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Tuesday, June 17, 2008

 

VIRTUAL REALITY
By Tony Lopez
Giving cash to the poor

 
The opposition and the Senate are questioning President Arroyo’s cash doleouts for the poor to meet their food and fuel (or electricity) needs. It’s unconstitutional, says Senate Minority Leader Aquilino Pimentel.

Since when did giving cash to the poor become unconstitutional?

George Bush gave cash doleouts (averaging $600 per taxpayer and totaling $150 billion) last month to his fellow Americans, including the poor, to transfer cash resources from the government to consumers to stimulate spending and prevent or diminish the effect of an economic slowdown. The $150 billion was expected to create half a million jobs by end-2008.

Previously, Bush had lowered the tax, by two percentage points, on the income of rich Americans, those earning $250,000 or more a year to stimulate investment and continue the economic boom begun by Bill Clinton. Taxpayers saved an average $1,800 each and a total of $1.3 trillion in taxes by the end of 2007, according to White House. The Democrats want to remove the tax relief when they take over in 2009.

In either case (the cash doleout and the tax relief), Bush, the first MBA president (Harvard, no less), was not questioned as regards the constitutionality of his action. Of course, he had laws enacted for the purpose.

Said Bush: “The best way to deal with economic uncertainty is to let people have more of their own money, because we believe that the economy benefits when there’s more money in circulation, in the hands of the people who actually earned it.”

In the Philippines, the senators want another tax relief, like removing the value added tax on fuel. Since removing the VAT will benefit even the rich (who fill up their SUVs with high-priced, overtaxed gasoline), Mrs. Arroyo, an economist, has deemed it better to give the cash direct to the poor. That way, the rich will continue paying taxes while the poor receive cash benefits.

The President is right. Direct the cash to the poor (who number 26 million). There may be questions as to how the poor will spend the money—pay for their electricity bill, buy more rice, buy clothes and slippers for their primary school kids, reload their cellphones, splurge on Jollibee at Mall of Asia, bet on the lotto or jueteng. To me, it doesn’t matter. The poor know best how to spend extra money. If you have never been poor, you don’t know just how far P500 will go.

Of course, some of the doleouts will be stolen. Graft, say 20 percent, I think, will be manageable. That’s small in terms of opportunity cost. Rice has tripled in price, a 200 percent increase in three months this year or 800 percent in one year. I think those in charge of the doleouts will minimize their greed and pocket just 10 percent.

Sen. Chiz Escudero suggests a direct Meralco rebate. Funny. Meralco has yet to return to consumers P20 billion of the P30 billion of the taxes it paid and charged its customers, as well as the P21.4 billion in deposits for electric meters and advance payments it collected from the same customers because the distribution utility didn’t trust them (Meralco honestly believed its customers would steal the meters and wouldn’t pay their initial electricity bills). The Supreme Court (in April 2003) ordered the refund of the tax charges. The Energy Regulatory Commission has ordered the return of the deposits.

ERC (bless them) had wanted an 11 percent interest on those monies. Meralco wants to pay just one percent. If so, I would want to borrow on those deposits and pay five percent, which is cheap money by today’s era of sophisticated CSRs and Gawad Kalinga gimmick.

The urgency of giving cash doleouts to the poor is emphasized by Albay Governor Joey Salceda’s Noah’s Ark proposal.

“The gathering of soaring food and fuel prices and the financial recession in the US pose clear and present danger to our national survival,” the respected analyst wrote in a recent memo to the President.

The issue, he says, is not balancing the budget and scoring higher growth targets but prevent “unprecedented human suffering.”

The Noah’s Ark is a supplemental budget of P315.6 billion over three years (2008 to 2010). The amount could be P441 billion if you include subsidy for the National Food Authority’s rice procurement program (rice bought high and sold low to the poor).

The P315.6 billion includes in three-year totals, P84.6 billion in conditional cash transfers for the poor at the rate of P28.2 billion per year; P58 billion in agricultural production; P36 billion in scholarships; P24 billion in fuel subsidy for public transport.

At present, Salceda notes, most of Arroyo’s interim pro-poor programs have been funded by the VAT collection which could run out. The doleouts, says Salceda, “is the biggest net resource transfer to the poor in recent history.”

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