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Saturday, July 26, 2008

 

Pump prices to hold steady for
2 weeks, as oil edges higher

By Euan Paulo C. Añonuevo, Reporter

Fuel prices are projected to hold steady in the next two weeks because of recently declining world oil prices, petroleum company officials said Friday.

In a press conference, Fernando Martinez, chairman of the Independent Philippine Petroleum Companies Association, said his group may maintain current pump prices in the next week or so.

“We are seeing a substantial reduction in oil prices,” he added.

But a “rollback is not in the offing,” because average oil prices this month are still higher by about $3 to $4 per barrel, he said. That translates to about P2 per liter in underrecoveries for diesel prices.

At present, Martinez said oil firms still have P3 to P4 per liter to recover from motorists as a result of their underrecoveries in June. But he remained mum on whether oil companies will still recover this from consumers or offset the amount altogether should world oil prices continue with its descent.

Martinez, also president of Eastern Petroleum Corp., said oil firms’ plan to possibly hold off any price adjustment is not in any way in response to any political pressure from President Gloria Arroyo, who is to delivery her State of the Nation Address on Monday. Local oil firms have been increases pump prices 20 times so far this year.

On the sidelines of the press conference Friday, association officials said the group remains independent of any party or group.

A week ago, the President “appealed” to Petron Corp., which is 40-percent owned by the government, to temper a P3-per-liter increase in diesel prices. This prompted a number of oil companies to follow suit on a roll back initiated by Petron for half of its adjustment on Monday.

Other association members include Flying V, Seaoil Philippines Inc., Unioil Philippines Inc., Filpride Energy Corp., Filoil Finance Management Corp., Chemrez Technologies Inc., Liquigaz Philippines Corp., Pryce Gases Inc., Senbel Corp., Oilink International Corp. and International Engineers Philippines Inc.

Zero tariff

Zenaida Monsada, director of the Department of Energy oil industry management bureau, said the government will be maintaining zero tariff on oil products, as prices in the international market have yet to go down to the levels where the tariffs could be charged again.

The government had earlier cut tariffs on oil products to mitigate the impact of skyrocketing oil prices, which pushed up local pump rates.

Data from the Energy department showed that as of July 24 prices at the Mean of Platts of Singapore, the benchmark used by importers of finished-oil products such as the members of the association, was averaging at $171.70 a barrel for diesel from $169.36 a barrel in June; and $138.61 a barrel for unleaded gasoline from $140.30 a barrel.

On the other hand, Dubai crude, the benchmark for prices used by oil refiners, was averaging at $133.91 a barrel from $127.82 a barrel over the same period.

Oil edges higher

World oil prices were higher in Asian trade on Friday in a market calmed by slowing global demand, analysts said.

In afternoon trade, New York’s main contract, light sweet crude for September delivery, was 73 cents higher at $126.22 a barrel from $125.49 at the close of trading Thursday on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Brent North Sea crude for September delivery rose 52 cents to $126.96 after settling at $126.44 in London on Thursday.

Both contracts rose by more than $1 on Thursday following a tumble of about $4 the previous day. Analysts said a bigger-than-expected increase in US gasoline reserves signaled weaker demand in the United States, the world’s biggest energy consumer.

Ken Hasegawa, manager of the energy desk at Newedge Japan brokerage, said the market had “calmed down” and would trade in a short-term range of $123 to $128.

“So far, there is no special news in the market,” he said.

Crude oil prices shot to a series of record highs earlier this year, partly because of political tensions involving oil-producing nations like Iran, which refuses major powers’ demands to halt its nuclear program.

Prices have tumbled since peaking above $147 a barrel on July 11.

Falling demand growth for oil has cooled the market, Hasegawa said. Overall demand is still growing—providing some support—but the rate of increase has slowed, he said.

For Alaron Trading analyst Phil Flynn, the bears are coming out of hibernation after months of sizzling price rises.

“The myth that emerging market demand would totally offset the loss of US demand is now being shattered. Price still matters to the demand side of the equation and eventually that will always be the great equalizer in a bull market,” Flynn said.

Uncertainties, including tensions between the West and Iran, continue to provide underlying support to the oil market, Hasegawa said, forecasting a medium-term price range of $120 to $130 a barrel.

Prices broke through $100 a barrel for the first time at the start of the year.
-- With AFP

   

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