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Tuesday, March 18, 2008

 

Local stock market plunges to lowest level
in a year on fears of widening crisis

By Likha C. Cuevas-Miel, Reporter

THE stock market fell to its lowest level in over a year in step with other Asian bourses, which tumbled due to uncertainties on how deep and long the global financial crisis will run and last, analysts said.

At the Philippine Stock Exchange, the composite index—the bench­mark of all share prices of listed companies—fell by 3.88 percent or 112.85 points to 2,793.68 from Friday’s close. According to the local bourse, it was the lowest close after it ended at 2,788.46 points on November 30, 2006.

The all-share prices closed at 1,726.52 points or 3.25 percent lower with trading volume reaching 692.4 million at a value of P2.2 billion. Losers beat gainers by 118 to 5 while share prices of 26 firms remained flat.

An analyst told The Manila Times that the buyout of investment bank Bear Stearns for only $236 million or $2 per share by rival JPMorgan Chase was just a part of the bigger shake-up in the world’s financial markets. Bear Stearns, one of the world’s biggest investment bank, was forced to get an emergency loan after it was crippled by risky investments on securities backed by subprime mortgages, which are basically loans given to customers with poor credit history.

“The issue is still about the subprime [mess, which] is far from over and there would be more buyouts and acquisitions waiting in the sidelines,” the analyst said.

Jason Lagrimas of 2Trade Asia said the developments in the US pose a bigger question on whether the actions of the US Federal Reserve are enough to stave off a bigger financial and economic crisis.

He also said that further cuts by the Fed is also a concern for other markets since it would force funds to flee to safer havens like Asia. This brings more pressure on local currencies to go up against the weakening dollar at a time when central banks are faced with rising inflation due to skyrocketing oil and other commodity prices.

Monday’s closing level breached the index’s support level of 2,880 points. Lagrimas said investors have to shift positions due to mounting pressure to cash in on gains as the Philippines and the rest of Asia remain hostage to Wall Street.

Ed Bancod of ATR KimEng Securities Inc. said the local market “just broke down” on Monday on fresh concerns that “there could be more out there” and on fears that asset values of other investment houses will crumble.

“(Monday’s fall) was influenced by elements of uncertainties. It is not knowing how deep and how much damage this liquidity problem has inflicted,” he said.

Bancod said investors are re-evaluating their assets after the Bear Sterns incident. Its assets were valued at $159.36 per share at its peak, he said.

Access to funds or liquidity would be tighter as firms become “suspicious of each other.” When that happens, “the wheels of commerce will grind to a halt,” Bancod said.

At the Philippine Dealing System, the peso fell to a three month low Monday due to falling equity markets and tightening credit, a trader said.

The local currency ended at 41.72 from Friday’s 41.54 finish. Trading volume reached $794.225 million from the previous $640 million.

The trader said the local currency’s weakness was expected following the news of the sale of Bear Stearns and the likelihood of another emergency rate cut by the Fed.

Topping that off is a long Lenten break starting Thursday,  he said .
-- With Chino S. Leyco

  
 

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