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Saturday, July 05, 2008

 

ANALYSIS

Recent Indonesian raids 
may yield intelligence bonanza

By Stephen Coates, Agence France-Presse

JAKARTA: Indonesian police have dealt another hammer blow to Southeast Asia’s most feared terror network with raids that yielded 10 suspects and a safe house full of bombs and computers, analysts said.

Terrorism experts told Agence France-Presse, this week’s arrests appeared to have stopped a dangerous cell with regional links which was poised to launch a massive attack, probably against Western tourists on the island of Sumatra.

Police said the men arrested around the South Sumatra provincial capital of Palembang, were connected to fugitive Malaysian extremist Noordin Mohammad Top, the alleged mastermind of the 2002 Bali bombings who calls himself leader of al-Qaeda for the Malay archipelago.

The arrests are likely to lead US and Australian-trained anti-terrorism investigators to a trove of intelligence about Noordin’s extreme faction of the Jemaah Islamiah (JI) network and its links to Singapore and Malaysia.

“JI is fragmented and the consensus seems to be that the group was focused on Java and had gone back to basics” since Indonesian police began their crackdown in 2002, said Singapore-based terrorism analyst Dr. John Harrison. “So it’s important that there has been a fairly significant find in South Sumatra which means that they have a bigger reach than we had anticipated.”

Harrison, the head of the Terrorism Unit at the International Center for Political Violence and Terrorism Research in Singapore, said the discovery of 18 computer hard drives was a potential bonanza for investigators.

“It looks like this [cell] is fairly significant and it could be very significant depending on what they find on those computers. It would suggest that this was a very large operation,” he told Agence France-Presse.

The arrests are the most significant blow to JI, which grew out of radical religious schools in Java island, since the capture of senior leaders Abu Dujana and Zarkasi in June last year.

“It’s significant that it’s in Sumatra because that is closer to the whole Mantiqi One division in Malaysia and Singapore,” said Sidney Jones of the International Crisis Group, referring to JI’s internal structure. “All of the people involved in bombings have been from that network.”

Raids on a rented house in Palembang turned up around 20 homemade bombs, including several powerful “tupperware bombs” which police reportedly said had the potential to cause carnage on the scale of Bali.

   
 

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