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Wednesday, June 25, 2008

 
VIEWS FROM A BRIT
By Mike Wootton
Could be hard times ahead

 
If with the rising costs of living you find yourself in a position in which you cannot afford to pay for the necessities of life—shelter and food; and you are in an environment in which everything has to be paid for (preferably in advance and with a security deposit), then what are you to do? This problem is faced by an ever-increasing number of Filipinos these days as the price of oil continues to rise (and it will always trend upwards), and employment opportunities become more difficult to find and sustain (as they will due to the overall economic effects of worldwide oil prices) financial sector mega-mismanagement, and other things. Hard times are ahead.

People adopt various solutions to this difficult scenario. Some will say that they must put more effort into finding jobs outside the Philippines; agent incomes from fees for visas and job opportunity identification will increase; and the rate of exit of skills from the Philippines will also increase. Many people will need to borrow more, so microfinance and “five-six” demands will increase as will the repayment risk level, so interest rates will increase. More people will die because they can’t afford proper medical attention. Along with all this the crime rate will increase because people will become more desperate; even now there is a growing business in part-time prostitution of girls who simply cannot get jobs or earn enough for their basic needs, therefore supplementing their incomes with earnings from casual prostitution.

The difference between hard times in the Philippines and hard times in Europe or the US is significant. In the West you may lose your house or your car when times get economically tough; in the Philippines, as in other parts of developing Asia, you may lose your life! When you don’t have too much to start with, what you have to sell becomes remarkably personal. In Asia people will exchange their children to work as “slaves” in order to pay off debts, or pledge body parts in advance of their death—compared to these a bit of part-time prostitution could seem like quite an easy option. These examples tell of really “hard times.” We can but hope that things don’t get as bad as to create an epidemic of things such as this, but what can people do when they reach the end of their resources?

There comes a point at which the government must take serious responsibility and provide properly for the welfare of its people, not only in relatively short-term natural disaster situations but it should also take into account the more widespread and longer-term issues of economic recession. It is time now to re-look at the social security provisions in the Philippines, and at the way in which money is spent and distributed. Providing subsidized rice is not enough; it is a knee-jerk reaction to a specific problem. Food shortages are forecast as going to increase; as noted above costs of most things are going to rise to unsustainable levels because of the rise in oil prices. China and India are consuming much more in the way of commodities than they can produce. The price of coal is increasing partially because ships are difficult to charter due to the use by China of lots of cargo vessels to ferry grain from South America to satisfy the needs of its 1.3-billion population.

It is time to have a re-look at the national budget, I think, as it is clear to see that difficulties are confronting the people, and it’s better to act sooner rather than later.

___

mawootton@gmail.com

  
 

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