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Tuesday, July 15, 2008

 

Peso, stocks rise ahead 
of BSP policy rate meeting


THE peso appreciated sharply while local share prices closed higher Monday on bargain hunting despite general caution ahead of this week’s Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) meeting on interest rates, dealers said.

At the Philippine Dealing System, the local currency strengthened to 45.245 to the dollar from the 45.660 finish last weekend. Trading volume rose to $798.7 million from $770.750 million previously.

At the Philippine Stock Exchange, the composite index added 19.28 points to 2,457.27. The all-share index rose 6.91 points to 1,551.65.

Fifty-eight issues advanced, 31 declined and 43 were unchanged.

Turnover rose to P1.7 billion from P1.635 billion on Friday.

“Issues are already at candy prices, and any investor will find most of the blue-chips at attractive levels,” Astro del Castillo of First Grade Holdings told Dow Jones Newswires.

He expects the market to consolidate in a tight 2,450 to 2,480 points band Tuesday as investors stay on the sidelines ahead of the central bank’s interest rate-setting meeting Thursday.

The meeting comes amid external worries led by high oil prices and renewed US credit concerns.

In a research note, Development Bank of Singapore (DBS) said the BSP will continue to raise interest rates to help cap the upside of the local currency.

The Singaporean lender said the Monetary Board would raise policy rates at a measured 25 basis points, bringing the overnight borrowing and lending rates to 5.50 percent and 7.5 percent, respectively.

DBS said expectations of future inflation are rising, judging by wage demands and various surveys.

“The hawkish BSP has repeatedly pointed to these pressures and the need for them to be cooled. Further tightening is therefore on the cards this week, and even in the months beyond that,” the Singaporean lender said.

It said the Monetary Board would raise its overnight borrowing and lending rates to 6 percent and 8 percent, respectively, by yearend.

Separately, Metropolitan Bank and Trust Co. said the dollar will trade higher this week after oil prices climbed $5 to a new record above $147 on lingering worries over Iran’s nuclear aspirations and a potential strike in Brazil.

“The plunge in US stocks on Friday [was due to] fears the US government would bail out US mortgage finance companies. However, the upside may be tempered by the BSP selling the greenback and the possibility of an interest rate hike,” Metrobank said.

In a recent country report, the Institute of International Finance (IIF) cut its economic growth forecast for the Philippines this year to 5.2 percent from an earlier projection of 6.5 percent. The IIF said growth would improve slightly to 5.5 percent next year.

“Rising inflation and a weakening external demand make it difficult for the Philippine economy to overcome the weakness at the early part of the year,” the global group of financial institutions said.
--AFP, Chino S. Leyco and Maricel E. Burgonio

  
 

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