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Saturday, May 03, 2008

 

Dollar gains on yen ahead of jobs data

 
TOKYO: The dollar edged up against the yen in Asian trade Friday as traders waited for a key US jobs report for fresh leads on the chances of further Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, dealers said.

The dollar gained to 104.62 yen in Tokyo afternoon trade from 104.53 in New York late on Thursday.

The euro was steady at 1.5469 dollars against 1.5462, hovering close to a one-month low. The euro was little changed at 161.79 yen after 161.61.

Traders were waiting for a US labor market report due later Friday “that may confirm that the economy is still in bad shape,” said Tomoko Fujii, head of economic strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo.

“The unemployment data will set the tone for the dollar this month. Once we have this figure, the economic picture will be clearer,” she said.

The dollar was supported by US consumption and manufacturing data released Thursday that eased worries over the health of the world’s largest economy and fueled speculation that the Fed may pause in its series of interest rate cuts.

The Institute of Supply Management index of US manufacturing activity held steady at 48.6 in April. While the reading was below the 50-level, signaling continued contraction in the sector, it beat forecasts for a decline to 48.0.

A separate report showed that personal consumption picked up slightly.

The figures “supported perceptions that the Fed is not likely to cut interest rates again,” NAB Capital Strategist John Kyriakopoulos wrote in a note to clients.

The dollar has gained ground recently in anticipation of a pause in the Fed’s aggressive cycle of interest rate cuts.

The Fed announced a quarter-point reduction on Wednesday and some analysts said it could be the last reduction for some time.

Others, however, were more pessimistic, arguing that improving market optimism over the economy was unrealistic.

“Market participants refuse to accept the fact that [the credit crisis] is having a negative impact on the actual economy and the non-financial sector,” said Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp.

“They are evading reality,” he added.

The Labor Department said Thursday that jobless claims soared 35,000 to 380,000 last week.

But unless the non-farm payrolls report shows an unexpectedly severe drop in employment, traders will continue to bet on an end to Fed rate cuts, supporting the dollar, predicted Kyriakopoulos.

Against regional currencies, the dollar rose to 1.3628 Singapore dollars in late Asian trade from 1.3578 a day earlier, to 1,010.05 South Korean won from 1,002.50 and to 30.464 Taiwan dollars from 30.448.

The greenback also firmed to 31.67 Thai baht from 31.66, to 9,236 Indonesian rupiah from 9,222 and to 42.298 Philippine pesos from 42.235.
-- AFP

  
 

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