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Sunday, March 23, 2008

 

SUNDAY STORIES
By Marlen V. Ronquillo
Jobless growth, mirthless growth

 
The growth figures do not matter much.

Whether it is at a high of seven percent or a moderate growth level of five percent, still the sad fact of our economic life remains this: a jobless, mirthless growth.

The rich, who own almost everything in the country, suck up the choice cuts of that growth and only morsels trickle down into the hamlets of rural poverty and urban slums. The bracket of the rich is shorter than your usual wine list. It has been a static list. Very few names changed in a century.

Even if the huge wealth is held by a few families, there would be not much problem with that if the money is plowed back into the mainstream as job-generating investments, a portfolio with a social, egalitarian purpose like industry and manufacturing. And rural investments. But no, that has never been the case.

The money is invested back into banks and financial services, energy, shopping malls telecoms, the sectors that do not open up new jobs and inject dynamism into the economic mainstream.

The poor is now a desperate mass of close to 50 million people. And growing everyday.

As if the great disparity were not enough, the current data on overseas remittances from our workers come crashing to us like a sledgehammer.

It said that a sizable portion of the $15 billion or so yearly remittances from Filipinos overseas does not trickle down into poor urban and rural communities. Because that portion comes from well-heeled professionals in North America (doctors, fund managers, Silicon Valley nerds) who tell their real estate agents and investment advisers where to use the money.

The stocks, club shares and condos that are purchased with the remittances hardly help in easing massive poverty. A P15-million condo unit gives one cleaner a job. A P15-million wise investment in the countryside can put up 10 start-up piggeries (each with a small hammer mill for feedmaking) for 10 families.

The final destination of the remittances from North America is something unlike our notion of overseas remittances, which is a huge money pool that is substantially devoted to energizing small and medium-scale enterprises based in the barrios.

All along, we had this grand idea that much of that money from overseas is for education and small-time and small-scale investments on a massive scale, which are the surest way of busting poverty.

With these dismal realities, even a double-digit growth rate will remain impotent in the fight against poverty.

The great disconnect between our moderate-to-high statistical growth and the harsh realities of massive poverty at ground level has gone through dissections and analyses without letup. Economists of all stripes and persuasions have put forward their great and not-so-great views on the issue.

Yet, of these thousand ideas, not one has yet to fully bloom to help chart the roadmap to effectively transform statistical growth into practical poverty-busting programs. Micro-financing, the darling action plan of the moment, is at best a palliative. The 80 to 90-percent repayment of micro-financing loans is illusory. The poor borrowers do a primitive form of kiting to settle accounts due.

The “final solution” to the great disconnect will have to come from the resurrection of a discredited program, the supervised food production program of Marcos. With fiscal restraints and some modifications, the government and the private sector can team up to revive the slew of programs that came with the Green Revolution: Masagana 99, Maisan etc.

Cheap production loans made possible through a generous lending window from the Bangko Sentral, a decent farm infrastructure, agricultural extension workers rendering adequate technical support, a network of farm suppliers and a dedicated cadre of program overseers can energize food production activities in the countryside.

With much of the world starving for rice and basic food supplies, there is a global market to be filled. We just have to produce enough for national consumption and an extra volume for the export market.

All that awesome and wondrous productive energy that was unleashed in the countryside in the late 60s and early 70s will be making a comeback. The sum of that work was the Green Revolution. For the post-Green Revolution babies, the program was the brainchild of an organization and management genius—the late Rafael Salas. It devoted people, resources and programming expertise to boost agricultural production. And it worked.

Of the dozens of young men and women who got involved in the program, we can recall two: Sen. Edgardo J. Angara , then a young corporate lawyer, and Domingo Panganiban, then a young agronomist. Both became secretary of agriculture.

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