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Friday, June 06, 2008

 

BSP raises key rates, hints at further hikes

By Maricel E. Burgonio, Reporter

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) hiked its interest rates by 25 basis points to prevent inflation from rising further and hinted at further rate action this year to support price stability.

BSP Gov. Amando M. Tetangco Jr. said BSP’s key policy rates increased to 5.25 percent for overnight borrowing, or reverse repurchase (RRP) facility, and 7.25 percent for overnight lending, or repurchase (RP) facility.

The interest rates on term RRPs, RPs and special deposit rates also increased. The BSP last increased its rates on October 2005.

With the rate increase, the BSP raised its inflation forecast to 7 percent to 9 percent this year and expected to surpass its inflation target to 4 percent to 6 percent.

The BSP has set an inflation target of 3 percent to 5 percent this year and 2.5 percent to 4.5 percent next year.

“There are already indications that supply driven pressures are beginning to feed into demand,” Tetangco said.

Tetangco said there is need to act promptly to rein in inflationary expectations as inflation rate in May posted a nine-year high of 9.6 percent, way beyond the range of BSP’s inflation forecast for the month.

“Some early signs of second-round effects of these shocks are beginning to become more evident,” Tetangco said.

The adjustment was driven by the recent labor wage increase and transport fare hike, which emanates from higher internal oil and commodity prices that bloat inflation further.

Since monetary policy affects economic variables with a time lag, policy measures undertaken now will help address risks to inflation in 2009, Tetangco said.

“The Monetary Board stands ready to undertake further action as and when necessary in order to ensure the achievement of BSP’s price stability objectives,” he said.

The regional wage board increased labor minimum wage by P20 a day to P382 daily salary in the National Capital Region.

Transport fare, however, increased 50 centavos for public utility vehicles.

“[H]igh oil prices, transport rise and wage rise . . . would lead to early signs of second round effect,” Diwa Guinigundo, BSP deputy governor, said.

Meanwhile, recent business and consumer confidence surveys also indicated an upward shift in inflation expectations, coinciding with increased term spreads on government securities and higher secondary market yields.

In addition, Tetangco said the buoyancy of domestic demand suggests some room for a measured policy response.

“Favorable conditions arising from a respectable and still solid domestic growth as well as a strong external payments situation imply that the economy can withstand a measured tightening,” he said.

In the first quarter, the country’s gross domestic product grew 5.2 percent in the first quarter of the year.

  
 

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