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Tuesday, March 04, 2008

 

Debt prepayments decline
despite strenghtening peso

 
LOAN prepayments made by the government and the private sector dropped last year despite the peso’s strength vis-à-vis the dollar, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said.

BSP Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr. said total prepayments reached $2.995 billion in 2007 from $3.66 billion the year before. The government prepaid $1.12 billion, while the private sector retired $1.875-billion of its obligations.

Of the public prepayments, the BSP accounted for $0.805 billion while the national government settled $0.126 billion of its debt.

The Department of Finance is planning to prepay another $2.4 billion of the country’s debt by tapping government owned and controlled corporations (GOCCs).

Finance Undersecretary Roberty B. Tan said the government also plans to buy dollars from the local market for debt servicing this year.

“We’ll buy some foreign currency to settle maturing obligations,” he said.

Recent data from the finance department showed that the $2.4 billion represents seven percent of the combined P1.382 trillion that GOCCs owed creditors as of March last year. GOCCs recorded a combined surplus of P39.86 billion in the first nine months last year.

BSP Deputy Governor Diwa C. Guinigundo, however, said the finance department’s plan would hardly put a dent on the local currency’s record rise, as that amount is only good for two days’ worth of trade.

“Let’s say we’ll divide it by $200 million every day, it will hardly make a change. But it will still help because that’s $2.4 billion [that] will not have to be sold in the domestic markets, or $2.4 billion that would have been sourced from outside then brought in,” Guinigundo said.

He had said the finance department however has yet to inform the central bank about any plan to buy dollars.

Assuming the finance department decides to source the $2.4 billion from the central bank, Guinigundo said it would not be made in one transaction.

The local currency has been appreciating since last year, helped by strong dollar inflows and a weak US currency, as the Federal Reserve, the BSP’s counterpart, kept cutting its key funds rate to prevent the world’s largest economy from sliding into a recession. A recession would pull down Philippine exports, as the US is its biggest market abroad.

The BSP has also been slashing its overnight rates in lock step with the Fed’s reduction to maintain the difference between Philippine and US interest rates. Failure to keep this rate differential stable would cause dollar flows to surge into the Philippines, thus triggering inflationary pressures.
-- Chino S. Leyco

  
 

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