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Sunday, January 06, 2008

 

CENTER OF GRAVITY
By Rony V. Diaz
Pimentel on technology policy

 
ON Dec. 17, 2007, Sen. Aquilino Pimentel delivered a privileged speech that began by asking if we were, all of us, “suckers” or more kindly “plain happy-go-lucky people” and ended with a “sigh of regret” that “public corruption goes on its merry way and public service deteriorates by the day in this land… so cursed by acrobats masquerading as government officials.”

What did we do to deserve this outpouring of senatorial scorn? Twenty-one years ago, a bureaucrat in a government department turned down a request for support by an Ilonggo inventor of a vehicle that he claimed used water as fuel. Four years ago, another inventor was denied help by the same department for a turbine that used ocean tide to generate electricity. In both cases, Pimentel was the sponsor.

Though tempted, I’ll refrain from making comments on Pimentel’s prose style and logic. I shall confine myself instead to the machines that failed to win approval from the Department of Science and Technology (DOST).

I agree with Pimentel’s main—if indeed that was his main—message: that we do not give enough support and recognition to Filipino inventors.

Giving more money to DOST will not necessarily work. Being a government office, it’s constrained in its use of funds by strict disbursement and accounting rules. Inventions or technical innovations are better dealt with in private transactions between the inventor and a risk-taker, in the expectation of profit by both.

In much the same way as large corporations are not the ideal incubators of ideas that lead to “breakthrough” inventions, governments and their departments are not easily moved to action by the importuning of an inventor who in most cases is an engineer who lacks the persuasive skills of a salesman.

Indeed, Ray Kurzweil, the legendary American inventor, in his essay Kurzweil’s Rules of Invention (Technology Review, MIT, May 2004), codified them into three steps. The first is to write an advertising brochure. The second is to use this brochure to recruit intended users and the third is to “engage in some fantasy” like explaining to an indifferent audience how “you solved the challenging problems underlying your new invention.”

Inventions are responses to market needs that attract venture capitalists.

Our industrial base is too narrow and our industrial capability too puny for potentially large projects like Daniel Dingle’s water-fueled car or Isidro Umali Ursua’s tide-driven turbine. They could have won support in industrialized countries with large communities of scientists, engineers, technologists and entrepreneurs.

Take Dingle’s car. It’s not possible that it uses H2O from the faucet as the fuel. But hydrogen, if combined with oxygen in the right proportions, can explosively activate a piston. To obtain the hydrogen from water the process known as electrolysis is key. To put all this together into a device that can drive an internal combustion (IC) engine is a huge technical problem.

It might be that Dingle was able to solve it. If so, he should talk to Ford or Toyota and not to DOST.

Hydrogen fuel cell cars are now being designed, developed and tested in Japan, the US and Germany. Perhaps by the middle of the century they might be on the market but unless their price is competitive with gasoline IC vehicles, it would take many more years before they become a people’s car.

It’s not true, as Pimentel said, that a hydrogen fuel cell car is environmentally benign. The production of hydrogen results in large emissions of CO2 whether in factories or on board vehicles.

As regards Ursua’s turbine, the basic idea is not novel and has been on the drawing boards and work benches of engineers in many developed and developing countries.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) said, in its Scenarios of the Evolution of Renewables to 2030, that tide and wave today generates less than one percent of electricity (TWh) that could go up to 25 percent by 2030 or a rate of increase of 46 times.

For this reason, it’s being looked at seriously in many countries but daunting technical problems in hydrology, metallurgy and turbine design have to be solved and economically overcome.

Certainly this is a technology that we should consider along with geothermal, wind and solar but perhaps not for baseload power yet.

Instead of going it alone, as Pimentel seems to be suggesting, DOST should collaborate with other countries, particularly with South Korea, that’s doing the R&D with funds provided by its Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST). DOST and MOST can work hand in hand more readily than with a private sector partner. In this venture, Ursua could be the country’s project leader.

I am amazed that Pimentel with his staff and access to information could have mustered the chutzpah to stand before his peers to spout factoids.

   
 

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