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Friday, February 29, 2008

 

Political noise pulls down Peso

By Chino S. Leyco, Reporter

The local currency hit a fresh eight-year high during midday trade Thursday before closing lower against the US dollar compared to the previous day’s exchange rate, because of the political noise.

After hitting a P40.25 mark, which was the highest since February 2000, the peso closed at P40.48 to the greenback, weaker relative to Wednesday’s finish of P40.33 to $1.

At the Philippine Dealing System the total volume traded amounted to $373.5 million against the previous trading day’s $1.015 billion, which was spurred on by a globally weak US dollar and attractive peso yields.

“The peso experienced cautiousness [Thursday] after hitting fresh high due to uncertainties on the scheduled rally,” a trader said.

The trader likewise said it is hard to tell if the peso will breach the P40 mark this week.

“If the rally will become relatively peaceful, the peso might breach that level next week,” the trader added.

Nicholas Kwan, Standard Chartered Bank’s Global Research regional head, meanwhile, predicted that the peso will average P40 to a dollar in January to March this year, adding this will help to ease inflationary pressures, like high oil prices.

“The Philippines is in a very good position, because you have allowed the peso to appreciate so much, now it takes less off inflationary pressure,” Kwan told reporters including The Manila Times.

Metropolitan Bank and Trust Co. also said traders will be gunning for P40 next week, but they expect Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) intervention.

“BSP buying activity to temper the peso’s rise. Remember that the peso is the laggard in the Southeast Asian region owing to political uncertainty. Expect more peso appreciation should there be finality to the on-going political controversy,” Metrobank said.

Next week, the bank projected the peso to range from P40 to P40.60 to $1.

   

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