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Thursday, June 05, 2008

 

FROM THE SIDELINES
By Alfredo G. Rosario
Preview of the 2010 election

 
Speaker Prospero Nograles came out the other day with a preview of the administration ticket for the 2010 national election, with Vice President Noli de Castro as the presidential standard bearer.

The Senate slate, he said, will be spearheaded by the President’s son, Pampanga Rep. Mikey Arroyo, and will include Reps. Edcel Lagman of Albay, Monico Fuentebella of Bacolod City, Abraham Mitra of Palawan, Ed Zialcita of Parañaque City, Art Defensor of Iloilo and Neptali Gonzales 2nd of Mandaluyong City.

From the Cabinet, Nograles mentioned secretaries Jesli Lapus of Education, Francisco Duque 3rd of Health, Arthur Yap of Agriculture, Angelo Reyes of Energy and Nasser Pangandaman of Agrarian Reform as senatorial bets. Optical Media Board Chairman Edu Manzano is in the list.

Reelectionist senators Ramon Revilla and Lito Lapid, under the rule of the equity of the incumbent, will be in the ticket, said Nograles. The administration’s senatorial losers in the 2007 election—Ralph Recto, Tessie Aquino-Oreta, Vicente Sotto 3rd, former Ilocos Sur Gov. Luis Singson and former Surigao Rep. Prospero Pichay—may be given a chance to run again.

There was no mention of the vice presidential candidate. De Castro, the strongest contender based on two political surveys, could be paired with any of the other presidential aspirants—MMDA boss Bayani Fernando, Quezon City Mayor Sonny Belmonte and Sen. Dick Gordon—if they don’t make it in the presidential nomination.

Notwithstanding his vaunted popularity, according to Nograles, de Castro is not sure of being chosen the administration’s presidential bet. Anything can happen in the party convention, he said.

Compared with the administration, the political opposition does not have a single presidential ticket. There are at least five presidential aspirants—Senate President Manny Villar, head of the Nacionalista Party; Sens. Mar Roxas, president of the Liberal Party; Loren Legarda; Panfilo Lacson; and former President Joseph Estrada.

It is possible for these contenders to come to their senses and form one united ticket to ensure a better chance to win the presidency. If Erap is constitutionally qualified to run, he could be the rallying point as the standard bearer of a solid opposition ticket.

But will Villar, Roxas, Legarda and Lacson yield their presidential ambition?

Villar and Roxas appear in the midst of mobilizing their resources in preparation for the presidential battle. Legarda, who twice topped two Senate elections, and Lacson, who ran for president in the 2004 poll, are being urged by their supporters to run.

As far as I know, Legarda and Lacson have nothing to lose even if they fail in their presidential bids because they can go back to the Senate to finish the remaining three years of their six-year term. Both won their Senate seats in 2007.

The political opposition has a rich reservoir of potential winners in a Senate electoral race. Jun Lozada, the celebrated witness in the ZTE broadband scandal, has earned a broad political base in the course of his nationwide advocacy for “truth and justice” to top a senatorial race.

Former Speaker Jose de Venecia Jr., if he decides to run for the Senate, has a bright chance of winning. His son, Joey de Venecia 3rd, the witness who broke the ZTE broadband case, is also a likely Senate winner.

The opposition in the House has a deep bench of “senatoriables”: Minority Leader Ronnie Zamora, Reps. Teofisto Guingona Jr. of Bukidnon, Rufus Rodriguez of Cagayan de Oro City, Roilo Golez of Parañaque City, Darlene Antonino-Custodio of South Cotabato, Edno Joson of Nueva Ecija, senior deputy minority leader Satur Ocampo of Bayan Muna and Joel Villanueva of Cibac.

Other strong contenders are United Opposition spokesman Adel Tamano, president of the Pamantasan ng Lungsod ng Maynila; Susan Roces, widow of the 2004 opposition presidential standard bearer Fernando Poe Jr.; Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay; San Juan Mayor JV Ejercito; and Koko Pimentel, son of Sen. Nene Pimentel, who is contesting the 12th slot in the last senatorial election.

Reelectionist Sens. Jamby Madrigal and Jinggoy Estrada are two other potential Senate winners.

It is still two years away from the presidential derby but the political cauldron is already seething.

agr0324@yahoo.com

   
 

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