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Wednesday, June 11, 2008

 
VIEWS FROM A BRIT
By Mike Wootton
The Senate and the Joint Foreign Chambers of Commerce

 
Having previously been involved in a foreign chamber of commerce in the Philippines, and also being involved with Epira in my working life, it is difficult to resist commenting on the recent happenings in the Philippine Senate which tie these two matters together.

I have, over the last few years, spent quite some effort in trying to raise the profile of the Philippines as a viable destination for foreign direct investment because I think that this is what will most benefit the Filipino people; it creates jobs, it introduces new money to the economy, and, in some cases, saves on the need for importation. The Philippines would benefit from foreign direct investment, wouldn’t it? Against this, there are nationality and sovereignty issues, to do business here is by definition to do business by the rules of the host nation; this is the case in all countries.

Foreign business associations as represented in this case by the Joint Foreign Chambers of Commerce have a right to make suggestions to the government on changes to legislation, which in their opinion would improve the business environment in which their members operate; but they cannot expect them always to be acceded to. This right should be sensitively used, and rather more to change the environment for newcomers than to amend business conditions in which investment decisions have already been made. If, however, a foreign company has already decided to invest in a certain regulatory environment and there is a likelihood that new legislation will be enacted which will be detrimental to the investment, then better that investors challenge rather than just “walk away” (if they can afford to, and as they did in the Indonesian power sector).

Epira is not perfect, and I have commented before that it is probably too advanced in its privatization concepts for a country at the stage of development of the Philippines. Take-or-pay contracts are harsh ways of dealing with things, albeit they may be a critically necessary justification for making major investment decisions. I saw it suggested the other day that revenues from Malampaya gas should be subjected to a windfall profits tax, given the linkage of the gas price escalation formula to coal and oil prices—this is the other side of the coin where a foreign investor has indeed been lucky in agreeing an escalation formula which has paid better than planned dividends. Should these be subjected to an extra tax, for the benefit of the Filipino people, or is it an acceptable extra return to shareholders?

Most international contracts involving major foreign investment contain provisions in the case of major economic changes or disruption to the national business environment in which the investment decision was made, and allow for recompense to the investor if these changes are detrimental. These are contract administration issues, not necessarily things on which you engage the president of the nation. Forced sequestration of assets or nationalization is another matter (as happened to the international oil companies in Venezuela) and deserves more high-level attention—on things like that it may be right to engage the legislature.

In the Philippines, access by foreign investors to senior members of the government is much easier than it would be in most other places. It is hard to imagine a group of foreign business associations being granted an audience by the House of Commons in Britain or even by the Prime Minister to air their views on potential changes in legislation.

It is the role of the Philippines legislature to determine the business rules for foreign (and domestic) investors in the Philippines, and it is incumbent on foreign investors to analyze properly before making an investment decision and take their business risks—some you win, some you lose, that’s business. It should only be in extreme circumstances that you seek as a body, to engage the legislature. Are potential changes to EPIRA extreme circumstances? I think not . . . but then again, neither do we want to be scaring away the potential foreign direct investment so important to the Philippines.

___

Mike can be contacted at mawootton@gmail.com

  
 

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