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Monday, June 09, 2008

 

ANALYSIS

Oil firms feel pinch from rising prices

By Euan Paulo C. Añonuevo, Reporter

HARD to believe but even oil companies are feeling the pinch from rising crude prices.

Fernando Martinez, Eastern Petroleum Corp. (EPC) president, said that soaring crude prices are causing demand for fuel to wane as consumers resort to cost-cutting measures just to make ends meet.

 ”Yes there is a contraction because people are beginning to conserve. It’s a natural phenomenon. The people who use cars will be forced to share. Even bus companies are cutting trips,” he said.

The head of EPC, which belongs to a group of firms that blossomed after the government deregulated the downstream petroleum industry a decade ago, said that a number of companies are beginning to cut operating hours to make up for the high costs and lower revenues.

This partly explains Saudi Aramco’s departure from the Philippines’ largest oil refiner. Petron Corp., which accounts for nearly 40 percent of the local market, saw its return on equity (ROE) dip over the last five years, according to a report by Peter Lee U, dean of the University of Asia and the Pacific School of Economics.

ROE is a measure of a shareholder’s return from every peso invested in the company.

Despite its market dominance, Petron’s ROE fell to 0.40 percent last year from 4.03 percent in 2002. In contrast, Petron’s closest competitor, Pilipinas Shell Petroleum Corp., saw its profitability improve over the same period. Shell’s ROE more than doubled to 12.21 percent last year from 6.06 percent in 2002.

U said this showed that Shell is faring better in terms of cost controls in the face of rising crude prices.

Dubai crude, the Philippine benchmark for the commodity, has been averaging at about $120.50 per barrel in June, up by roughly a third year-on-year. The price of imported diesel and gasoline at the Mean of Platts Singapore (MOPS) topped $161.23 per barrel and $130.92 per barrel, respectively.

But collecting under recoveries arising from the faster rise in oil prices is easily said than done. Firms’ under recoveries stood at about P3 per liter last month.

Ed Chua, Shell president, said that while oil firms have to keep up with rising prices they also have to be wary of the public’s reaction before making adjustments. This is one reason why they would have to make do with staggered price hikes.

Do more than just cut costs, hike prices

To recoup their ballooning under recoveries, oil firms however would have to do more than just cut costs and hike fuel prices, industry sources said.

Indeed, record oil prices worldwide are generating a flurry of activity in the alternative fuels business, such as biofuels.

Industry sources said that investments in the petroleum sector increasingly are shifting towards the upstream oil and gas exploration and development, which has become more viable with the current price levels.

This can be gleaned from the renewed investor interest in discovered oil resources that had been deemed commercially unviable previously. These include the Galoc, Calauit, Octon and West Linapacan fields.

The same reason underpins Aramco’s decision to divest from Petron, as the Saudi company’s thrust has shifted to oil production, thus its exit from the Philippine refiner, the same sources said.

  
 

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