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Wednesday, June 11, 2008

 

Govt debt dips on strong peso

By Chino S. Leyco, Reporter

THE Philippine government’s outstanding debt dipped year on year at end-March due to the peso’s appreciation against the dollar, according to the Bureau of Treasury.

Data from the bureau showed that first-quarter obligations stood at P3.881 trillion, or 1.3-percent lower than the P3.931-trillion outstanding in the same three-month period last year.

Of the total debt outstanding, P2.286 trillion was owed to domestic creditors, while the remaining P1.594 trillion was due to foreigners.

The government’s foreign debt dropped 9.1 percent year-on-year due to the peso’s strength vis-à-vis the dollar.

The domestic component of its obligations, however, rose 5 percent from last year, as the government borrowed 5.1-percent more this year through the issuance of Treasury bills and bonds.

Compared with the end-February levels, the first-quarter borrowings, however, inched up 2.9 percent, driven by a 4.9-percent increase in foreign obligations. The Treasury bureau blamed the rise on a weaker peso in March compared with the February exchange rate, citing the P27-billion net depreciation of third currencies against the dollar, and the P49-billion dip in the peso’s value vis-à-vis the greenback.

“This was partially offset by the P2 billion in net repayments,” the bureau said.

Domestic debt at end-March, however, rose at a slower 1.6 percent from the previous month.

The government’s contingent debt—composed mainly of guarantees issued by the government—increased 4.9 percent from end-February largely on account of higher guarantees on foreign-denominated debt. The national government’s direct guarantees rose 5.8 percent month-on-month.

Compared with a year ago, the end-March contingent liabilities slipped 6.7 percent, as direct national government guarantees on foreign loans fell 7.9 percent.

One-year T-bill rate slides

At Tuesday’s auction of the one-year T-bill, the rate fell to 6.79 percent from 6.846 percent in the previous auction, after last week’s 25-basis points increase in the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) key borrowing rates.

The bureau borrowed P6 billion, even though bidders were willing to lend as much as P14.479 billion.

Finance Undersecretary Gil S. Beltran said the government was expecting banks to bid for higher returns after local share prices closed down 3.4 percent amid soaring oil prices and weakness across Asia’s stock markets.

“The stock market went down, so this one should go up but it did not. So the only explanation is that they are just re-pricing based on last week’s expectations that there will be an increase of 50 basis points,” Beltran told reporters referring to the BSP’s monetary decision.

“They are buying now for clients, not for their own investment—it’s client-driven. The financial market is in turmoil, decline in China is about 6 percent, ours is 3.4 percent. We can survive these things, our economy is stronger than before,” he added.

With the increase in its overnight borrowing and lending rates to 5.25 percent and 7.25 percent, the BSP raised its inflation forecast to 7 percent to 9 percent this year, surpassing its inflation target of 4 percent to 6 percent.

  
 

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