one year up to 15 years before a company can declare that the tenement is ready to produce minerals. People should rather be counting on the export potential of the companies that are ready to produce and ship out minerals.

Only about 10 of those priority projects listed by the MGB may reach production stage by 2011 at the earliest while 8 would be in the construction and development phase, another 8 in the feasibility and financing stage and 9 would advance to exploration stage.

   
 

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