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Saturday, January 26, 2008

 

NEDA raises 2007 growth estimate

 
THE National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) on Friday said the Philippine economy likely grew at a faster pace last year boosted by the services and industry sectors.

Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Augusto B. Santos, who is also NEDA director general, told reporters that the economy, as measured by the country’s gross domestic product (GDP), may have grown between 6.9 percent and 7.3 percent last year.

In 2006, the economy grew 5.4 percent, below the low-end target the government set for the year at 5.5 percent to 6.1 percent.

“Services [will] continue lead growth since the sector’s expansion is broad-based. Industry sector to increase given higher mining and quarrying outputs,” Santos said, adding that the construction industry was boosted by government infrastructure projects.

For 2007, the Development and Budget Coordinating Committee, which sets targets, projects that GDP would grow 6.3 percent to 7.1 percent.

Earlier, the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) said its composite leading economic indicator showed the economy sustained the expansion in the fourth quarter. The indicator continued its upward trend in the fourth quarter of last year to 0.286 from 0.153 in the third quarter, recording its fastest ascent since the third quarter of 2002.

The NSCB said the positive contributors were stock price index, merchandise imports, consumer price index, exchange rate, money supply, wholesale price index and new businesses. Negative contributors include electric energy consumption, hotel occupancy, terms of trade index and tourist arrivals.

In the third quarter of the year, the country’s GDP grew 6.6 percent compared with 5.1 percent in the same period last year. That was within the government’s initial estimate of between 6.1 percent and 6.7 percent for the period.

“Barring any sudden changes in the external environment, the economy is set for further strong growth in the fourth quarter of this year. Nonetheless, inflationary pressures arising from the volatility in the oil market must be vigilantly monitored as this may be carried forward and pose downward pressures on future growth prospects,” Santos said.
-- Darwin G. Amojelar

  
 

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