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Thursday, May 08, 2008

 

Asians told to rein in prices

Moody’s: $80-B Asean fund too unwieldy

 
Asian economies should make a priority the immediate implementation of measures to contain high inflation, instead of setting up a foreign-reserve pool, the US-based credit rating firm Moody’s Investors Service said.

Member-countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) are in talks for an $80-billion foreign-reserve pool with China, Japan, and South Korea, with the three larger Asian economies expected to make bigger contributions.

Asean groups the Philippines with Brunei Darrusalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.

The multibillion fund aims to prevent future currency turmoils, with any Asean member-countries at risk of financial crisis allowed to access funds from the reserve pool without seeking assistance from organizations such as the International Monetary Fund.

The scheme would replace existing arrangements that involve bilateral currency swaps.

Difficult task

According to Moody’s economist Sherman Chan, details regarding the use of the foreign-reserve fund will be difficult to work out.

In a Moody’s report released recently, Chan said talks among the Asean member-countries to put up a foreign-reserve pool will take long. But, he added, the more pressing problem over the short term that needs to be addressed is inflation across the region.

“If Asean [member-countries] are keen to strengthen cooperation, a higher priority on their agenda might be to contain food price inflation caused by soaring grain prices,” Chan said.

The Philippines, the world’s largest rice importer, recently canceled a tender to buy rice due to poor response from suppliers.

As a result, it has called for an emergency meeting with its Asean peers and larger Asian nations to address the reported food shortage in the region.

In recent months, several nations restricted exports of food staples over concerns with shortage in domestic supply and high prices.

Thailand, the largest rice exporter in the world, though, said it will not ban rice exports. It has backed off from a proposed Asian rice cartel with Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam.

Moodys said Thailand’s pledge to entertain importers could lead to higher global grain prices.

In the Philippines, inflation, or the increase of prices of goods and services, in April rose at its fastest pace in three years, because of costlier food, including rice, and electricity.

The National Statistics Office said the inflation rate rose 8.3 percent in April, from 6.4 percent in March.

This rate exceeded the estimates of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas of 6.4 percent and 7 percent.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, however, said price movements are likely to return to “manageable levels” as a result of expected higher food production.

Food expenses

Inflation in the Philippines, according to the latest survey conducted by the think tank IBON Foundation, has seen families of three of four Filipinos, or 75.3 percent, having difficulties in buying enough food. The survey also found that the families of almost seven of 10, or 69.7 percent, have problems paying for their electricity and water bills.

“More Filipinos have trouble buying enough food and paying for basic expenses,” the IBON survey said. It noted that only around 63.2 percent said they had a problem in buying enough food in January.

The government on Tuesday said surging food and energy prices in the country pushed the inflation rate in April to 8.3 percent, the highest level in three years.

The April 2008 inflation figure was the highest recorded since May 2005, when inflation hit 8.5 percent.

The IBON survey also showed that 67.42 percent of respondents have difficulty paying for transportation costs, compared to only 60.6 percent in January.

At present, the survey said, 73.4 percent have a problem buying their medicines or paying for their medical treatment, and that 68.2 percent have trouble paying for their children’s tuition.

It added that almost six of 10 Filipinos, or 58.6 percent, agree with proposals to restore government regulation of the local oil industry and to repeal the Oil Deregulation Act, or Republic Act 8479.

The deregulation act, which was implemented in 1998, removed government control over the downstream oil industry.

The nationwide survey was conducted from April 7 to April 16 with 1,495 respondents from various sectors, using a multi-stage probability sampling scheme with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.
-- Maricel E. Burgonio and Rommel C. Lontayao

   

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Severino O. Frayna Jr., Benjie Dela Rosa
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