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Saturday, February 16, 2008

 

‘Moderately high’ credit
risk for lenders–Moody’s

By Likha C. Cuevas-Miel, Reporter

MOODY’S Investor Service said on Friday that downward pressure on Philippine banks’ financial positions have eased due to better economic conditions but credit risks remain “moderately high” as their nonperforming assets are still a burden.

“The positive economic factors support the generally stable and in some cases positive ratings outlook on the nine Moody’s-rated Philippine banks,” said Richard Lung, the rating firm’s vice president and senior analyst, in a recent report. Moody’s sees a “stable” outlook for the average D financial strength rating for the local banks.

Despite the stronger fundamentals, local lenders are still hounded by the risks posed by their bad assets accumulated in the previous years. These nonperforming assets stood at P326.585 billion at end-June last year, according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas.

In addition, the effect of the new risk management systems and governance structures put in place the past few years have yet to be seen while fiscal resource constraints “will continue to limit the degree and type of assistance available to troubled institutions,” Lung said.

Moody’s also noted that while the outlook on the banks’ financial strength ratings is generally stable, the outlook for the foreign currency deposit and debt ratings of eight of the nine banks being rated was raised to “positive” from “stable” last month. The upgrade reflected the change in the outlook for the country’s foreign currency debt and deposit ceilings and this may ease constraints on the lenders’ external ratings in the future, the firm said.

The report released by the ratings firm pointed out several structural factors that will limit the possibility of upgrades in the banks’ ratings. These include a declining interest rate environment, which will keep the banks from having the same or higher gains or “generous risk-adjusted returns” that were achieved before.

Moreover, the expansion by the larger, healthier banks will be limited by the country’s “poor credit infrastructure and generally low level of per capita income,” Moody’s said.

The banks currently rated by Moody’s are the Allied Banking Corp, Banco de Oro Unibank, Bank of the Philippine Islands, Development Bank of the Philippines, Land Bank of the Philippines, Metropolitan Bank and Trust Co., Philippine National Bank, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp., and United Coconut Planters Bank. Considered the biggest in the country, they account for the bulk of domestic banking assets.

  
 

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