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Friday, May 09, 2008

 

BIG DEAL
By Dan Mariano
The AFP and the business sector


Business anywhere in the world is about money. It is about pesos and centavos, dollars and cents. And businessmen prefer someone—anyone—who helps them make money and maximize the opportunities in the business environment. That is a person who uses money well.

A couple of weeks ago the Association of Stock Analysts of the Philippines (ASAP) reportedly said that the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) did well under its recently retired chief of staff Hermogenes Esperon.

ASAP stethoscopes the stock market and the peso’s situation daily. Its members provide the expert view on how politics and current events affect the bourse and business as a whole. They obviously know what they are talking about.

What ASAP probably meant is that the AFP under Esperon has been good for business and the investment climate.

No, Esperon cannot take credit for the fact that during his term as AFP chief the stock market and the peso were at their best levels ever. However, what cannot be overlooked is the fact that the AFP under Esperon behaved well and did nothing to jeopardize the country’s economic momentum over the past two years.

Yes, the business sector likes Esperon even if its leaders will not say it—except for ASAP, of course.

What the business sector dislikes is when the AFP is rocked by internecine strife, such as the 2003 Oakwood and 2006 Marine headquarters incidents. What coup plotters and mutineers apparently ignore is that such incidents and instability prominently figure in the reports of credit-rating agencies and international investment counselors.

A troubled AFP would have serious adverse consequences on businessmen, particularly those who work with global partners and who source funds from the international financial community. Instability could mean withdrawal of investments—jeopardizing capital expenditures or sourcing funds at higher rates.

All that Esperon prevented from happening—and the business sector appreciates that.

Observers wondered why the peso did not nosedive and why the bourse did not collapse when Trillanes and company tried to duplicate their Oakwood caper when they occupied the Manila Peninsula last November. The market coughed momentarily and the peso let out a hiccup, but that was all.

Evidently the reason was that the business community basically felt that Esperon was in full control. It was never articulated but the sense was that he could handle the situation. The business community was correct.

Coup plotters and mutineers probably do not know it, but the business community seriously frowns on military adventurism. Reason: mutinous capers cost money. Lots of money. Taxpayer’s money.

And who pays a lot of taxes? Businessmen. So, they indirectly shoulder the cost of the tantrums of misguided AFP officers.

So, when the AFP enjoyed a two-year respite from military adventurism, Esperon saved the country money. And the business sector is happy about it.

The business sector is not averse to funding the AFP. A robust and stable AFP is important to business. And the sector is happy when tax money is properly spent by our soldiers when they focus on their primary mission.

Businessmen are not saying it but they have a stake too in Esperon’s counterinsurgency campaign. The countryside is ripe for investments. In view of the tight supply of food globally, agriculture has become the next sunshine industry.

Businessmen, however, cannot come in and plough their money in the countryside to fund agricultural projects if there is insurgency. They would rather not pay the New People’s Army (NPA) revolutionary taxes, which jack up costs. They also prefer not to shoulder hazard pay and other additional costs or risks not to mention damage to property, which are always imminent in NPA hotbeds.

Among the gains of the counterinsurgency effort are the new areas for investments in the countryside—more places to put in money, to create new enterprise and to generate jobs.

Esperon’s detractors will be scoffing at the AFP’s gains, but businessmen know better. Whether one likes Esperon or not, one must agree that the money taxpayers spent on the AFP during the past two years has been money well spent.

dansoy26@yahoo.com

   
 

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