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Thursday, June 05, 2008

 

ANALYSIS

Celtics-Lakers: A rivalry renewed

By Raffy Ledesma, Contributor

A Boston Celtics-Los Angeles Lakers finals. It couldn’t get any better than this. They are not only the best teams in their respective conferences, but they have, perhaps, the most storied and bitter rivalry in the history of professional sports.

This rivalry spans nearly five decades back to the time when the Celtics led by center Bill Russell swept the Minneapolis Lakers in 1959. Since then, the Lakers have met the Celtics in the finals 10 times with the former winning 8 out of 10 times. Boston has 16 titles, the Lakers 14. There is even a rivalry between Boston’s late legendary Coach Red Auerbach and the Lakers’ Phil Jackson. Both have nine NBA titles under their belts but a series win by Jackson will undoubtedly make him the greatest bench tactician ever.

The hype between this classic matchup has been building up and will reach an ear-shattering crescendo once the series starts at the TD Banknorth Garden (Friday, 8:30 a.m. Manila time), home of the Boston Celtics.

Here is how the Lakers and Celtics match up.

FRONTLINE: Only at the center position does the Lakers have the advantage. Pau Gasol is one of the best passing big men around and is perfect for the Lakers’ triangle offense. He is mobile, has an outside shot, and can even slash to the basket. Gasol will be matched up against the slower Kendrick Perkins, who despite his limitations, has shown a propensity to come up with big games (e.g. Game 5 vs. the Pistons’ 18 points and 16 rebounds). Defensive Player of the Year Kevin Garnett’s matchup vs. Lamar Odom is a no-brainer since the latter has more “game” than the former in almost every department. Starting Laker small forward Vladimir Radmanovic is a great streak shooter (but that’s about it) but he will be hard-pressed to guard All-Star Paul Pierce. I don’t see Radmanovic staying in the game for long periods since Phil Jackson will probably opt to use Trevor Ariza or Sasha Vujacic to hound Pierce. EDGE: Celtics

BACKCOURT MVP: Kobe Bryant is almost impossible to defend one-on-one and will definitely run rings around the 32-year-old Ray Allen at the big guard spot. Bryant has upped his playoff averages leading the league in scoring (32 ppg) and has transformed into the team leader all his believers hoped he would be. Allen is a prolific scorer but has been in a shooting slump the past few games. Bryant is a lock-down defender and will surely give Allen fits. In the point guard spot, Rajon Rondo has blossomed into an all-around player and has shown maturity beyond his years. I guess playing with three future Hall-of-Famers does that in a hurry. He has solid averages in points, assists and surprisingly, rebounds. He will pit his wits and skill against a more seasoned Derek Fisher, who, despite his age, is still a good defender and an excellent shooter. The point guard matchup is one of the keys to this series given that the Celtics’ Big Three and the Lakers’ Big Three will cancel each other out. EDGE: Lakers

DEPTH: The Lakers’ bench are younger and more athletic. Aside from fitting their designated roles perfectly, young guns’ Vujacic, Ronnie Turiaf, Luke Walton and Jordan Farmar provide a lot of energy off the bench. The only thing going for the Celtics is the vast experience they have on their bench. Both Sam Cassell and James Posey have NBA rings while center-forward P.J. Brown is a tough veteran of many playoff battles. Defensive guard Tony Allen’s injury may tell since he has been successful in slowing down Kobe. Additionally, the Celtics does not have a regular player rotation like the Lakers and some its bench players may not be ready to play in basketball’s biggest stage. EDGE: Lakers

DEFENSE: While Allen and Garnett are the off-season’s biggest additions, the arrival of Assistant Coach Tom Thibodeau was hardly mentioned but he is the driving force behind Boston’s resurgence. Thibodeau has transformed the Celtics into the league’s best defensive team in just one season. In the postseason, the Celtics have become even better allowing a stingy 87 points per game. Boston is also the best when it comes to field goal percentage defense and rebounds allowed. This is a result of Thibodeau’s philosophy of “relentless” pressure and keeping the ball out of the paint. Of course, it also helps that you have the Defensive Player of the Year as the anchor. The Lakers, meanwhile, give up too many points especially in the paint. Odom and Gasol are considered “soft” inside defenders but are good coming from the weak side. If not for Kobe’s and Derek Fisher’s tenacious defense that puts pressure on perimeter players, the Lakers defense would be as porous as sand. EDGE: Celtics

OFFENSE: If the Celtics have Thibodeau, the Lakers boast of having one of the best offensive minds in long-time consultant Tex Winter, architect of the Lakers triangle offense. The Lakers are averaging the highest point output in the playoffs and the best field goal percentage. That they continued to post big offensive numbers versus the league’s top defensive teams (Spurs and Jazz) is a testament to the team’s offensive efficiency. They bounced back against San Antonio in two games of their series despite being behind by a big margin. Before the arrival of Gasol, the Lakers were an easy team to defend since you could throw double-triple teams at Kobe forcing his other teammates to beat you. With Gasol, the Lakers have an inside threat and the shooters (Fisher, Vujacic, etc.) can space the floor better. EDGE: Lakers

COACHING: Nine to zero. That is the number of NBA titles that Lakers Coach Phil Jackson has under his hat compared to Boston’s Doc Rivers. Jackson is seeking his tenth title, an achievement that would certainly make him, undisputedly, the greatest coach in NBA history. More importantly, Jackson has a lot of experience in the finals—countless end-game situations, tactical substitutions, game-changing offensive sets, etc. Rivers, meanwhile, has been very inconsistent especially with his rotation. During the series with the Atlanta Hawks and Cleveland Cavaliers, where the Celtics were pushed to the brink, Rivers kept on trying different combinations instead of relying on his younger, more energetic players. Result: Impact players’ Glen Davis and Leon Powe are playing less minutes and have probably lost some of their confidence. This also reflects the fact that Rivers, unlike Jackson, gets rattled quite easily. EDGE: Lakers

INTANGIBLES: Garnett, Allen and Pierce are hungry for their very first NBA championship while Kobe is trying to carve out his legacy by winning his first title in the post-Shaq era. In close games, the Lakers have an edge since Kobe is arguably the best “closer” of all time outside of Michael Jordan. Almost at will, Bryant takes over every game. The Celtics don’t have a regular go-to-guy especially in the end game. In Game 7 of the Cavaliers series, it was Paul Pierce. In Game 5 versus Detroit, it was Ray Allen. The Celtics need more consistency on the offensive end to win. Fortunately, the Celtics have home court. EDGE: Even

In the final analysis, I give the Lakers a slight advantage. They have the better team, the best player and the best coach in the game. The Celtics need to keep it close and with their team defense, they probably will. Lakers in six.

   
 

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