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Tuesday, July 29, 2008

 

FROM THE SIDELINES
By Alfredo G. Rosario
Population no hindrance 
to economic growth


Manila Archbishop Gaudencio Rosales, in a speech the other day during the 40th anniversary of Pope Paul VI’s Encyclical on the Regulation of Birth, exhorted married couples to refrain from having sex if the woman is fertile.

Those who follow this Church-sanctioned natural family planning method, he said, possess “true values of life” and tend to be good citizens.

Also the other day, Church leaders, including 12 bishops, held a prayer rally in Manila to affirm their support for a Vatican decree against the use of contraceptives and other artificial birth control methods.

A House bill seeking to give couples the choice of family planning methods, including the use of contraceptives, has provoked a controversy between pro-life advocates led by the Catholic Church and those who stand for artificial birth control measures to control population growth. 

The Philippine Council of Evangelical Churches, which had expressed concern over the country’s “alarming growth of population,” has assailed the Catholic Church’s stand.

“About 5,800 babies are born daily . . . One does not have to be an economist to tally how much more food, water, shelter, medicine and other resources will be needed for their support,” said the group. It raised the concern that at the present growth rate, “there will be 100 million Filipinos by 2013.”

We are worried over a galloping population growth because it leads to the problem of having many more mouths to feed, as the evangelical group had feared. But it is also true that every child that is born has as well a pair of hands with the potential to create wealth. In that sense, a newborn child is a potential asset rather than a liability.

It does not follow that couples with five or more children are doomed to poverty or that a family with one offspring is bound to prosper. It has been shown by actual examples that many parents have been elevated to a life of comfort through their children who have pulled themselves up by their own bootstraps to become successful professionals and businessmen.

The theory that the growth of population could at a certain point in time exhaust the supply of goods for the people’s needs was espoused by Robert Malthus, a British economist.

In his essay, the Principle of Population, he warned that the humanity was doomed “if unrestrained population growth continued.” This tendency, according to him, will “depress living standards continuously to a bare subsistence level.”

Malthus, who lived in the late 18th century, had no prescience about the emergence of contraceptives and other modern methods on birth control. He had assumed that when the population grew faster than the production of resources, “the growth is checked by famine, disease and war.”

He was for a “moral restraint to keep population within manageable levels.”

In 1980, the United Nations estimated the world population at 4.4 billion. There were demographic projections of a 6-billion world population in this century at a modest growth rate. Large increases are expected in the developing countries. By continent, Asia is predicted to have the fastest growth.

Several countries, heeding the Malthusian warning, have adopted artificial birth control methods to keep a low population.

China, with about a billion people, has adopted a program for one-child families. Japan instituted its own family program, using contraception and abortion to limit family size.

In the 70s, Singapore issued a population policy, limiting couples to have not more than two children. But in the next decade, threatened with the loss of its national identity, it reversed the program.

Its government started to sponsor so-called “love” sea voyages for marriageable men and women, especially from the educated class, to encourage courtships between the sexes that could lead to marriage.

Japan is also experiencing low birthrates because of its population policy. Unless it reverses or modifies it, there will come a time when it will have to relax its immigration laws to draw in foreign workers to man its factories. The Japanese social security system is going to bust with fewer and fewer young workers entering the workforce to pay SSS contributions that will fund the pensions of the retired workers.

Key to economic growth

Human resources, drawn from the population, are one of the keys to economic growth. There is no reason why we should worry about population increase. The Philippines still has a vast area of undeveloped land capable of holding 100 million people to help in the exploration and development of its natural resources.

How to feed, clothe, house and educate the country’s growing population is a matter for the government to resolve with creativity and passion. It calls for good family upbringing, national discipline and the willingness of our people to contribute their talents and energy to achieve the country’s social and economic goals.

There is no urgency at this time to control population growth. If properly oriented toward nation building, it is not a hindrance to progress.

agr0324@yahoo.com

   
 

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