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Tuesday, July 01, 2008

 

POLICY PEEK
By Ernesto F. Herrera
What about the middle class?


THE government is using the billions it earns from the value-added tax on petroleum and other fuel products to subsidize electricity, fuel, and LPG. Lifeline electricity consumers have been lining up at selected branches of the LandBank of the Philippines to get a one-time P500 subsidy on their electricity bills. The queues are long, and the subsidy is offered on a first-come, first-served basis.

As oil firms continue to hike fuel prices—they pushed past P60 a liter last week heading it seems unimpeded towards the P70 per liter level—there is more talk about subsidies coming out of the Vat windfall.

There’s talk of a P300 billion plus Ahon Pamilya program for the poorest in the countryside. The government also promises to expand the subsidy on electricity to about two million consumers in the rural areas who are serviced by electric cooperatives. A few weeks ago, President Arroyo also signed into law the bill exempting minimum wage-earners from paying income taxes.

All these policies and programs are meant to lighten the economic burden of the poor, or the poorest of the poor. But the truth is, it is not only the poor who are suffering from the ever-increasing prices of basic commodities and services. There is also the middle class, or shall I say, the vanishing middle class, because a lot of them are also being driven into borderline poverty.

Actually, runaway inflation affects everybody, even the rich, but the rich can fend for themselves. Even if they take a hit, as they say in the vernacular, mahaba ang kanilang pisi. But what is the government doing to help the middle class who are not qualified for the government subsidies and other programs which target only the poorest?

We don’t need any studies to determine what has happened to the middle class in Philippine society. Just a practical comparison between the middle class life of today and at least 20 to thirty years ago would show you middle class life is not as it was. During the 70s an ordinary salaried employee, a husband for instance, could afford to work all by himself, with his wife able to take care of the no less daunting task of running a home. He could afford a house in a good neighborhood, and could send his kids to good schools without any worries. He may have a car or two in the garage. Every weekend he could take his family out to the movies and meals after, or maybe even shopping. He would have a tidy nest egg for a comfortable retirement.

If you talk about those things today, you are talking about the life of a rich man, because an ordinary salaried working guy won’t be able to afford those “luxuries” anymore. The ordinary salaried employee today is too busy eking out a living to enjoy the life his predecessor did. Or maybe they belong to different classes altogether.

The middle class family today would have both husband and wife working and their combined income would probably be just enough for their needs. They would probably need to borrow to pay for their kids’ tuition, borrow more to be able to afford a house, and that’s if they’re lucky. Most probably rent. If they have any savings at all, these have probably been eaten up by inflation a long time ago, especially now when inflation is at its highest in almost a decade.

If we go by statistics, a recent study by the Nationals Statistical Coordination Board (titled “Trends and Characteristics of the Middle Class in the Philippines: Is it Expanding or Shrinking”) found that in a span of six years, from 1997 to 2003, close to four families of every 100 middle-income families have been lost to the low-income category. Middle-income, by the NSCB definition, are those families with a total annual income ranging from P251,283 to P2,045,280.

With the current economic risks and the rising cost of everything, there may be more families who cannot even earn enough to make it into that range, or even if they are, they would be at the low end of that range. What they call middle class today may be just on the higher end of poor. And, if true, we just have rich and poor in society, in varying degrees.

When the NSCB study came out, there wasn’t any government subsidy yet coming from the Vat on oil windfall, but NSCB Executive Director Dr. Romulo Virola hit the nail on the head when, referring to the results of the study, he said: “For a country to be truly and sustainably prosperous there must be a broad-based middle class . . . that has the knowledge, the skills and the resources to foster economic growth and help generate employment for the poor. But so far, the poverty reduction programs we have crafted have focused mainly on being ‘pro-poor’, ‘anti-poverty’, helping the ‘poorest provinces’ etc. We seem to have completely ignored the needs and the strategic importance of building and expanding the middle class of Philippine society.”

It would be a most laughable government strategy to wait for middle class families to become poor to qualify them for government subsidy programs.

ernestboyherrera@yahoo.com

   
 

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