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Tuesday, March 11, 2008

 

Traders uneasy about Treasury’s
plan to negotiate rates

 
THE Money Market Association of the Philippines (MART) said a Bureau of Treasury plan to negotiate with state-owned firms for future borrowings instead of auctioning off debt papers is inconsistent with long-held principles of transparency and impartiality.

In a letter to the bureau, Joan G. Policarpio and Joselito Recardo G. Nazario, MART chairperson and president, respectively, said the price of a government security should be a factor of supply, timing of issuance, and maturity. Failure to publicly make available this information will subject bond prices to extreme volatility.

Volatility is the bane of financial markets as this represents greater risk, thus discouraging investors.

The traders’ group said negotiation tends to favor larger banks, which may have more capacity to bid more aggressively, given their bigger clients as well as bigger funding pool.

“This is in contrast to the regular public auction wherein all GSEDs, regardless of size, would have equal opportunity to win at the same price,” the letter read, referring to government securities eligible dealers.

The association said the market may prefer to ignore the primary auctions, which happen once a week, and will instead go to the negotiation route where they can buy whatever bond for whatever size at whatever day without anyone in the market knowing.

Negotiated bonds are disadvantageous to the secondary market, MART also said.

“Banks with huge requirement will opt to go to the [treasury bureau’s] negotiation route to buy on a negotiated price, instead of sourcing from the secondary market,” it added.

MART said it would not make sense for a market-maker to bid aggressively in the market for a good volume as it has no knowledge of how “deep” is the supply of a certain bond that may have been sourced from the negotiation route.

As uncertainty demands a premium, MART said rate uptrend risk will only further push away investors’ appetite for government securities. This means the government would have a harder time securing its borrowings in a transparent and cheaper manner.

MART has offered to volunteer its assistance in discussing further with the treasury bureau the implications of the new rule.

After the bureau failed to secure borrowing from debt-paper sales in recent weeks, it decided to negotiate with interested buyers with the aim of getting fresh funds at lower rates. The government had turned down recent offers from banks and other bidders, which have been pushing for higher yields in exchange for parting with their money. Higher yields would result in higher borrowing costs for the government.

“We’re not correlating these with each other,” Finance Secretary Roberto B. Tan however said, referring to concerns that this was the result of four consecutive rejections that the government made in their previous auctions of bills and bonds.

Marcelo Ayes, Rizal Commercial Bank Corp. (RCBC) Vice-President, said the treasury bureau may be able to get better price this time, although the decision to sell government IOUs at negotiated rates may result in uncertainties.

“Moreover, [the] Dutch auction is more transparent than negotiation,” Ayes said, adding that negotiated rates cannot be used as a benchmark for banks because they are prone to be concluded “under the table.”

At the secondary market Tuesday, the 91-day Treasury bill stood at 4.55 percent.

“We project that it will rise to 5 percent in June this year,” Ayes said.
-- Chino S. Leyco

  
 

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