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Saturday, July 19, 2008

 

Peso climbs, stocks fall after BSP tightening


THE peso rose while local stock fell a day after the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) raised its key interest rates to temper rising inflation.

At the Philippine Dealing System the local currency recovered to a three-week high Friday after the BSP’s 50 basis points increase in its overnight borrowing and lending rates to 5.75 percent and 7.75 percent, respectively.

The peso closed at 44.455 to the dollar, from Thursday’s finish at 45.03. Trading volume reached $1.166 billion from $804 million the day before.

“Peso recovery benefited from some easing in global oil prices as well as the stronger monetary action by the BSP. Report of higher remittances also helped. The dollar had also been overbought,” BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. said in a text message.

Crude oil prices fell to $130 a barrel from $135 a barrel on Thursday.

Bank traders said a plunge in the price of oil by $5 on worries over US demand and easing political tensions between Iran and the US, as well as the hawkish tone of the BSP have been positive on the peso.

Metropolitan Bank and Trust Co. said caution is advised given the lingering global credit concerns, weakening Philippine economic data and the dollar gaining strength across the board.

The central bank’s decision to raise its policy rates had been anticipated by the market, although some industry players were forecasting only a 25-basis-point increase, after such an adjustment last month. Analysts earlier said the threats of second-round effects to inflation would force the BSP to maintain a tight monetary policy this year.

In its assessment of price conditions, the BSP noted that concurrent and interrelated shocks to the economy—such as persistent surge in oil prices and spikes in commodity prices—have contributed to elevated inflation readings.

At the Philippine Stock Exchange, share prices closed 0.2 percent lower Friday as jitters after an interest rate hike offset gains due to a plunge in crude oil prices, dealers said.

The composite index shed 4.10 points to 2,389.52. The all-share index gained 0.95 points to 1,516.83.

Forty issues advanced, 41 declined and 50 were unchanged. Turnover rose to P2.0 billion from P1.782 billion on Thursday.

“The stock market traded on three main developments—the fall in oil futures, the rise on Wall Street and the central bank’s rate increase,” Ron Rodrigo of DBP Daiwa Securities told Dow Jones Newswires.

The Philippine central bank raised its key interest rates by half a percentage point on Thursday to battle the threat to economic growth from high inflation.

Oil prices were slightly higher in Asia on Friday after three days of heavy falls that pulled prices down almost $16 on worries over economic growth and slowing demand.

US share prices roared higher for a second straight day Thursday on the oil price drop.

Top-traded Ayala Land Inc. was off 3.4 percent to P8.50, while Metropolitan Bank and Trust Co. was down 3.2 percent to P30.50.

The Bank of the Philippine Islands shed 2.6 percent to P38 as high interest rates were expected to hurt loan demand and property sales.

Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. ended up 0.4 percent at P2,405 after a 0.9-percent rise in its American Depositary Receipts on Wall Street on Thursday.

San Miguel Corp.’s A and B shares were both unchanged at P40 and P41, respectively.
--Chino S. Leyco and AFP

  
 

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