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Tuesday, May 13, 2008

 

EDITORIAL

A time bomb in the South

 
The drumbeat for war grows louder in the Southern Philippines where the secessionist Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) is running out of patience over delays in the peace talks between them and the Philippine government.

Resentment grew as Malaysia began pulling out its troops from the multinational International Monitoring Team which helps oversee the ceasefire between the Philippine military and the Moros. Most Mindanao observers credit the IMT for the dramatic reduction of clashes between the two sides.

Talks between the government and the MILF began in 1997, but formal meetings opened in January 2000. Negotiations for a Moro homeland started in 2004 when Malaysia facilitated the talks but got snagged over the issue of ancestral domain—the territory that includes provinces, towns and cities—being claimed by guerrillas.

Ancestral domain

The government is addressing the issue but insists that any resolution should meet the test of constitutionality. The demand for a Bangsamoro and the territories under it could not be met without amending the Constitution, government representatives to the peace panel said.

Resistance also comes from a large Christian population and the Lumad (numerous indigenous groups) people living in the contested domain.

The MILF representatives said that the Arroyo government—like its predecessors—is procrastinating on the issue until the time comes to turn the problem over to the next administration.

The International Court of Justice

They said that short of resuming the war, they will raise the issue to the International Court of Justice in The Hague.

The MILF took up the flag after the Moro National Liberation Front and the Fidel V. Ramos government signed a peace agreement in 1996 that led to the creation of the Autonomous Region for Muslim Mindanao under warrior-turned-statesman Nur Misuari.

The partisans continued the campaign for an independent homeland in the governments of Ramos, Joseph Estrada and Gloria Macapagal Arroyo. The struggle has cost thousands of lives, produced a long list of missing persons, displaced thousands of families, kicked thousands of children out of school and destroyed billions of pesos worth of houses, properties, businesses and livelihoods.

Will it pass the Constitution?

It has been costly for the government that must spend scarce resources on the military and on rebuilding. The government casualties and the toll on the orphans and widows are enormous. Casualties have grown owing to collateral damage and isolated massacres.

In 2003, Manila and the MILF once more agreed to a ceasefire and to start talks for peace. Occasional clashes flared but both sides exercised restraint. The rebels also walked the extra mile to help government fight the Abu Sayyaf terrorists.

The two sides however could not get to agree on the question of ancestral domain. The Moros claimed there had been agreements on earlier drafts but Manila had a way of delaying a decision. First, the government questioned the scope of the claimed territory which, the MILF said, should include the current ARMM. Next, the Palace raised the test of constitutionalism.

Federalism as a solution

Lately, Malacanang seems to be agreeing with Resolution No. 10 in the Senate, which would create 11 federated states under a federal government. The resolution proposes three states for Mindanao, all would grant the Moros great autonomy.

The peace talks were postponed in December and have not resumed since. The government is not prepared to resume discussions unless it could offer a more substantial package. The Moros insisted Manila should resume the talks because precious time has passed, the guerrillas are getting impatient and their grassroots followers are looking for results.

Manila is in a bind over the issue. Either it asks the MILF for more time to review the ancestral domain claims or ask—with MILF consent—for a neutral mediator, a foreign country with a record for helping solve similar conflicts—to help conciliate the dispute.

Linchpin to national stability

The dominant voices from the MILF camp are increasingly becoming bellicose. MILF leader Muhammad Ameen over the weekend warned about a renewal of war if peace talks fail. “We are firm in our demand for self-determination,” added Eid Kabalu, the front spokesman.

An outbreak of war will be costly to the government. Resources that are better spent for development will have to be invested in quelling the rebellion. War will slow down growth that the Arroyo government has strove hard to achieve. The military, also facing the New People’s Army throughout the country, will be fighting on two fronts. Would war on the MILF spark Moro nationalism? The Muslims have dispersed in the islands, north to south. Foreign terrorists will want to have a foothold here.

Much of the world has invested in the Southern Philippines. A great deal of official development assistance is pouring into Mindanao. Pledges of bigger help are on the way once peace is restored. Interest is great because of Mindanao’s potential for agriculture, business. trade and investments. Peace in the South also augurs well for regional stability. Mindanao is our last frontier. It is the linchpin to national stability that deserves the utmost priority.

   
 

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