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Saturday, July 12, 2008

 

VIRTUAL REALITY
By Tony Lopez
The Night of the Generals

 
The other night (July 8), at its “Night of the Generals” the Manila Overseas Press Club had for its guest speaker Armed Forces Chief of Staff Gen. Alexander Yano. Among the guests in the audience was Philippine National Police Chief Gen. Avelino Razon.

Serving until September next year, Yano is the first armed forces boss from Mindanao. Frank and sharp with his answers during the open forum, he came across as a man who does his job seriously and confident of bringing strategic defeat to the New People’s Army (NPA) by 2010. With 5,379 members, the communist guerillas are only a fifth of their peak strength of 25,200 in 1987.

The Armed Forces of the Philippines has captured the NPA’s North Central Mindanao headquarters in Bukidnon and recovered land mines, high-powered firearms, and sacks of bomb-making materials. Yano reported of leadership vacuums in several guerilla fronts, loss of mass base, financial difficulties and ultimately lower armed capabilities. The NPA is now present in only 1,615 barangays or 3.8 percent of the country’s 41,995 barangays. Their guerilla fronts are down from the 107 peak in 2005 to only 67 fronts.

Yano is pursuing peace initiatives with the 11,000-strong Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) whose ranks are being depleted by surrenderees. However, there has been a recent spike in MILF-initiated incidents, 40 from May 1 to June 30 this year alone. These include ambuscades, raids, harassments and eight sabotage operations against Transco towers and power plants.

He revealed that the 360-man Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) has become leaderless after the death of Khaddafy Janjalani, which makes them even more dangerous because having split into smaller groups, they now operate with money as their main motivation, not the advancement of the al-Qaeda objectives. But assures Yano, “we shall deal with the ASG with finality.”

My conclusion: Our three major enemies, NPA, MILF and ASG, will remain with us for some time. The following is my welcome remarks during the Night of the Generals.

“There is no better time to welcome the armed forces in our midst—than now.

“We have just been through a great storm and a great flood that resulted in the flooding of most of Iloilo, the rice granary of central Philippines, the worst maritime disaster in 20 years, the death of more than 800 and the possible loss of lives of 800 others. I tried logging on to the National Disaster Coordinating Council (NDCC) website to get the facts straight but I couldn’t do it.

“NDCC’s motto, by the way, is “pag alerto, malayo sa peligro.” Maybe, it should the motto of the new Comelec.

“Or of Pagasa, the weather bureau, which claims now that making a mistake in tracking a typhoon by 180 kms is ‘a standard deviation.’ You know how far that is? It’s like saying the typhoon will hit Manila and instead, it goes to Pangasinan. And you say you are still accurate.

“The last time we had a typhoon as deadly as Frank was in July 1972. Typhoon Rita stayed for three weeks in the Pacific. Manila Bay and Lingayen Gulf had a date or met in Central Luzon, flooding the principal granary of the country. More than 200 died. The following month, in August, martial law was declared. Many Filipinos, me included, lost not just our jobs, but our freedoms as well.

“Today, we need to cope not just with the devastation of Typhoon Frank but also with the economic devastation of the twin evils of record-high food prices and record-high fuel prices.

“As a result, we have the highest inflation rate in 14 years. At 11.4 percent in June, this inflation rate means that your 100 pesos last year can buy only 88.6 pesos worth of goods this year.

“In effect, we are reeling from the effects of three typhoons, all of them starting with the letter F—Frank, food and fuel. The effect is that we are all fucked up.

“The solution? Well, we have another kind of F—forces, as in the Armed Forces of the Philippines. Do we call in the army to airlift and distribute relief goods. Do we call in the army to retrieve the dead and the dying? Do we have to call in the army to rehabilitate the devastated areas?

“Most crucially, do we call in the army to instill discipline in our civilian officials [many of whom happen to be former military men] and force to do what should be their job in the first place—help the people in their misery.

“Are we prepared again—to lose our freedom in exchange for economic redemption?

“At the rate things are going, this is no longer a rhetorical question. The economic situation presents a clear and present danger.”

Footnote: General Yano did not touch on the economy.

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