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Friday, February 29, 2008

 

BIG DEAL
By Dan Mariano
Transition junta

 
At last Monday’s protest actions huge banners screamed: “Resign All!” The demand did not stop there, however.

 The protesters also called for the establishment of what they called a “transition council.” The Spanish word for such a council is junta.

 The prominence of this slogan in the February 25 rallies triggered speculation as to whether or not the forces at both extremes of the political spectrum have come to an agreement on the next act in the unfolding political drama.

 The slogan for a “transition council” was carried mostly on the red streamers of its presumably left-wing advocates. The junta option, however, has also been echoed by some Church figures. Moreover, analysts are wondering whether the so-called Council for Moral Revolution formed by Pangasinan Rep. Jose de Venecia Jr. actually has subliminal reference to the transition junta.

 While left-wingers and rightists have every right to take to the political arena, many Filipinos remain uncomfortable with even the suggestion of a junta. Perhaps its advocates need to realize that the call for a transition council is precisely what is dousing cold water on their clamor for President Arroyo’s resignation.

 For one, a junta would be bereft of any cloak of legitimacy.

 Presumably, its advocates are banking on the theory that a prospective People Power III would give the transition council some semblance of validity. In that case, they will have to admit outright that the formation of a junta falls outside constitutional parameters—and, therefore, revolutionary.

That’s even more frightening.

FAQs on junta

 The frequently asked questions about the junta are:

• Will it be composed of the same people who aired the loudest call for its formation—meaning, BAYAN, some Catholic bishops, party-list representatives and the like?

• Who will head it? Will the junta chair go to its most vocal advocates, such as Liza Masa, Etta Rosales, Risa Hontiveros or Bishop Oscar Cruz? Or even ex-President Joseph Estrada who recently offered himself as caretaker president?

• Would the junta survive without the support of the Armed Forces? For a chance to get AFP support, the junta must have a military component. As the senior general officers are obviously not keen on a junta, the military component would then have to be limited to the jailed generals Danilo Lim and Renato Miranda. Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV would not qualify to represent the military since he has been discharged from the service as a result of the mutiny charges against him.

• How long would such a junta, assuming it can actually be formed, govern the country? Six months? One year? Ten years? Who will define its term and powers? How can one even arrive at a definition? A revolutionary body has no legal limits since it has no legal basis in the first place.

• What happens to the Congress when the junta grabs power? Would the legislature survive? Or would the transition council arrogate legislative powers unto itself?

 Let’s face it: a junta, no matter how “holy and benevolent” the council members may be, is a dangerous idea. As a revolutionary body, it would only have the conscience and morals of its members to temper the proclivity for limitless power, which the junta can vest on itself.

Political pot

 Meanwhile, the political pot appears to have come to a boil prematurely. Already prospective presidential contenders are positioning themselves aggressively for the 2010 election, still a good two years away.

 True, the early political excitement could be a problem, too. It could take away the nation’s focus and energy from issues that are truly urgent. Political contests have a way of grabbing our collective imagination—and keeping it captive.

 Then again, this could steer the nation away from rushing headlong down the path of self-destruction.

 That Filipinos are now looking at the 2010 horizon means they will not accept an unconstitutional or extra-constitutional succession to the presidency. There is only one way to replace the incumbent: democratic elections.

 Antiadministration forces have put forward a couple of options: either snap elections following the resignation of Mrs. Arroyo and Vice President Noli de Castro or the aforementioned junta to take over following the ouster of the Arroyo administration.

 Notwithstanding the media frenzy that has served to magnify the allegations exploded in the Senate’s NBN-ZTE probe, both the snap polls and junta proposals have failed to catch fire. Apparently, the preferred method is a regular, constitutional succession—and no other.

 Although indignant over the accusations of wrongdoing and determined in their quest for the truth, most Filipinos will not allow themselves to be manipulated by forces out to grab power for themselves.

 Last year Filipinos learned they can divorce business from politics—even at the height of the November 29 episode at the Manila Pen. This is why the country’s economic outlook remains bright notwithstanding the deafening din of political controversy.

 The conclusion is obvious: The economy has become sufficiently robust to weather the proverbial slings and arrows of partisan strife. Moreover, with eyes focused on 2010, even our polity has developed a measure of maturity.

   
 

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