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Thursday, January 10, 2008

 

Peso closes at new high, P40.56 to $1

By Maricel E. Burgonio Reporter

The peso closed to its new nearly eight-year high, mainly driven by weak US dollar and lack of no corporate demand, traders said.

At the Philippine Dealing System, the peso closed P40.56 to $1 on Wednesday, a slight appreciation compared with P40.75 on Tuesday.

It opened P40.70 and dipped to a low of P40.77, and a high of P40.55. Total volume turnover reached $872 million, driven by offshore flows of peso, which is priced on strong peso.

“What we’re seeing is too fast appreciation. It’s market driven,” Jonathan Ravelas, Banco de Oro (BDO) trader, said.

Ravelas said there’s more room for peso to further appreciate but will unlikely reach the P39 level yet.

The market’s expectation on further US fed rate cut contributed to the weakening of the US dollar.

He said the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas did not intervene in the market yesterday, leading to the fast appreciation of the peso.

Marcelo Ayes, Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. (RCBC) vice-president, said the peso is also driven by offshore flows of nondeliverable forward peso besides weak US dollar and weak corporate demand.

Nondeliverable forwards are contracts used in the foreign-exchange market so dollar holders are assured of a fixed rate in a future period, minimizing the risk of price volatility in the exchange system.

Ayes said exporters should improve its export market, such as tapping the euro or any other currency to lessen impact of the strong peso.

Lower power costs can offset the impact of strong peso on exporters, Ernesto Santiago, Semiconductor and Electronics Industries in the Philippines (SEIPI) executive director, told The Manila Times.

High oil prices triggers the increase of power cost, which has 15 percent share in the business cost of the semiconductor and electronic exporters.

“Increasing cost of fuel has driven the cost to generate power, which comprises 73 percent of the electricity bill,” Santiago said.

Electronics and semiconductor products comprise 50 percent of the total exports.

The exports sector contributes 35 percent of the country’s economic growth. It grew 4.7 percent as of November 2007, reaching $26.06 billion. 

Bangko Sentral earlier said the strong peso tempers inflationary pressure brought by high oil prices.

Average increase of consumer prices reached 2.8 percent last year, even lower than the government’s target of 4 percent to 5 percent.

   

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