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Saturday, February 16, 2008

 

Q1 growth seen at high-end of target

Govt to front-load infra spending

By Chino S. Leyco and Darwin G. Amojelar, Reporters

THE Philippines plans to front-load its infrastructure and social spending in the first quarter to counteract the likely impact of a possible US recession and sustain domestic economic growth at the high end of the Arroyo government’s target.

Speaking at her administration’s year-end economic briefing, President Arroyo on Friday said the government would release P200 billion to fund infrastructure projects.

On the sidelines of the briefing, Budget Secretary Rolando G. Andaya Jr. said 60 percent of this year’s capital outlays, or an estimated P113 billion, would be released in the first three months to keep the domestic economy afloat amid a US-led global slowdown.

“Like what I did last year, 60 percent [will be spent on the] first quarter. This is not spending, it’s authority to implement,” Andaya told reporters.

Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Augusto B. Santos said the Philippines is likely to sustain its growth record last year, citing higher government spending and exports.

“I think 7 percent growth in [the first quarter] is possible. The government is planning to release more funds for spending particularly in infrastructure,” Santos separately told reporters on the sidelines of the same briefing.

“We want to spend more to boost the economy,” he said adding the strong growth in exports last December will contribute to overall expansion in the first three months of the year. The National Statistics Office earlier reported that December exports were up by 21.4 percent as electronics shipments, the bulk of Philippine sales abroad, grew 12.3 percent during the period.

In the fourth quarter last year, the economy, as measured by the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew 7.4 percent, allowing the Philippines to register a 31-year record expansion of 7.3 for 2007.

For this year, the government targets  GDP growth of 6.3 percent to 7 percent.

Santos said agriculture is projected to grow 5 percent to 7 percent this year; industry, 6.4 percent to 7.1 percent; and services, 6.6 percent to 7.3 percent.

“Strong domestic demand, boosted by public investments in infrastructure, will enforce expectations of high growth and offer long-run returns to investments even during a slowdown in global growth,” he said.

Andaya said the plan to increase spending would be carried out parallel to the government’s goal of balancing its budget this year.

“Infrastructure and social services are priority sectors for accelerated spending,” he said, adding the total capital outlays this year is higher than last year’s P92.6 billion.

For this year, the government had proposed a P1.23 trillion budget. Andaya said the General Appropriations Act of 2008 should be signed by middle of next month.

In the first seven months last year, the Arroyo administration’s infrastructure program failed to meet targeted spending.

Andaya said the government only disbursed P109.4 billion for capital outlays, or P7.4-billion short of the P89.6-billion programmed for the period.

 He admitted that the government failed to meet its infrastructure spending program due to expected lag in the use of Notices of Cash Allocation (NCA) by agencies.

 An NCA  allows an agency to pay an obligation incurred based on a budgetary allocation.

  
 

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